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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.33+1.53vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.34+0.60vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame1.25+2.92vs Predicted
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4McGill University1.53+1.27vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College1.56+0.19vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.01-1.45vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy0.26+0.32vs Predicted
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8Loyola University New Orleans-0.67+0.22vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.73-5.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53Georgetown University3.330.3%1st Place
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2.6U. S. Naval Academy3.340.3%1st Place
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5.92University of Notre Dame1.250.0%1st Place
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5.27McGill University1.530.0%1st Place
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5.19SUNY Maritime College1.560.1%1st Place
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4.55Fordham University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.32U. S. Military Academy0.260.0%1st Place
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8.22Loyola University New Orleans-0.670.0%1st Place
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3.4Fordham University2.730.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Eichler | 30.7% | 25.5% | 20.9% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Devin Laviano | 27.8% | 26.7% | 20.7% | 12.9% | 8.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Walden | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 19.5% | 24.2% | 17.7% | 4.5% |
| Mark Abraao York | 4.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 16.6% | 19.8% | 18.7% | 10.8% | 1.8% |
| Rudy Normann | 5.4% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 18.1% | 10.1% | 3.3% |
| Edward Titcomb | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 17.7% | 20.1% | 17.1% | 11.9% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| David Geer | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 15.0% | 38.5% | 24.2% |
| William Nunn | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 17.5% | 65.2% |
| Alexander Sachs | 17.3% | 17.1% | 20.4% | 18.0% | 13.8% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.