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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.30+5.94vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University0.94+6.69vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.72+3.12vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.56+3.33vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.56+4.78vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.08+2.37vs Predicted
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7Fordham University0.69+2.83vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College0.40+2.86vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.35-1.61vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College0.70-0.38vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.53-4.29vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.43-4.85vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.71-2.95vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.03-8.99vs Predicted
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15Bates College-0.67-0.62vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-5.91vs Predicted
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17Fordham University-0.99-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.94Webb Institute1.308.6%1st Place
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8.69Roger Williams University0.945.3%1st Place
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6.12Brown University1.7210.3%1st Place
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7.33Boston College1.567.7%1st Place
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9.78Boston University0.564.4%1st Place
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8.37Dartmouth College1.085.4%1st Place
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9.83Fordham University0.693.6%1st Place
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10.86Bowdoin College0.402.6%1st Place
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7.39Boston College1.357.1%1st Place
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9.62Dartmouth College0.704.3%1st Place
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6.71Tufts University1.538.6%1st Place
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7.15Roger Williams University1.438.2%1st Place
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10.05Tufts University0.713.5%1st Place
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5.01Brown University2.0315.2%1st Place
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14.38Bates College-0.671.0%1st Place
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10.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.6%1st Place
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14.69Fordham University-0.990.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett Botwinick | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jakub Fuja | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Ethan Simpson | 10.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nick Budington | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Ben Sheppard | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| James Owen | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| Timmy Gee | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 4.8% |
| Griffin Gigliotti | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Devon Owen | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jed Lory | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Julia Shannon-Grillo | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 2.8% |
| Martins Atilla | 15.2% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Yolles | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 23.9% | 35.8% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 2.9% |
| Brendan Sheeran | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 19.6% | 44.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.