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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College4.05+6.32vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+7.01vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+4.37vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.73+4.81vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.95+2.77vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania3.16+5.52vs Predicted
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73.24+4.33vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.11+3.40vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-1.19vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.18+1.32vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.05+1.00vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.79-3.28vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.82-4.27vs Predicted
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14George Washington University3.49-4.16vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.05-3.16vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia3.01-3.99vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-4.29vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin3.04-5.97vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont3.63-9.80vs Predicted
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20Princeton University0.21-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.32Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.01U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.81Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.77Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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11.52University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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11.333.240.0%1st Place
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11.4Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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7.81St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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11.32Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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12.0SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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8.72Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.73Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.84George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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11.84University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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12.01University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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12.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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12.03University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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9.2University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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19.27Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wefer | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Michael Grove | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| William Macdonald | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 1.4% |
| Eddie Cox | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 1.1% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 1.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.7% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 1.3% |
| Nick Valente | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 1.8% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 1.2% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 1.3% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 2.7% |
| Laura Wefer | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 1.4% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Werner | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 5.2% | 85.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.