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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University at Galveston1.39+5.21vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.82+3.11vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.70+2.42vs Predicted
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4Hampton University1.08+3.06vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.44-1.51vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.50-0.15vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook0.90+0.45vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-2.19+4.36vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology0.72-0.99vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.39-3.78vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.16-4.34vs Predicted
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12Miami University-1.27-0.36vs Predicted
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13Florida State University1.69-7.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.21Texas A&M University at Galveston1.390.1%1st Place
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5.11University of Miami1.820.1%1st Place
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5.42University of South Florida1.700.1%1st Place
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7.06Hampton University1.080.1%1st Place
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3.49Jacksonville University2.440.2%1st Place
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5.85Eckerd College1.500.1%1st Place
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7.45SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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12.36University of Notre Dame-2.190.0%1st Place
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8.01Georgia Institute of Technology0.720.0%1st Place
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6.22Salve Regina University1.390.1%1st Place
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6.66Tulane University1.160.1%1st Place
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11.64Miami University-1.270.0%1st Place
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5.53Florida State University1.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Thompson | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Magno | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Smith | 9.1% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 3.9% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Lounsbury | 23.0% | 20.1% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anna Huebschmann | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 5.1% | 0.5% |
| Kathryn Powell | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 22.4% | 68.8% |
| Darby Reddaway | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 20.8% | 8.1% | 0.5% |
| Jennifer Killian | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Mary Berg | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Kevan Pigott | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 50.7% | 29.1% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.