University of Colorado at Boulder '22
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00 (fleet 0.01) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 5–6 (45%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2019 | 1 | 5–6 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (11 matches) the record is 5–6 against 5.6 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.6). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 0 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-03-09 | Garner-Tullis Team Race | skipper | 0.37 | -0.00 | 5–6 | 5.6 | −0.37 | 0.2 | 81% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2019 Season | |||||
| SEISA Coed Championship | Skipper | B | 13 | 4.8 | -0.12 |
| Garner-Tullis Team Race | Skipper | TR | 11 | 27% | — |
| Benjamin C. Haller Memorial Regatta | Skipper | B | 2 | 2.5 | 0.28 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Calvin James |  Camden Hills RHS |
'18 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
