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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.72+3.90vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+1.63vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.07+0.54vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.04-0.34vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.28+2.15vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.93+3.45vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology-2.49+6.52vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.48-0.22vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+0.76vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester-1.78+1.65vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.79-2.06vs Predicted
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12Villanova University-1.31-2.04vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy-2.72+1.24vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-1.97-1.75vs Predicted
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15Monmouth University-1.63-4.20vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina-2.92-1.44vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-0.45-9.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.9Hampton University0.7212.0%1st Place
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3.63U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.9920.0%1st Place
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3.54SUNY Maritime College1.0720.2%1st Place
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3.66St. Mary's College of Maryland1.0419.1%1st Place
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7.15Washington College-0.284.7%1st Place
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9.45Drexel University-0.932.2%1st Place
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13.52Stevens Institute of Technology-2.490.8%1st Place
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7.78Rochester Institute of Technology-0.483.4%1st Place
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9.76SUNY Stony Brook-0.601.8%1st Place
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11.65University of Rochester-1.781.4%1st Place
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8.94Princeton University-0.792.9%1st Place
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9.96Villanova University-1.312.0%1st Place
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14.24U. S. Military Academy-2.720.8%1st Place
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12.25Rutgers University-1.971.0%1st Place
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10.8Monmouth University-1.631.7%1st Place
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14.56University of North Carolina-2.920.4%1st Place
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7.21Princeton University-0.455.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 12.0% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 20.0% | 19.6% | 16.1% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Kuzloski | 20.2% | 18.4% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mats Braaten | 19.1% | 17.2% | 17.7% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tis | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Gianmarco Costa | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 16.0% | 18.8% | 18.9% |
| Ashley Franklin | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Gould | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 5.6% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Julia Priebke | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Ella Dieterlen | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 23.6% | 26.6% |
| Ralph Molinari | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 8.3% |
| Sarah Ward | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Andrew Shaz | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 18.9% | 35.6% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.