Acton Up

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 35 35
2 Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 61 61
3 Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 2 80 80
4 Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 1 81 81
5 Denison University Denison University Big Red 87 87
6 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 1 97 97
7 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 2 119 119
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 R19 R20 TOT Sailors
Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 2 1 1 1 3 3 1 1 4 6 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 35 Max Burson '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14, 17-18]
Otto Wenzler '16 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15-16, 19-20]
Audrey York '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14, 17-18]
Kristin Schulze '19 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15-16, 19-20]
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 3 2 2 4 1 1 5 4 3 1 1 4 2 3 2 5 2 7 3 6 61 Ryan Mabie '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14, 17-18]
Grant Moore '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15-16, 19-20]
Blake Utz '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14, 17-18]
Matt Bracey '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15-16, 19-20]
Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 2 1 5 3 5 4 7 3 3 1 2 3 6 6 6 6 3 6 3 4 3 80 Taylor Sackett '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14, 17-18]
Andrew Atkins '19 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15-16, 19-20]
Sofia Trexler '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14, 17-18]
Jacob Brady '19 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15-16, 19-20]
Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 1 5 4 5 2 6 4 2 7 2 5 4 2 5 4 3 2 5 5 7 2 81 Abby Freeman '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14, 17-18]
Rob Berry '16 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15-16, 19-20]
Alyssa Das '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14, 17-18]
Austin Erickson '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15-16, 19-20]
Denison University Denison University Big Red 4 7 4 3 2 2 7 6 5 3 5 3 3 5 4 7 4 4 2 7 87 Margot Sherman Jollis '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14, 17-18]
William Griswold '19 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15-16, 19-20]
Madeline Grisaru '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14, 17-18]
Sam Ferrone '19 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15-16, 19-20]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 1 6 3 6 6 5 6 6 5 6 7 7 5 4 1 5 4 3 2 5 5 97 Andrew Lenzo '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14, 17-18]
Anatoliy Kryvenko '15 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15-16, 19-20]
Eli Hochberg '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14, 17-18]
Patrick Burns '16 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15-16, 19-20]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 2 7 6 7 7 7 5 4 2 7 4 6 7 7 7 7 6 7 6 6 4 119 Luke Lecoche '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14, 17-18]
Maxwell Maguire '16 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15-16, 19-20]
Amy Cilensek '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14, 17-18]
Nathan Fellows '18 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15-16, 19-20]
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Denison University Denison University Big Red Margot Sherman Jollis '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14, 17-18]
William Griswold '19 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15-16, 19-20]
Madeline Grisaru '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14, 17-18]
Sam Ferrone '19 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15-16, 19-20]
Miami University Miami University Red Hawks Max Burson '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14, 17-18]
Otto Wenzler '16 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15-16, 19-20]
Audrey York '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14, 17-18]
Kristin Schulze '19 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15-16, 19-20]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 1 Andrew Lenzo '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14, 17-18]
Anatoliy Kryvenko '15 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15-16, 19-20]
Eli Hochberg '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14, 17-18]
Patrick Burns '16 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15-16, 19-20]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 2 Luke Lecoche '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14, 17-18]
Maxwell Maguire '16 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15-16, 19-20]
Amy Cilensek '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14, 17-18]
Nathan Fellows '18 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15-16, 19-20]
Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 1 Abby Freeman '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14, 17-18]
Rob Berry '16 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15-16, 19-20]
Alyssa Das '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14, 17-18]
Austin Erickson '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15-16, 19-20]
Ohio University Ohio University Bobcats 2 Taylor Sackett '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14, 17-18]
Andrew Atkins '19 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15-16, 19-20]
Sofia Trexler '18 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14, 17-18]
Jacob Brady '19 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15-16, 19-20]
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos Ryan Mabie '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14, 17-18]
Grant Moore '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15-16, 19-20]
Blake Utz '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14, 17-18]
Matt Bracey '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15-16, 19-20]

Conditions — 09/12/2015 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 69%  ·  Pressure 1013.4 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 58°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.3 kn
avg  ·  max 9.0 kn
Gusts to 21.0 kn
From NNW (341°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover72% Sunshine10.3 hrs Humidity69% Pressure1013.4 hPa Rain0.04 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 10 kn · NW 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Miami University: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.17 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.28 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Miami University by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Miami University, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →