Predicted lineups — this week

Who the model thinks each school will actually put on the water, for every upcoming Fall 2026 regatta — not just which school is favored, but which specific sailors get picked. See simulated results → for what these lineups mean for who actually wins.

Predicted skipper: a neural lineup-selection model (trained on years of actual skipper selections) picks a skipper for each division — A, B, etc. — from each school's live f26 roster, using recent race frequency, current Plackett–Luce rating, and regatta strength as features. Strength is grounded in real history where possible: it's the actual field from last year's matching edition of that regatta (matched by host + name, since regatta names drift year to year) — each school's best current-rated sailor who actually raced it then, falling back to this year's current-roster-best only for schools that didn't race it last year or when no matching regatta is found at all. Where a school's fall roster page isn't fully published yet, candidates are carried forward (marked †) from their f25 roster or actual Spring 2026 race participation, excluding anyone who graduated in the Class of 2026.

Predicted crew: this is not model output — the selection model was only ever trained on skipper choices. It's a simple, weaker heuristic: each predicted skipper's most frequent actual crew partner over the last two seasons of real results (shown as races together / races with any crew), not a probability estimate.

Quinn's race this week

Harry H. Anderson Jr. Trophy — Brown

Yale · 09/12/2026

Division A — predicted skipper: Blake Behrens (rating 3.57)

Blake Behrens49%
James Brock19%
Noah Stapleton13%
Cam Spriggs11%
Laura Hamilton5%
Other3%

Usual crew: Vera Allen (6 of 58 recent races with Blake Behrens)

Division B — predicted skipper: James Brock † (rating 3.21)

James Brock28%
Cam Spriggs25%
Noah Stapleton23%
Julian Dahiya8%
Laura Hamilton5%
Other10%

Usual crew: Phoebe Fogarty (16 of 37 recent races with James Brock)

Every regatta this week

SAISA North Top 6 Invite

UNC Wilmington · 09/12/2026 · 6 schools

Last year's field (SAISA North Top 6 Invitational (f25), 276 sailors) — mean 0.99, median 0.83, max 2.75 rating

School	Predicted Skipper	Predicted Crew
Clemson University	A Luke Adams (1.05) 16%	A Matthew Laufer (25/48)
College of Charleston	A Jonnie Ciffolillo (2.72) 25%	A Andrea Melnik (22/31)
Duke University	A Jack Wigmore † (-0.02) 38%	A Ava Wietlisbach (16/25)
North Carolina State University	A Kevin Gosselin † (2.26) 25%	A Joseph Morgan (11/20)
University of North Carolina at Wilmington	A Elliot Neve † (-1.16) 21%	A Emi Ollice (16/24)
University of South Carolina	A Sarah Plants † (0.23) 40%	A No Show (11/28)

SAISA South Top 6 Invite

South Florida · 09/12/2026 · 6 schools

Last year's field (SAISA South Top 6 Invitational (f25), 227 sailors) — mean 1.14, median 1.28, max 2.69 rating

School	Predicted Skipper	Predicted Crew
Eckerd College	A Pj Rodrigues † (2.40) 41%	A Avery Guck (105/105)
Florida State University	A Kamron Kaiser † (1.36) 46%	A Suzie Nguyen (55/68)
Jacksonville University	A Cole Schweda † (2.51) 20%	A Taylor Collison (64/69)
Rollins College	A Milo Miller † (2.02) 35%	A Alexander Goldsmith (29/45)
University of Miami	A David Webb (1.13) 28%	A Arantxa Argibay (3/10)
University of South Florida	A Efe Guder (1.99) 30%	A Macy Parke (56/69)

Fall Fury

Wisconsin · 09/12/2026 · 11 schools

Last year's field (Fall Fury (f25), 173 sailors) — mean 0.15, median 0.14, max 2.10 rating

School	Predicted Skipper	Predicted Crew
Arizona State University	A Juan Casal † (0.93) 66% B Samantha George † (-0.08) 26%	A Veja Zaprauskis (45/45) B Will Harris (2/2)
Hope College	A Lucas Nykamp † (1.49) 88% B Caroline Henry † (0.10) 78%	A Ella Sligh (22/33) B Adelyn Zimmerman (28/47)
Michigan State University	A Sophia Worden (-0.50) 22% B Lucia Sharp † (-0.92) 72%	A no crew history B Sophia Worden (12/24)
Michigan Technological University	A Lucas Rodenroth † (1.54) 64% B Casey Dietsch † (0.74) 60%	A Lillian Molitor (21/29) B Gavin Parsons (15/33)
Northern Michigan University	A Will Turner † (0.42) 94% B Johnny Swords † (-0.39) 100%	A Erica Burcar (14/18) B Maggie Swords (4/4)
Northwestern University	A Jake Weinstein † (1.78) 33% B Gavin Eskilson † (1.34) 44%	A Miranda Beitel (8/10) B Miranda Beitel (16/24)
Purdue University	A Christopher Draper † (0.70) 41% B Gavin Holmes † (0.29) 41%	A no crew history B Olivia Degrella (11/11)
University of Michigan	A Lorenzo Puertas † (2.10) 24% B Graham Rebain (1.49) 25%	A Grace Redner (65/89) B Tilden Coate (14/32)
University of Minnesota	A Thomas Marino † (1.04) 67% B Joshua Van Norman † (0.20) 52%	A no crew history B Rachel Yanoff (10/21)
University of Wisconsin	A Abe Weston † (1.82) 61% B Adam Pickhardt † (1.05) 53%	A Paige Kurtenbach (41/41) B no crew history
Western Michigan University	A Tanner Leikam † (-0.51) 100%	A Holden Gray (4/4)

SAISA Women's Singlehanded Championship

U. Miami · 09/12/2026 · 5 schools

Last year's field (SAISA Women's Singlehanded Champs (f25), 18 sailors) — mean 1.78, median 1.66, max 2.79 rating

School	Predicted Skipper	Predicted Crew
College of Charleston	A Bella Shakespeare (2.79) 54% B Ashley Alfortish (2.61) 52%	A Lucy Elvart (41/89) B Andrea Melnik (40/105)
Florida Institute of Technology	A Abigail Hesterhagen (-1.36) 34%	A Martina Nicolay (12/20)
Rollins College	A Annie Samis † (1.66) 34%	A Jane Mckenzie (67/77)
University of Miami	A Arantxa Argibay (1.03) 68%	A Gizela Kohan (14/35)
University of South Florida	A Kailey Warrior (2.06) 30%	A Esme Pray (14/107)

Riley Cup

Old Dominion · 09/12/2026 · 14 schools

Last year's field (Riley Cup (f25), 538 sailors) — mean 0.84, median 0.57, max 3.29 rating

School	Predicted Skipper	Predicted Crew
American University	A Miles White † (0.33) 52% B James Cottage † (-0.03) 72%	A Scarlett Ray (12/22) B Claire Gover (20/40)
Christopher Newport University	A Walter Roou † (0.47) 62% B Griffin Donahoe (0.26) 100%	A Jacob Fleming (24/24) B Corine Glickstein (14/14)
George Washington University	A Hayden Clary † (0.98) 39% B Caitlyn Schwartz † (-0.00) 36%	A Julia Mole (97/128) B no crew history
Georgetown University	A Peter Herlihy (3.42) 39% B Pierce Olsen (3.33) 46% C Peter Barnard (2.93) 35% D Fynn Olsen (2.61) 21%	A Scarlett Harris (36/36) B Ava Cohen (9/9) C Teddy Stoldt (24/24) D no crew history
Hampton University	A Ivet Bejar † (0.13) 93% B Jackson Manley † (-1.64) 100%	A Micah Brandel (28/76) B Kera Beckles (28/28)
Old Dominion University	A Marina Conde (2.30) 29% B Pierce Brindley (2.20) 43% C Blake Goodwin † (1.96) 30% D Madison Bivins (-0.65) 15%	A Molly Hanson (45/98) B Madison Bivins (34/46) C Emil Body-Goldberg (6/36) D no crew history
Penn State University	A Joseph Murphy † (1.50) 60% B Claire Sullivan † (1.17) 82%	A Isabell Thill (37/56) B Katie Loeper (8/15)
St. Mary's College of Maryland	A Nathan Jensen (2.91) 57% B Landon Cormie (2.76) 68% C Scott Opert (1.65) 28% D Max Kleha † (1.32) 23%	A Brooke Bertrand (78/78) B no crew history C Emery Strockbine (14/35) D Lois Jones (14/14)
U. S. Naval Academy	A Kyle Reinecke (3.29) 66% B Henry Allgeier (3.07) 49% C Hugh Carty (2.39) 27% D Umi Noritake (2.36) 23%	A Ana Lynch Smith (31/31) B Fiona Cullen (49/49) C Eva Ottenbreit (8/30) D Eva Ottenbreit (8/8)
University of Delaware	A Jake Alexander † (-0.32) 31% B Anna Kucharik † (-0.65) 41%	A Jonluke O'Cain (6/8) B Catalina Cedeno (2/2)
University of Maryland	A Eli Leopold † (0.58) 33% B Connor Smith † (0.46) 45%	A Ken Tashiro (13/41) B Roan Olson (16/17)
University of Virginia	A Grace Earl † (0.94) 50% B Gracie Goodwin † (-0.11) 33%	A Abigail Burritt (14/14) B Jackson Beam (28/70)
Virginia Tech	A James Lilyquist † (1.55) 57% B Zachary Bender † (1.22) 95%	A Arturo Soriano Iii (51/103) B Ray Mcdonald (22/53)
William and Mary	A Eric Johnson † (0.25) 36% B Hugh Carney † (-0.22) 21%	A no crew history B Elizabeth Thesmar (4/4)

Chester River Open

Washington College · 09/12/2026 · 5 schools

No matching regatta last year — strength estimated from current rosters instead.

School	Predicted Skipper	Predicted Crew
Princeton University	A Advik Eswaran † (0.47) 18%	A Alex Wszolek (30/75)
U. S. Naval Academy	A Leo Robillard (2.25) 15%	A Ethan Martin (28/48)
University of Delaware	A Kylie Mccabe † (-0.82) 32%	A Ryan Curran (10/10)
University of Maryland/Baltimore County	no prediction available
Washington College	A Alexander Salzberg † (0.30) 36%	A Soledad Fintel (22/64)

Mt. Hope Bay Invite

Roger Williams · 09/12/2026 · 5 schools

Last year's field (Mt. Hope Bay Invite (f25), 240 sailors) — mean 0.58, median 0.55, max 2.19 rating

School	Predicted Skipper	Predicted Crew
Massachusetts Maritime Academy	A Luke Kenahan † (1.02) 52% B Zach Earnshaw † (0.66) 47% C Evan Tofolo † (0.56) 38%	A Mallory Dietsch (35/35) B Zachary Starr (12/40) C Luke Dubois (22/39)
Roger Williams University	A Edward Herman † (2.19) 19% B Ludwik Grzelak † (1.85) 17% C Carl Furhoff (1.42) 26%	A Max Hanson (12/32) B Panni Missura (25/30) C Emily Gaillard (20/25)
Salve Regina University	A Jack Schneider † (1.63) 55% B Robert Heath † (1.02) 58% C Emilia Perriera † (0.59) 32%	A Emma Sharpe (96/96) B Bridget Theisen (55/55) C Nina Muscarella (53/66)
U. S. Coast Guard Academy	A Joey Richardson † (1.86) 19% B David Vinogradov † (1.61) 21% C John Fichtenholtz † (1.18) 20%	A Julian Henderson (17/33) B Will Bryant (8/25) C Sydney Zylinski (15/48)
University of Rhode Island	A Leonardo Burnham (1.83) 22% B Zachary Severson (1.74) 40% C Pierson Falk (1.29) 20%	A Ava Kiss (23/70) B Ava Deangelis (18/39) C Quin Schneider (12/38)

Penobscot Bay Open

Maine Maritime · 09/12/2026 · 8 schools

Last year's field (Penobscot Bay Open (f25), 212 sailors) — mean 0.38, median 0.55, max 1.61 rating

School	Predicted Skipper	Predicted Crew
Bates College	A Gabriel Holmes † (0.00) 33%	A Christopher Jenkins (7/7)
Boston University	A Aadi Sethi † (0.29) 13%	A Wilson Von Rohr (7/13)
Maine Maritime Academy	A Toby Clarkson (1.61) 32% B Finn Deprez (1.26) 25%	A Isabel Dickson (14/62) B George White (26/30)
Massachusetts Maritime Academy	A Zach Earnshaw † (0.66) 17%	A Zachary Starr (12/40)
McGill University	A Eben Dooling (0.85) 55%	A Adrianna Ruffolo (4/8)
Northeastern University	A Caeden Nodurft † (1.12) 17%	A Matthew Chen (21/49)
Salve Regina University	A Emilia Perriera † (0.59) 17%	A Nina Muscarella (53/66)
University of New Hampshire	A Ted Richardsson † (0.55) 27%	A Nathan Kluskiewicz (40/48)

Harman Cup

Maine Maritime · 09/12/2026 · 8 schools

No matching regatta last year — strength estimated from current rosters instead.

School	Predicted Skipper	Predicted Crew
Boston University	A Max Teo (2.49) 25%	A Meg Woolverton (49/70)
Bowdoin College	A Michelangelo Vecchio (2.43) 19%	A Elizabeth Wire (16/57)
Maine Maritime Academy	A Toby Clarkson (1.61) 21%	A Isabel Dickson (14/62)
Massachusetts Maritime Academy	A Luke Kenahan † (1.02) 29%	A Mallory Dietsch (35/35)
Northeastern University	A Gavin Hudson † (2.01) 20%	A Winter Vetrone (6/55)
Tufts University	A Pearse Dowd (2.81) 15%	A Sean Beaver (24/37)
University of New Hampshire	A Ted Richardsson † (0.55) 42%	A Nathan Kluskiewicz (40/48)
University of Vermont	A Jack Taylor † (0.51) 25%	A no crew history

Harry H. Anderson Jr. Trophy

Yale · 09/12/2026 · 17 schools

Last year's field (Harry Anderson Trophy (f25), 324 sailors) — mean 1.71, median 2.00, max 3.57 rating

School	Predicted Skipper	Predicted Crew
Babson College	A James Zanenga † (0.75) 100%	A Szymon Jurczyk (30/30)
Boston College	A Cody Roe (2.85) 43% B Alex Lech (2.54) 32%	A Christian Yanoti (32/32) B Ainsley West (4/6)
Boston University	A Max Teo (2.49) 86% B Beckett Shinn (1.83) 32%	A Meg Woolverton (49/70) B Amanda Wong (9/9)
Bowdoin College	A Michelangelo Vecchio (2.43) 70% B Lucca Antonietti (2.06) 34%	A Elizabeth Wire (16/57) B Maggie Tripp (27/37)
Brown University	A Blake Behrens (3.57) 49% B James Brock † (3.21) 28%	A Vera Allen (6/58) B Phoebe Fogarty (16/37)
Connecticut College	A Henry Scholz † (1.99) 49% B William Hurd † (1.80) 66%	A Vivian Smith (28/28) B Madeline Synnestvedt (42/55)
Dartmouth College	A Ryan Satterberg † (3.16) 48% B Chase Decker † (3.13) 52%	A Vivian Heitkoetter (7/63) B no crew history
Harvard University	A Robby Meek † (3.28) 55% B Jacob Posner † (2.88) 59%	A Rosella Irfan (24/24) B Amelie Zucker (27/27)
Massachusetts Institute of Technology	A Robert Ulmer † (2.85) 72% B William Kulas † (2.40) 48%	A Ellie Pinto (55/61) B Elliott Chalcraft (49/55)
McGill University	A Eben Dooling (0.85) 52% B Noe Portelance (0.37) 72%	A Adrianna Ruffolo (4/8) B Myah Hassan (9/18)
Northeastern University	A Gavin Hudson † (2.01) 34% B Charles Wilkinson † (1.67) 36%	A Winter Vetrone (6/55) B Ryan Tedeschi (34/67)
Roger Williams University	A Carlos De Castro † (3.56) 64% B Parker Moore (3.01) 28%	A Jed Lory (35/38) B Maddy Martin (14/56)
Tufts University	A Pearse Dowd (2.81) 56% B Courtland Doyle (1.90) 21%	A Sean Beaver (24/37) B Sean Beaver (11/20)
U. S. Coast Guard Academy	A Richard Pokorny † (2.10) 38% B Benjamin Reeser † (2.04) 38%	A Grace Boudreau (14/67) B Isabella Clark (29/33)
University of Rhode Island	A Keith Grupenhoff (2.33) 46% B Christopher Chwalk (1.91) 44%	A Eric Pohl (42/65) B Ava Kiss (8/24)
University of Vermont	A Julia Brighton † (-0.17) 33% B Cooper Smith † (-0.53) 90%	A no crew history B Marguerite Torres Stickney (29/64)
Yale University	A Morgan Pinckney † (3.18) 68% B Dorothy Mendelblatt † (2.88) 36%	A Annabel Woodworth (49/49) B Clara DãAz Suã¡Rez (1/72)

SAISA Open Singlehanded Championship

U. Miami · 09/12/2026 · 5 schools

Last year's field (SAISA Open Singlehanded Champs (f25), 60 sailors) — mean 0.71, median 0.91, max 2.38 rating

School	Predicted Skipper	Predicted Crew
College of Charleston	A Georgia Shuster (2.15) 21% B Belle Placa (1.60) 57%	A Belle Placa (12/21) B no crew history
Jacksonville University	A Hank Seum † (2.45) 16%	A Madison Mihan (29/51)
North Carolina State University	A Kevin Gosselin † (2.26) 24%	A Joseph Morgan (11/20)
University of Central Florida	A Rain Hong † (-0.81) 100%	A Luisa Ramirez (11/31)
University of Miami	A William Stratton (2.03) 23%	A Ana Stewart (21/59)

Northeast Qualifier 1

Stony Brook · 09/13/2026 · 7 schools

Last year's field (Northeast Qualifier #1 (f25), 78 sailors) — mean -0.41, median -0.52, max 1.20 rating

School	Predicted Skipper	Predicted Crew
Columbia University	A Stella Manyan † (0.03) 81% B Elizabeth Frost † (1.61) 100%	A Nadia Fisch (16/26) B Stella Manyan (68/122)
Hamilton College	A Alan Becker † (0.91) 96% B Reid Chapman † (-1.23) 100%	A Mary Powell (13/13) B Nat Gale (6/14)
SUNY Maritime College	A Nathaniel Hartwell (1.20) 32% B Jeremy Lunati (0.53) 22%	A Juliana Sarich (25/61) B Juliana Sarich (34/50)
SUNY Stony Brook	A Jeffrey Rhoads † (-0.24) 38% B Sophia Dimont † (-0.76) 34%	A Amy Chen (12/28) B Avery Connor (2/34)
Stevens Institute of Technology	A Oscar Mcmahan † (-0.78) 55% B Tristan Feves † (-1.89) 55%	A Jack Ceriello (8/13) B Nolan Thompson (14/21)
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy	A Benjamin Mohrman † (1.07) 23% B Kevin Ryan † (0.48) 22%	A Peter Mascilli (22/42) B Elliott Chamberland (8/30)
U. S. Military Academy	A Morgan Zylinski † (0.03) 69% B Ella Dieterlen † (-1.16) 50%	A Matthew Grube (7/7) B Madelyn Zimmerman (10/10)

SAISA North Fall Tournament

UNC Wilmington · 09/13/2026 · 12 schools

Last year's field (SAISA North Fall Tournament (f25), 99 sailors) — mean -0.06, median -0.19, max 1.64 rating

School	Predicted Skipper	Predicted Crew
Clemson University	A Ian Richardson (1.64) 26% B Luke Adams (1.05) 20%	A Madeleine Harris (49/65) B Matthew Laufer (25/48)
Davidson College	A Nicholas Skarbek-Borowski † (-0.67) 46% B Taehee Kim † (-0.79) 50%	A Ken Xia (11/11) B no crew history
Duke University	A Jack Wigmore † (-0.02) 35% B Kay Lyon † (-0.56) 35%	A Ava Wietlisbach (16/25) B Ava Wietlisbach (12/12)
North Carolina State University	A Callen Burnett † (1.56) 30% B Adam Nilsson † (1.11) 28%	A Anneliese Farner (14/23) B Eleanor Crandall (18/18)
The Citadel	A Ben Stevenson † (-0.73) 73% B Richard Batton † (-1.18) 100%	A Daniel Mckenzie (9/9) B Dominic Catalano (5/5)
University of Georgia	A Nate Wilson † (0.00) 82% B Buckley Wiley † (-1.03) 100%	A Mariam Kalathil (6/6) B Sam Dreamer (14/20)
University of North Carolina	A Julia Brighton † (-0.17) 76% B Lillian Copplestone † (-0.78) 100%	A no crew history B no crew history
University of North Carolina at Wilmington	A Christopher Tierney † (-0.62) 42% B Elliot Neve † (-1.16) 25%	A Broderick Dayalu (12/21) B Emi Ollice (16/24)
University of South Carolina	A Henry Elmore (0.63) 52% B Sarah Plants † (0.23) 64%	A Theresa Ziehl (30/42) B No Show (11/28)
University of Tennessee	A Jack Riley † (1.55) 87% B Karina Nieting † (-0.17) 26%	A Sydney Krahulik (47/69) B Jacob Townsend (5/22)
Vanderbilt University	A Haonan Wang † (0.00) 100%	A Allison Valji (6/6)
Wake Forest University	A Quinn Healey † (0.58) 85% B Yolanda Fan † (-0.19) 100%	A Yolanda Fan (3/3) B no crew history

SAISA South Fall Tournament

South Florida · 09/13/2026 · 10 schools

Last year's field (SAISA South Fall Tournament (f25), 284 sailors) — mean 0.42, median 0.24, max 2.45 rating

School	Predicted Skipper	Predicted Crew
Eckerd College	A Pj Rodrigues † (2.40) 65% B Jordan Vieira † (2.11) 86% C Peter Miller † (1.11) 100%	A Avery Guck (105/105) B no crew history C Peyton Seidle (68/68)
Embry-Riddle University	A Mason Howell † (0.19) 47% B Jess Dai † (-0.49) 17%	A Christopher Cunha (25/51) B Lawson Policari (6/18)
Florida Institute of Technology	A Colin Yarbrough (0.26) 75% B Matthew Schuler (-0.33) 48%	A Carson Rocha (8/8) B Carson Rocha (12/28)
Florida State University	A Kamron Kaiser † (1.36) 64% B Carter Weatherilt † (1.07) 98% C Samantha Eckert † (0.06) 72% D Sidney Sicignano † (-0.31) 42%	A Suzie Nguyen (55/68) B Suzie Nguyen (60/74) C Zz Nichols (37/88) D Joshua Osborne (2/2)
Jacksonville University	A Hank Seum † (2.45) 42% B Parker Thran † (1.87) 47% C Mason Mattice † (1.76) 49% D Fiona Froelich † (1.42) 59% E Sean Ellison † (1.27) 33% F Ella Wisely † (0.63) 19%	A Madison Mihan (29/51) B Cyra Morano (6/37) C Cheyenne Dooley (8/55) D Cheyenne Dooley (90/114) E Madison Mihan (8/30) F no crew history
Palm Beach Atlantic University	A Dawson Kohl † (1.66) 93% B Gabby Ramia † (0.37) 53% C Nathan Hjort † (0.32) 67% D Priscilla Foster † (-0.07) 46%	A Priscilla Foster (43/81) B Jacey Daly (18/49) C Kalia Peterson (28/72) D Grace Vangessel (12/18)
University of Central Florida	A Rain Hong † (-0.81) 100%	A Luisa Ramirez (11/31)
University of Florida	A Savannah Kautz † (0.21) 40% B Ayden Feria † (-0.10) 42%	A Lia Maman (12/32) B Jay Teters (12/24)
University of Miami	A William Stratton (2.03) 69% B David Webb (1.13) 48% C Arantxa Argibay (1.03) 58% D Christopher Mccollum † (0.63) 26%	A Ana Stewart (21/59) B Arantxa Argibay (3/10) C Gizela Kohan (14/35) D no crew history
University of South Florida	A Efe Guder (1.99) 40% B Marina Dreyfuss (1.39) 28% C Ghislaine Van Empel † (1.41) 40% D Sara Menesale (1.11) 48% E Esme Pray (0.73) 37% F Catherine Brennan † (-0.03) 32%	A Macy Parke (56/69) B Ivy Dumas (14/32) C Catherine Brennan (87/87) D Ivy Dumas (26/68) E Ivy Dumas (2/19) F no crew history