Brown University '30
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.28 (fleet 3.20) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.04 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 6–4 (60%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 | 1 | 6–4 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (10 matches) the record is 6–4 against 7.5 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−1.5). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Norman Reid Team Race | skipper | 2.32 | 1.49 | 6–4 | 7.5 | −0.82 | 0.9 | 94% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Norman Reid Team Race | Skipper | TR | 10 | 60% | — |
| Hatch Brown Trophy 2026 | Skipper | C | 8 | 7.6 | 3.16 |
| Harvard Invitational | Skipper | C | 4 | 10.0 | — |
| The George Warren Smith '22 Trophy 2026 | Skipper | A | 10 | 2.8 | 4.07 |
| Dave Perry Trophy | Skipper | C | 6 | 2.8 | 0.42 |
| Bears Invite | Skipper | A | 10 | 8.4 | 3.07 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Andrew Lamm |  Oxbridge Academy |
'26 |
| ISSA | Andrew Lamm |  Unregistered-SEISA |
'26 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
