| School | Team | |
|---|---|---|
 |
Cornell | Big Red 1 (1) |
|
Cornell | Big Red 2 (2) |
|
Cornell | Big Red 3 (3) |
 |
Fordham | Rams 1 (1) |
|
Fordham | Rams 2 (2) |
|
Fordham | Rams 3 (3) |
 |
Hobart & William | Statesmen 1 (1) |
|
Hobart & William | Statesmen 2 (2) |
|
Hobart & William | Statesmen 3 (3) |
 |
Kings Point | Mariners 1 (1) |
|
Kings Point | Mariners 2 (2) |
|
Kings Point | Mariners 3 (3) |
 |
NY Maritime | Privateers 1 (1) |
|
NY Maritime | Privateers 2 (2) |
|
NY Maritime | Privateers 3 (3) |
 |
Pennsylvania | Quakers 1 (1) |
|
Pennsylvania | Quakers 2 (2) |
|
Pennsylvania | Quakers 3 (3) |
| School | Win | Top 3 | Avg finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| University of Pennsylvania | 56.3% | 95% | 1.7 |
| Fordham University | 21.6% | 78% | 2.6 |
| Hobart and William Smith Colleges | 16.5% | 75% | 2.7 |
| Cornell University | 3.0% | 21% | 4.4 |
| U. S. Merchant Marine Academy | 1.4% | 16% | 4.8 |
| SUNY Maritime College | 1.2% | 13% | 4.8 |
Forecast from 5,000 simulated regattas. Strengths come from each school's predicted line-up and its sailors' ratings. The forecast is not official and changes as entries and line-ups are published.
| School | R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | R5 | R6 | R7 | R8 | R9 | R10 | R11 | R12 | R13 | R14 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cornell (Big Red 1) | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| Cornell (Big Red 2) | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| Cornell (Big Red 3) | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
| Fordham (Rams 1) | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 |
| Fordham (Rams 2) | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
| Fordham (Rams 3) | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 |
| Hobart & William (Statesmen 1) | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 |
| Hobart & William (Statesmen 2) | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 |
| Hobart & William (Statesmen 3) | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 |
| Kings Point (Mariners 1) | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 1 | 1 |
| Kings Point (Mariners 2) | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Kings Point (Mariners 3) | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| NY Maritime (Privateers 1) | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 |
| NY Maritime (Privateers 2) | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 |
| NY Maritime (Privateers 3) | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 |
| Pennsylvania (Quakers 1) | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Pennsylvania (Quakers 2) | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| Pennsylvania (Quakers 3) | 18 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.17 means a rating gap counts about 15% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.
