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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.08+4.71vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.61+4.75vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.85+3.36vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.12-0.56vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.62-0.62vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.61-1.53vs Predicted
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7Rollins College1.24-1.92vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.54-3.59vs Predicted
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9The Citadel-0.75+0.41vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.34-2.79vs Predicted
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11Clemson University-0.45-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71Old Dominion University1.080.1%1st Place
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6.75Hampton University0.610.1%1st Place
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6.36Christopher Newport University0.850.1%1st Place
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3.44College of Charleston2.120.2%1st Place
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4.38Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
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4.47Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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5.08Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
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4.41North Carolina State University1.540.1%1st Place
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9.41The Citadel-0.750.0%1st Place
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7.21University of Miami0.340.0%1st Place
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8.77Clemson University-0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Goodwin | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Tyler Brown | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 4.3% |
| Aston Atherton | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 3.8% |
| Eliott Raison | 21.4% | 20.0% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 14.8% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Igoe | 14.2% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Milo Miller | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Jacob Usher | 12.6% | 15.4% | 16.2% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Camden Hom | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 19.6% | 48.7% |
| Dan Elling | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 8.2% |
| Neil Bunce | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 13.7% | 24.1% | 30.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.