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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.04+1.40vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.08+1.87vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.24+0.72vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.46-0.64vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology-1.23+2.97vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College-0.17+0.25vs Predicted
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70.01-1.26vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.21-2.61vs Predicted
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9University of Miami-0.61-1.94vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-2.87-0.10vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-3.40-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4College of Charleston2.040.3%1st Place
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3.87Jacksonville University1.080.1%1st Place
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3.72University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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3.36North Carolina State University1.460.2%1st Place
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7.97Georgia Institute of Technology-1.230.0%1st Place
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6.25Eckerd College-0.170.0%1st Place
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5.740.010.1%1st Place
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5.39Florida State University0.210.1%1st Place
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7.06University of Miami-0.610.0%1st Place
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9.9Embry-Riddle University-2.870.0%1st Place
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10.32University of Georgia-3.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 34.1% | 27.1% | 17.5% | 11.4% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 14.0% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 14.5% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 17.6% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 17.4% | 20.3% | 18.0% | 18.0% | 13.4% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 17.4% | 35.2% | 16.5% | 2.6% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 20.3% | 17.0% | 13.3% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| KA Hamner | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 19.1% | 13.9% | 8.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Niah Ford | 6.0% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 15.8% | 11.7% | 6.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Ketner | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 15.9% | 24.5% | 19.9% | 6.8% | 1.5% |
| Emerson Bergan | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 43.3% | 36.1% |
| Abigail Austin | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 28.3% | 59.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.