MCSA Match Race Championship

SchoolTeam
Chicago Chicago Maroons
Hope Hope Flying Dutchmen
Illinois Illinois Illini
Michigan Michigan Wolverines
Northwestern Northwestern Wildcats
Notre Dame Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Wisconsin Wisconsin Badgers
SchoolWin Top 3Avg finish
University of Chicago20.2%57%3.3
University of Illinois17.7%51%3.6
Northwestern University16.5%49%3.7
Hope College12.8%39%4.1
University of Notre Dame12.4%39%4.2
University of Wisconsin12.0%37%4.3
University of Michigan8.4%27%4.9

Forecast from 5,000 simulated regattas. Keelboat: a boat's strength is its best helm's rating, plus the crew's main ratings and the school's keelboat program effect. The forecast is not official and changes as entries and line-ups are published.

Boat Speed Analyzer

Division A

SchoolR1R2R3R4R5R6R7
ChicagoChicago (Maroons)5555555
HopeHope (Flying Dutchmen)3333333
IllinoisIllinois (Illini)1111111
MichiganMichigan (Wolverines)7777777
NorthwesternNorthwestern (Wildcats)2222222
Notre DameNotre Dame (Fighting Irish)6666666
WisconsinWisconsin (Badgers)4444444

Conditions — 10/03/2026 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1026.3 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.8 kn
avg  ·  max 7.3 kn
Gusts to 10.3 kn
From ENE (65°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover11% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1026.3 hPa

What this breeze does at Michigan — from fleet racing

Breeze: NE about 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Michigan in this breeze: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.14)
Favourites’ conditions: in fleet racing here the results follow the ratings more closely than usual, and the top seeds hold their places.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.14 means a rating gap counts about 12% more than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Michigan by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 12 labelled days at Michigan, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).