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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.38+5.35vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.50+3.96vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.45+3.15vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.50+1.95vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.86+2.77vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.23+0.68vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-0.59vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.86-0.10vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.33-2.43vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.65-4.57vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.13-4.18vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.56-3.03vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
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5.96Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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6.15Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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5.95Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.77University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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6.68Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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7.9University of Rhode Island2.860.0%1st Place
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6.57Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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5.43Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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6.82Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.97Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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10.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Powers | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Emily Maxwell | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% |
| Claire Dennis | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 8.3% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 4.1% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 2.9% |
| Liv Gunnarsson | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.1% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| Margaret Tautz | 13.3% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Brendan Cook | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% |
| Katherine Doble | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 19.1% |
| Jamie Curran | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 35.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.