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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
29
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+6.53vs Predicted
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2Stanford University4.19+2.94vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine1.35+14.04vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.47+3.57vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.82+1.10vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.91-0.04vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.73-0.46vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.40-0.61vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands0.37+12.30vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon0.46+11.10vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.90-1.18vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy2.38+0.81vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University2.21+0.02vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-2.41vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.89-4.95vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.62-5.00vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University1.61-0.89vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University1.42-1.05vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego1.81-3.89vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-2.82vs Predicted
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21University of Southern California2.47-9.15vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University1.51-5.21vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles0.44-1.71vs Predicted
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25California State University Channel Islands0.37-3.70vs Predicted
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26University of California at Davis-0.36-1.87vs Predicted
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27University of California at Berkeley0.02-4.25vs Predicted
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28University of Texas-0.22-4.69vs Predicted
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29University of California at Santa Cruz0.27-7.31vs Predicted
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30University of Hawaii-0.80-4.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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4.94Stanford University4.190.2%1st Place
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17.04University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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7.57Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.1Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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5.96Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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6.54College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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7.39Fordham University3.400.1%1st Place
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21.3California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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21.1University of Oregon0.460.0%1st Place
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9.82U. S. Naval Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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12.81California Poly Maritime Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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13.02Western Washington University2.210.0%1st Place
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11.59University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.0%1st Place
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10.05Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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11.0Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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16.11Northwestern University1.610.0%1st Place
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16.95Santa Clara University1.420.0%1st Place
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15.11University of California at San Diego1.810.0%1st Place
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17.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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11.85University of Southern California2.470.0%1st Place
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16.79Arizona State University1.510.0%1st Place
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21.29University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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21.3California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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24.13University of California at Davis-0.360.0%1st Place
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22.75University of California at Berkeley0.020.0%1st Place
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23.31University of Texas-0.220.0%1st Place
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21.69University of California at Santa Cruz0.270.0%1st Place
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25.07University of Hawaii-0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanna Vincent | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 15.6% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Golden | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 11.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Bowman | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Davidson | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jacob | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Pearce | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Lynch | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tony Collins | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Powell | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kiersten McDonald | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spenser Branch | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Wilkerson | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 17.6% | 21.7% | 0.0% |
| Frank Ma | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Welch | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimberley Cohan | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Stewart | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 17.1% | 34.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.