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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.89+2.96vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook1.41+3.04vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.57+1.71vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.06+5.08vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+0.89vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.06+3.08vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18-3.64vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University0.02+0.86vs Predicted
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9Princeton University0.05-0.14vs Predicted
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10Washington College0.80-3.27vs Predicted
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11Rochester Institute of Technology-0.53-0.62vs Predicted
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12Columbia University1.52-7.04vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-0.42-2.74vs Predicted
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15Monmouth University-0.85-3.78vs Predicted
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16U. S. Military Academy-2.96-1.64vs Predicted
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17University of Rochester-1.45-4.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96Christopher Newport University1.890.2%1st Place
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5.04SUNY Stony Brook1.410.1%1st Place
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4.71Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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9.08Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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5.89Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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9.08Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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3.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.2%1st Place
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8.86Syracuse University0.020.0%1st Place
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8.86Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
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6.73Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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10.38Rochester Institute of Technology-0.530.0%1st Place
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4.96Columbia University1.520.1%1st Place
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10.26Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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11.22Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
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14.36U. S. Military Academy-2.960.0%1st Place
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12.31University of Rochester-1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Charney | 17.6% | 16.8% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 9.9% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Levie | 12.7% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 8.7% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gibson | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 22.0% | 20.8% | 16.5% | 14.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Sanders | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Zak Dasaro | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Taylor | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 10.8% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Loosbrock | 12.4% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 9.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Foley | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 18.9% | 19.5% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Simone Woolley | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 11.3% | 75.6% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Ware | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 34.9% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.