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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.50+2.20vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.55+1.28vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.81+1.38vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.79-1.32vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.48-0.19vs Predicted
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6McGill University1.05-0.32vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy1.02-1.21vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame0.27-1.02vs Predicted
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9Loyola University New Orleans-0.82-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Fordham University2.500.2%1st Place
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3.28Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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4.38SUNY Maritime College1.810.1%1st Place
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2.68U. S. Naval Academy2.790.3%1st Place
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4.81Fordham University1.480.1%1st Place
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5.68McGill University1.050.1%1st Place
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5.79U. S. Military Academy1.020.0%1st Place
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6.98University of Notre Dame0.270.0%1st Place
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8.21Loyola University New Orleans-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Turchiano | 21.1% | 19.9% | 18.1% | 17.7% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| David Nicol | 18.0% | 22.4% | 18.0% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Jeff Markarian | 10.5% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 16.0% | 11.0% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| James Allsopp | 29.7% | 23.0% | 19.8% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Philip Krug | 7.2% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 8.5% | 2.3% |
| Emerson Krock | 5.5% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 16.8% | 22.6% | 16.1% | 4.3% |
| Gregory Dempsey | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 21.4% | 17.5% | 5.5% |
| Jeffrey Miller | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 16.2% | 34.3% | 19.9% |
| Kenneth Wink | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 16.2% | 66.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.