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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.78+2.67vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.60+0.48vs Predicted
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3Brandeis University0.93+2.16vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.13-0.80vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21-0.30vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut0.70-0.49vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.84+0.32vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.57-5.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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2.48Boston University2.600.3%1st Place
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5.16Brandeis University0.930.1%1st Place
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3.2Harvard University2.130.2%1st Place
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4.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.1%1st Place
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5.51University of Connecticut0.700.1%1st Place
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7.32University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.840.0%1st Place
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3.96Tufts University1.570.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Pearson | 14.0% | 17.3% | 19.0% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 12.1% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Collin Alexander | 33.2% | 25.1% | 17.8% | 12.5% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| SERRA PELIN | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 22.4% | 23.7% | 7.4% |
| Eric Hansen | 19.6% | 21.1% | 19.1% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Charles Lindsay | 6.9% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 19.6% | 16.8% | 4.1% |
| Ellen Fuller | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 14.8% | 17.8% | 29.2% | 11.6% |
| Isabel Rombult | 1.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 11.8% | 72.7% |
| Andrew Savage | 13.2% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 20.1% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 8.0% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.