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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.86+3.65vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.24+4.06vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.94+4.01vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.36-0.42vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.37+3.13vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.64-0.87vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.20+1.33vs Predicted
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8Hampton University0.81-0.90vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University2.17-5.07vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.08-3.64vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.31-5.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.65University of Miami1.860.1%1st Place
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6.06Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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7.01Clemson University0.940.1%1st Place
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3.58College of Charleston2.360.2%1st Place
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8.13Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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5.13Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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8.33The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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7.1Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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3.93Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
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6.36Christopher Newport University1.080.1%1st Place
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5.74North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Hardee | 11.8% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Diogo Silva | 8.2% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 3.9% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 11.7% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 20.3% | 18.3% | 17.3% | 14.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 18.0% | 27.3% |
| Jordan Vieira | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Kenneth Buck | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 17.4% | 30.9% |
| Stefano Palamara | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 12.2% |
| Owen Bannasch | 17.0% | 19.0% | 14.9% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Bendura | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 6.8% |
| Benjamin Usher | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.