NorCal #4 GOLD Saturday

HostPYSF
Date11/15/2014
TypeIn-League
BoatCFJ
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	Redwood High School	Giants 2	31	31
2	Branson School	Bulls 1	40	40
3	Redwood High School	Giants 1	48	48
4	Alameda High School	Varsity 1	56	56
5	Archie Williams High School	Varsity 1	56	56
6	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	70	70
7	The Athenian School	Varsity	72	72
8	Branson School	Bulls 2	74	74
9	Woodside High School	Wildcat	76	76
10	Alameda High School	Varsity 3	87	87
11	Bishop O'Dowd High School	Varsity	87	87
12	Alameda High School	Varsity 2	88	88
13	Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs 2	88	88
14	St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA	St Joseph Notre Dame	89	89
15	Archie Williams High School	Varsity 2	89	89
16	St. Lawrence Academy - Santa Clara, CA	Saint Lawrence Acade	94	94
17	Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs 1	99	99
18	Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs 3	103	103
19	Summit High School - Redwood, CA	Varsity	108	108
20	Marin Academy	Wildcats	121	121
21	Lick-Wilmerding High School	Tigers	130	130
22	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	134	134
23	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 2	144	144
24	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 3	146	146
25	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 1	148	148

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Redwood High School	Giants 2	6	2	4	3	8	5	3	31	Will Martens '16 Lucie Welles '16
Branson School	Bulls 1	3	1	12	2	7	11	4	40	Jackson Ritter '16 Kamila Harting '18
Redwood High School	Giants 1	1	4	1	5	20	10	7	48	Harry Schmidt '16 Liam Farese '18
Alameda High School	Varsity 1	5	3	7	10	10	4	17	56	Drake Hayes '17 Brendan Mills '18
Archie Williams High School	Varsity 1	8	8	14	9	6	9	2	56	Dylan Meade '16 Cameron Gibson '15
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	16	14	11	15	1	7	6	70	Hayden Potter '16 [1-7] Francis Streitman '17 [1-2, 5-7] Liam Mccormick '18 [3-4]
The Athenian School	Varsity	7	7	2	4	22	18	12	72	Xavier Theo Quinn '16 Jacob (Jake) Glenn '17
Branson School	Bulls 2	15	16	16	1	13	3	10	74	Kamila Harting '18 Daniel Pascal '17
Woodside High School	Wildcat	4	13	18	8	12	12	9	76	Patrick Wilkinson '16 Tyler Davis '18
Alameda High School	Varsity 3	10	6	6	24	3	15	23	87	Miles Orozco '16 Dimitri Stetsenko '16
Bishop O'Dowd High School	Varsity	13	12	21	25	2	6	8	87	Nicklas Gardner '15 [1-7] Eneko Iriso '19 [1-5] Liam Orozco '19 [6-7]
Alameda High School	Varsity 2	12	22	10	13	19	1	11	88	Aitor Iriso '17 Calder Hartigan '18
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs 2	14	18	3	12	5	22	14	88	Will Paulsen '15 Delaney Moslander '17
St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA	St Joseph Notre Dame	2	15	15	23	14	19	1	89	Amanda Wheeler '25 Luke Probst '26
Archie Williams High School	Varsity 2	22	11	8	11	4	17	16	89	Sam Barton '17 Delaney Hunt '17
St. Lawrence Academy - Santa Clara, CA	Saint Lawrence Acade	20	24	13	7	15	2	13	94	Jayden Potter '16 Wiley Yu '18
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs 1	9	17	20	6	17	8	22	99	Emiliano Bache '16 Claire Mohun '15
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs 3	18	25	9	16	9	21	5	103	Michael Tellini '17 Lulu Desai '18
Summit High School - Redwood, CA	Varsity	DNS	5	5	18	21	14	19	108	Radley Peschel '16 Derek Makovich '16
Marin Academy	Wildcats	17	10	17	19	23	20	15	121	John Rusbarsky '15 Parker Kulavic '18
Lick-Wilmerding High School	Tigers	19	20	19	21	11	16	24	130	Parker Klebahn '17 Brock Pola '26
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	11	9	23	17	25	24	25	134	Tye Varnes '17 [1-6] Jacob Orezco '17 [7] Sophie Ellison '15 [1-2, 6-7] Fergus Campbell '18 [3-4] Jacob Orezco '17 [5]
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 2	DNF	23	22	14	16	23	20	144	Keith Roehl '15 Shaw Lenox '16
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 3	23	19	24	22	24	13	21	146	Andy Strike '16 [1-7] Kate Hofele '17 [1-2, 6-7] Mary Overton '17 [3-5]
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 1	21	21	25	20	18	25	18	148	Sumner Strumph '17 William Hale '18

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.100+0.10

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A
Alameda High School Varsity 1	53	53	53	53	53	53	53
Alameda High School Varsity 2	54	54	54	54	54	54	54
Alameda High School Varsity 3	55	55	55	55	55	55	55
Bishop O'Dowd High School Varsity	52	52	52	52	52	52	52
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs 1	8	8	8	8	8	8	8
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs 2	9	9	9	9	9	9	9
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs 3	10	10	10	10	10	10	10
Lick-Wilmerding High School Tigers	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
Marin Academy Wildcats	121	121	121	121	121	121	121
Redwood High School Giants 1	18	18	18	18	18	18	18
Redwood High School Giants 2	123	123	123	123	123	123	123
St. Lawrence Academy - Santa Clara, CA Saint Lawrence Acade	32	32	32	32	32	32	32
Archie Williams High School Varsity 1	60	60	60	60	60	60	60
Archie Williams High School Varsity 2	64	64	64	64	64	64	64
St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St Joseph Notre Dame	58	58	58	58	58	58	58
Summit High School - Redwood, CA Varsity	31	31	31	31	31	31	31
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 1	133	133	133	133	133	133	133
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 2	134	134	134	134	134	134	134
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 3	80	80	80	80	80	80	80
The Athenian School Varsity	56	56	56	56	56	56	56
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1	83	83	83	83	83	83	83
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2	82	82	82	82	82	82	82
Branson School Bulls 1	124	124	124	124	124	124	124
Branson School Bulls 2	15	15	15	15	15	15	15
Woodside High School Wildcat	34	34	34	34	34	34	34

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
Alameda High School	Varsity 1	Drake Hayes '17	Brendan Mills '18
Alameda High School	Varsity 2	Aitor Iriso '17	Calder Hartigan '18
Alameda High School	Varsity 3	Miles Orozco '16	Dimitri Stetsenko '16
Archie Williams High School	Varsity 1	Dylan Meade '16	Cameron Gibson '15
Archie Williams High School	Varsity 2	Sam Barton '17	Delaney Hunt '17
Bishop O'Dowd High School	Varsity	Nicklas Gardner '15 [1-7]	Eneko Iriso '19 [1-5] Liam Orozco '19 [6-7]
Branson School	Bulls 1	Jackson Ritter '16	Kamila Harting '18
Branson School	Bulls 2	Kamila Harting '18	Daniel Pascal '17
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs 1	Emiliano Bache '16	Claire Mohun '15
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs 2	Will Paulsen '15	Delaney Moslander '17
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs 3	Michael Tellini '17	Lulu Desai '18
Lick-Wilmerding High School	Tigers	Parker Klebahn '17	Brock Pola '26
Marin Academy	Wildcats	John Rusbarsky '15	Parker Kulavic '18
Redwood High School	Giants 1	Harry Schmidt '16	Liam Farese '18
Redwood High School	Giants 2	Will Martens '16	Lucie Welles '16
St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA	St Joseph Notre Dame	Amanda Wheeler '25	Luke Probst '26
St. Lawrence Academy - Santa Clara, CA	Saint Lawrence Acade	Jayden Potter '16	Wiley Yu '18
Summit High School - Redwood, CA	Varsity	Radley Peschel '16	Derek Makovich '16
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	Hayden Potter '16 [1-7]	Francis Streitman '17 [1-2, 5-7] Liam Mccormick '18 [3-4]
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	Tye Varnes '17 [1-6] Jacob Orezco '17 [7]	Sophie Ellison '15 [1-2, 6-7] Fergus Campbell '18 [3-4] Jacob Orezco '17 [5]
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 3	Andy Strike '16 [1-7]	Kate Hofele '17 [1-2, 6-7] Mary Overton '17 [3-5]
The Athenian School	Varsity	Xavier Theo Quinn '16	Jacob (Jake) Glenn '17
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 1	Sumner Strumph '17	William Hale '18
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 2	Keith Roehl '15	Shaw Lenox '16
Woodside High School	Wildcat	Patrick Wilkinson '16	Tyler Davis '18

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

Navigate

Menu

NorCal #4 GOLD Saturday

Division A

From the notes