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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.76+2.53vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook2.59+1.79vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.22+1.56vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-1.47vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology1.76+0.78vs Predicted
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6Washington College1.26+0.98vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.51+4.03vs Predicted
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8Villanova University1.08-0.56vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-0.30+1.69vs Predicted
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10Drexel University0.58-1.29vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University-0.46+0.01vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.33-5.07vs Predicted
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13Ocean County College0.34-3.67vs Predicted
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14Penn State University-1.88-0.60vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-2.76-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53U. S. Naval Academy2.760.2%1st Place
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3.79SUNY Stony Brook2.590.2%1st Place
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4.56University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
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2.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.3%1st Place
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5.78Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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6.98Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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11.03Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
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7.44Villanova University1.080.0%1st Place
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10.69University of Delaware-0.300.0%1st Place
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8.71Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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11.01Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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6.93Webb Institute1.330.0%1st Place
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9.33Ocean County College0.340.0%1st Place
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13.4Penn State University-1.880.0%1st Place
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14.28Rutgers University-2.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Madigan | 19.4% | 18.8% | 15.4% | 17.1% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vidar Minkovsky | 15.4% | 17.8% | 17.6% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 10.4% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 33.3% | 25.1% | 17.7% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hart | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| George Kevrekidis | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 13.4% | 19.0% | 22.0% | 13.0% | 2.6% |
| Harrison Paige | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sean Crandall | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 17.6% | 19.9% | 7.9% | 1.6% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Veronica Lane | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 23.4% | 12.0% | 2.6% |
| Zane Tinnell | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Troy Dittenhofer | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| victor lu | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 12.3% | 42.6% | 26.1% |
| Declan McNamara | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 19.1% | 66.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.