Race 9A

maisa-north-1-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Alexander Sachs 6.9% 9.9% 14.0% 13.8% 16.5% 15.6% 10.1% 7.1% 4.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Melissa Bermudez 4.5% 4.9% 6.7% 9.1% 12.8% 16.0% 14.7% 13.1% 8.0% 6.3% 2.6% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Austen Anderson 26.0% 24.9% 18.0% 15.6% 8.5% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Shawn Murray 35.0% 26.1% 17.9% 11.9% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Philip Alley 15.2% 16.0% 17.6% 17.9% 13.0% 10.3% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arthur Bailey IV 5.8% 7.2% 11.2% 13.8% 16.8% 14.3% 12.8% 8.2% 5.8% 2.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Danielle Sookiasian 1.2% 1.7% 2.4% 2.5% 3.4% 6.1% 7.7% 9.5% 12.9% 12.3% 16.3% 15.5% 8.5% 0.0% 0.0%
James Codega 1.2% 3.1% 3.2% 3.4% 5.3% 7.6% 11.6% 14.2% 13.6% 13.7% 10.7% 9.1% 3.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Danielle Sookiasian 1.2% 1.7% 2.4% 2.5% 3.4% 6.1% 7.7% 9.5% 12.9% 12.3% 16.3% 15.5% 8.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Clifton Kartner 1.1% 3.0% 3.1% 3.1% 5.1% 6.7% 9.9% 11.9% 13.5% 14.4% 13.0% 10.6% 4.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeffrey Gordon 1.2% 1.7% 3.1% 3.6% 4.4% 5.7% 9.1% 11.6% 13.9% 13.1% 13.0% 10.8% 8.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Edward Doran 0.9% 0.7% 1.1% 2.2% 4.3% 5.2% 7.8% 9.0% 12.3% 14.4% 16.1% 15.4% 10.6% 0.0% 0.0%
David Geer 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 2.2% 2.3% 3.8% 5.5% 6.1% 8.8% 11.6% 14.3% 19.5% 24.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jon Gambacorta 0.6% 0.1% 0.9% 0.9% 1.9% 1.8% 2.6% 6.0% 5.8% 9.9% 12.0% 17.5% 40.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jon Gambacorta 0.6% 0.1% 0.9% 0.9% 1.9% 1.8% 2.6% 6.0% 5.8% 9.9% 12.0% 17.5% 40.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.