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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University2.01+4.72vs Predicted
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2Florida State University2.38+2.56vs Predicted
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3University of Central Florida0.67+7.57vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.65+2.67vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology0.78+4.82vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.01+6.66vs Predicted
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7The Citadel1.11+1.73vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.70-1.55vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.13-0.40vs Predicted
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10Clemson University-1.23+5.87vs Predicted
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11University of Miami1.86-4.82vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.37-3.90vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina0.72-2.95vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University0.81-4.55vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.74-8.59vs Predicted
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16Duke University-0.18-2.69vs Predicted
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17Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-5.59vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.72North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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4.56Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.57University of Central Florida0.670.0%1st Place
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6.67Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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9.82Florida Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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12.66Rollins College0.010.0%1st Place
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8.73The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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6.45Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
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8.6University of South Florida1.130.0%1st Place
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15.87Clemson University-1.230.0%1st Place
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6.18University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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8.1University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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10.05University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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9.45Embry-Riddle University0.810.0%1st Place
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6.41Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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13.31Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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11.41Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.0%1st Place
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16.45University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 12.1% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 14.6% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Emily Allen | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| KA Hamner | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 17.4% | 9.9% | 4.9% |
| Gregory Walters | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| matthew Monts | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Trevin Brown | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 31.1% | 34.0% |
| Steven Hardee | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ian Street | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Dylan Hardt | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Eden Nykamp | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 18.8% | 15.3% | 5.8% |
| Roberto Martelli | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 6.7% | 0.7% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 23.2% | 52.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.