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Western Canada Cup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2 19 24 43
2 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 39 42 81
3 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1 59 34 93
4 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 48 48 96
5 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 41 66 107
6 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 3 67 59 126
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 5 19 Elmeri Hakkinen '18
Catherine Hackwell '19
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 6 1 2 2 3 1 2 3 4 3 6 4 2 39 Charlotte Clark '21
Shawna Eggleston '21
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 3 5 3 2 3 4 2 2 2 5 5 3 41 Nikoline Alden '19
Emily Hammond '20
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 3 4 4 4 5 4 6 4 3 4 4 2 1 48 Nigel Fletcher '21
David Goede '21
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1 5 6 3 5 4 5 5 5 6 6 2 3 4 59 Andrew Futcher '20
Jennifer Vincent '21
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 3 4 5 6 6 6 6 3 6 5 5 3 6 6 67 Gillian Craig '20 [1-13]
Emily Baxter '20 [1-6]
Emma Reynolds '21 [7-13]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2 1 2 1 1 4 1 1 3 1 1 2 4 2 24 Richard Minielly '20
Natalie Benoit '20
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1 5 1 2 3 1 2 2 4 5 2 3 1 3 34 Shaan Shridhar (Uw) '19 [1-13]
Jonah Cadieux-Johnson '19 [1-8]
Crystal Song '19 [9-13]
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 3 3 3 2 2 5 4 5 2 3 4 2 4 42 Maria Isberg '20 [1-10]
Colin Bishop '20 [11-13]
Hunter Arcese '19 [1-10]
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 2 5 4 4 5 6 3 6 4 4 1 3 1 48 Oliver Barry '20
Francesca Jasinski '21
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 3 4 4 5 6 6 3 5 1 3 6 5 5 6 59 Lukas Koch '21
Francis Westlake '19
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 6 6 6 5 3 4 6 2 6 5 6 6 5 66 Camille Ottaway '20
Yumi-Shika Shridhar '20

Conditions — 03/17/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 81%  ·  Pressure 1011.9 hPa

Temperature

76°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 69°F
Feels like 79°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.4 kn
avg  ·  max 12.7 kn
Gusts to 23.3 kn
From SSE (154°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover93% Sunshine5.9 hrs Humidity81% Pressure1011.9 hPa Rain0.06 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 12 kn · SE 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Victoria: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.10)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.83 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Victoria by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at Victoria, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →