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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.64+5.08vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.40+4.90vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.23+4.58vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.55+6.11vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.30+6.16vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.81+3.17vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+4.22vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.39-1.30vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+2.90vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.43+1.06vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.43-4.26vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.94-3.00vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.07-5.09vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston2.35-3.23vs Predicted
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151.91-2.22vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.54-5.66vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23-5.27vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-8.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.08Harvard University3.640.1%1st Place
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6.9Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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7.58Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.11U. S. Naval Academy2.550.0%1st Place
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11.16Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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9.17Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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11.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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6.7Stanford University3.390.1%1st Place
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11.9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.0%1st Place
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11.06Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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6.74Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.0Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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7.91Boston College3.070.1%1st Place
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10.77College of Charleston2.350.0%1st Place
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12.781.910.0%1st Place
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10.34Georgetown University2.540.0%1st Place
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11.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.0%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 11.0% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 8.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Jack Welburn | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.9% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
| Maks Groom | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.3% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Madison Bashaw | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.6% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.2% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Hamilton Barclay | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% |
| Henry Lee | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 19.7% |
| Diego Escobar | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 12.7% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.