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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.51+6.67vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.77+4.84vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.31+5.68vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.64+0.16vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.84+1.58vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57+5.71vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.81+3.65vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.38+0.22vs Predicted
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9Brown University0.97+1.19vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.93-3.75vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.14-1.56vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.05-2.33vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.14-3.59vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-2.24vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-3.36vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.74-8.89vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.14-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.67Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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6.84Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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8.68Brown University1.310.1%1st Place
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4.16Brown University2.640.2%1st Place
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6.58University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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11.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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10.65University of Rhode Island0.810.0%1st Place
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8.22University of Rhode Island1.380.1%1st Place
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10.19Brown University0.970.0%1st Place
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6.25Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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9.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.140.1%1st Place
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9.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.050.0%1st Place
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9.41Brown University1.140.0%1st Place
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11.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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11.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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7.11Tufts University1.740.1%1st Place
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13.03University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrien Bellanger | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Jack Flores | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Savannah Young | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Tyler Lamm | 19.6% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Grainger | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Ella Demand | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 14.0% |
| Cameron Silvers | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Emery Diemar | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% |
| Clark Morris | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| David Vinogradov | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Joey Richardson | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% |
| Gabby Collins | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% |
| Caroline Odell | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 13.9% |
| Meara Conley | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 15.1% |
| Oliver Keeves | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.4% | 0.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 15.0% | 27.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.