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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.60+2.26vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles-0.23+8.11vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California-0.01+5.61vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.33+5.67vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.57+1.16vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27+2.55vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.70+5.32vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.30-0.57vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-1.41+6.17vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.93+8.13vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.25-0.32vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-1.09+1.99vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-1.21+1.84vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-3.08+8.10vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-0.75-2.96vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.11-1.70vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35-10.07vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands-1.94-0.13vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-1.03-5.42vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.41-4.47vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-0.94-7.72vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-1.77-4.70vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-1.39-7.31vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University-2.11-5.30vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-2.15-6.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26California Poly Maritime Academy1.6026.2%1st Place
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10.11University of California at Los Angeles-0.234.5%1st Place
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8.61University of Southern California-0.015.5%1st Place
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9.67University of California at San Diego-0.334.3%1st Place
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6.16University of California at Santa Barbara0.579.8%1st Place
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8.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.275.6%1st Place
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12.32University of California at San Diego-0.702.9%1st Place
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7.43University of California at Santa Cruz0.306.9%1st Place
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15.17University of California at Davis-1.411.1%1st Place
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18.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.931.0%1st Place
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10.68University of California at Berkeley-0.253.5%1st Place
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13.99San Diego State University-1.092.0%1st Place
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14.84Arizona State University-1.211.5%1st Place
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22.1University of California at San Diego-3.080.2%1st Place
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12.04University of California at Berkeley-0.753.5%1st Place
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14.3University of California at San Diego-1.111.5%1st Place
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6.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.359.0%1st Place
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17.87California State University Channel Islands-1.940.8%1st Place
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13.58University of California at Los Angeles-1.032.6%1st Place
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15.53University of California at San Diego-1.411.6%1st Place
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13.28University of California at San Diego-0.942.1%1st Place
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17.3University of California at Los Angeles-1.771.1%1st Place
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15.69University of California at Los Angeles-1.391.3%1st Place
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18.7Arizona State University-2.111.0%1st Place
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18.76University of California at Davis-2.150.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cyrus Khaleeli | 26.2% | 22.8% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eleanor Desai | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Franck | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Erisman | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Summer Drake | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Melody Quevedo | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Alexis Di Stefano | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 8.1% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Adeline Spencer | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| William Bailly | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| natasha chiotis | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 47.3% |
| Connor Fagan | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Rodgers | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.7% |
| samson grunwald | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Logan Lavine | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Perkins | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 5.0% |
| Deven Douglas | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Hayden shaw | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 11.2% |
| Bryson Dort | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.