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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+2.19vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.53+3.60vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.79+2.13vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.20+0.30vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-2.41vs Predicted
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6Queen's University1.19+0.59vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56-1.52vs Predicted
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8University of Pittsburgh0.14+0.82vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology-0.41+1.05vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester0.95-2.87vs Predicted
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11Colgate University-0.05-1.66vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University-1.01-0.91vs Predicted
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13Penn State University-2.41-0.13vs Predicted
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14Mercyhurst University-2.33-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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5.6Cornell University1.530.1%1st Place
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5.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.790.1%1st Place
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4.3Cornell University2.200.1%1st Place
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2.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.3%1st Place
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6.59Queen's University1.190.0%1st Place
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5.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.1%1st Place
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8.82University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
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10.05Rochester Institute of Technology-0.410.0%1st Place
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7.13University of Rochester0.950.0%1st Place
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9.34Colgate University-0.050.0%1st Place
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11.09Syracuse University-1.010.0%1st Place
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12.87Penn State University-2.410.0%1st Place
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12.82Mercyhurst University-2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Rizika | 22.4% | 23.2% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sajan Alagiri | 5.6% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Stackpoole | 8.8% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 11.8% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Easton | 32.0% | 25.0% | 18.1% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wallace | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 15.4% | 17.5% | 16.0% | 10.5% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Manney | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 17.0% | 23.0% | 20.4% | 8.7% | 1.9% |
| Scott McKinney | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick May | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 18.9% | 18.3% | 14.2% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| John Colby | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 10.2% | 17.5% | 29.0% | 19.4% | 6.5% |
| Kristian Sonsteby | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 11.5% | 28.0% | 47.9% |
| Robert Schneider | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 10.7% | 33.8% | 42.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.