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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.00+8.39vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.59+9.04vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.55+4.34vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.72+2.48vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.69+5.33vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.44+1.61vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+2.53vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.37-0.18vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.12-3.92vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.73+0.58vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.93-1.31vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.22+0.46vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.38-5.33vs Predicted
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14Olin College of Engineering-1.07+3.05vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.09-6.15vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.91-6.33vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.29-12.20vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University-0.12-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.39Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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11.04Connecticut College1.590.0%1st Place
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7.34Brown University2.550.1%1st Place
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6.48Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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10.33Boston University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.61Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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9.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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7.82Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
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5.08Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.730.0%1st Place
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9.69Tufts University1.930.0%1st Place
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12.46University of Vermont1.220.0%1st Place
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7.67Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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17.05Olin College of Engineering-1.070.0%1st Place
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8.85Bowdoin College2.090.0%1st Place
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9.67University of Rhode Island1.910.0%1st Place
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4.8Yale University3.290.2%1st Place
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15.59Fairfield University-0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Martins Atilla | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 9.5% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 0.5% |
| Peter Busch | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Harrison Strom | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 13.5% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Clark Morris | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Ethan Burt | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 17.5% | 14.6% | 2.6% |
| Mathieu Dale | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Ely | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 16.0% | 69.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Henry Lee | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Stephan Baker | 17.2% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jane Matthews | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 41.1% | 23.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.