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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+4.58vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.45+4.79vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.56+4.51vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.03+4.32vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.29+2.82vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.61+3.96vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.92-1.18vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.42+5.58vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+3.62vs Predicted
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102.13-0.38vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.55-0.38vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.44-0.56vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.91-7.89vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.79-6.05vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.75-8.95vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.07-4.69vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.46-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4812.7%1st Place
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6.79Roger Williams University2.458.6%1st Place
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7.51Boston College2.567.8%1st Place
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8.32Bowdoin College2.035.2%1st Place
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7.82Connecticut College2.296.6%1st Place
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9.96University of Rhode Island1.613.7%1st Place
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5.82Yale University2.9210.5%1st Place
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13.58Fairfield University0.421.4%1st Place
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12.62Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.721.2%1st Place
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9.622.133.8%1st Place
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10.62Harvard University1.553.0%1st Place
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11.44Tufts University1.442.3%1st Place
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5.11Brown University2.9113.0%1st Place
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7.95Boston University1.796.2%1st Place
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6.05Dartmouth College2.759.7%1st Place
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11.31Northeastern University1.072.4%1st Place
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12.92Salve Regina University0.462.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 12.7% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Miles Williams | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 15.5% | 30.7% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 17.3% |
| Dana Haig | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Eric Hansen | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 5.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 9.0% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 13.0% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.6% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.