NorCal #4 SILVER Saturday

HostPYSF
Date11/15/2014
TypeIn-League
BoatCFJ
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	Redwood High School	Giants 3	19	19
2	Menlo-Atherton	Varsity	25	25
3	Woodside High School	Wildcat	32	32
4	Athenian	Varsity	32	32
5	St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco	Varsity	50	50
6	Campolindo High School	Cougars 2	52	52
7	Crystal Springs Uplands School	Varsity	54	54
8	Campolindo High School	Cougars 1	56	56
9	Miramonte High School	Matadors	56	56
10	Redwood High School	Giants 1	60	60
11	Monte Vista High School	Mustangs 1	61	61
12	International HS - San Francisco, CA	Varsity 1	70	70
13	Summit High School - Redwood, CA	Varsity	72	72
14	Redwood High School	Giants 2	74	74
15	Monte Vista High School	Mustangs 2	83	83
16	Sir Francis Drake	Varsity	89	89
17	Half Moon Bay High School	Cougars 2	96	96
18	San Francisco University High School	Red Devils	101	101
19	Sequoia High School	Cherokees	102	102
20	Jesuit High School - Carmichael, CA	Marauders	107	107
21	International HS - San Francisco, CA	Varsity 2	118	118
22	Half Moon Bay High School	Cougars 1	120	120
23	Lycee Francais de San Francisco	Varsity	129	129

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Redwood High School	Giants 3	3	4	2	6	3	1	19	Kaelin Stock '18 Blake Bunney '18
Menlo-Atherton	Varsity	15	1	3	2	1	3	25	Dorothy Aldridge '17 [1-6] Mark Power '15 [1-5] Grace Tully '17 [6]
Woodside High School	Wildcat	5	7	4	3	11	2	32	Joseph Politi '18 Matthew Wright '18
Athenian	Varsity	11	2	7	1	6	5	32	Gabrielle (Gabby) Rigby '15 Jonah Kirmse '17
St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco	Varsity	6	3	8	12	14	7	50	Isabel De La Torre '16 [1-6] Allision Bailey '16 [1, 3, 5] Emma Mcbride '15 [2, 4, 6]
Campolindo High School	Cougars 2	19	10	5	5	5	8	52	Ryter Ullrich '18 Santiago Calderon '15
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Varsity	4	8	10	14	7	11	54	Marisa De Souza '15 Tiffany Xi '15
Campolindo High School	Cougars 1	8	11	17	9	2	9	56	Cooper Larhette '17 Niko Vo '18
Miramonte High School	Matadors	20	5	11	4	10	6	56	Daniel Erisman '19 Thomas Erisman '19
Redwood High School	Giants 1	2	13	1	18	16	10	60	Ian Roddy '18 Gabe Di Donato '15
Monte Vista High School	Mustangs 1	1	9	DNF	8	4	14	61	Michael Lively '18 Thomas Laskarzewski '18
International HS - San Francisco, CA	Varsity 1	12	6	6	13	17	16	70	Alexander Dubois '15 Sara Correa '18
Summit High School - Redwood, CA	Varsity	7	19	20	10	12	4	72	Grant Hallee '15 Jonathan Fisher '17
Redwood High School	Giants 2	10	18	12	7	9	18	74	Jack Gerstein '16 Danielle Dudgeon '17
Monte Vista High School	Mustangs 2	16	17	19	11	8	12	83	Thomas Laskarzewski '18 [1-6] Zack Taylor '19 [1-2, 4-5] Cambell Conour '19 [3, 6]
Sir Francis Drake	Varsity	17	14	9	19	13	17	89	George Kripac '17 [1-6] Noelle Scheer '18 [1-3] Stella Greenwood '18 [4-6]
Half Moon Bay High School	Cougars 2	14	16	15	23	15	13	96	Emma Reynolds '16 Kiera Cullen '17
San Francisco University High School	Red Devils	13	15	13	21	20	19	101	Meave Cunningham '17 Rachel Sherr '16
Sequoia High School	Cherokees	9	22	16	16	19	20	102	Christian Brown '18 Nina Heller '19
Jesuit High School - Carmichael, CA	Marauders	22	12	14	15	23	21	107	Donovan Mcguire '18 Liam Schroth '17
International HS - San Francisco, CA	Varsity 2	18	21	22	20	22	15	118	Leo Findlay '16 Lena Fisher '18
Half Moon Bay High School	Cougars 1	21	20	21	17	18	23	120	Brett Baron '16 Nathan Nakahara '16
Lycee Francais de San Francisco	Varsity	23	23	18	22	21	22	129	Nolwenn Menard '19 [1-6] Armand Dechant '17 [1, 3, 5] Elliot Samaan '17 [2, 4, 6]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.100+0.10

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Campolindo High School Cougars 1	48	48	48	48	48	48
Campolindo High School Cougars 2	57	57	57	57	57	57
Crystal Springs Uplands School Varsity	27	27	27	27	27	27
Half Moon Bay High School Cougars 1	24	24	24	24	24	24
Half Moon Bay High School Cougars 2	137	137	137	137	137	137
International HS - San Francisco, CA Varsity 1	6	6	6	6	6	6
International HS - San Francisco, CA Varsity 2	7	7	7	7	7	7
Jesuit High School - Carmichael, CA Marauders	126	126	126	126	126	126
Lycee Francais de San Francisco Varsity	4	4	4	4	4	4
Menlo-Atherton Varsity	30	30	30	30	30	30
Miramonte High School Matadors	47	47	47	47	47	47
Monte Vista High School Mustangs 1	49	49	49	49	49	49
Monte Vista High School Mustangs 2	44	44	44	44	44	44
Redwood High School Giants 1	122	122	122	122	122	122
Redwood High School Giants 2	17	17	17	17	17	17
Redwood High School Giants 3	20	20	20	20	20	20
Sequoia High School Cherokees	23	23	23	23	23	23
San Francisco University High School Red Devils	2	2	2	2	2	2
Sir Francis Drake Varsity	67	67	67	67	67	67
St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco Varsity	3	3	3	3	3	3
Summit High School - Redwood, CA Varsity	28	28	28	28	28	28
Athenian Varsity	50	50	50	50	50	50
Woodside High School Wildcat	29	29	29	29	29	29

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
Athenian	Varsity	Gabrielle (Gabby) Rigby '15	Jonah Kirmse '17
Campolindo High School	Cougars 1	Cooper Larhette '17	Niko Vo '18
Campolindo High School	Cougars 2	Ryter Ullrich '18	Santiago Calderon '15
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Varsity	Marisa De Souza '15	Tiffany Xi '15
Half Moon Bay High School	Cougars 1	Brett Baron '16	Nathan Nakahara '16
Half Moon Bay High School	Cougars 2	Emma Reynolds '16	Kiera Cullen '17
International HS - San Francisco, CA	Varsity 1	Alexander Dubois '15	Sara Correa '18
International HS - San Francisco, CA	Varsity 2	Leo Findlay '16	Lena Fisher '18
Jesuit High School - Carmichael, CA	Marauders	Donovan Mcguire '18	Liam Schroth '17
Lycee Francais de San Francisco	Varsity	Nolwenn Menard '19 [1-6]	Armand Dechant '17 [1, 3, 5] Elliot Samaan '17 [2, 4, 6]
Menlo-Atherton	Varsity	Dorothy Aldridge '17 [1-6]	Mark Power '15 [1-5] Grace Tully '17 [6]
Miramonte High School	Matadors	Daniel Erisman '19	Thomas Erisman '19
Monte Vista High School	Mustangs 1	Michael Lively '18	Thomas Laskarzewski '18
Monte Vista High School	Mustangs 2	Thomas Laskarzewski '18 [1-6]	Zack Taylor '19 [1-2, 4-5] Cambell Conour '19 [3, 6]
Redwood High School	Giants 1	Ian Roddy '18	Gabe Di Donato '15
Redwood High School	Giants 2	Jack Gerstein '16	Danielle Dudgeon '17
Redwood High School	Giants 3	Kaelin Stock '18	Blake Bunney '18
San Francisco University High School	Red Devils	Meave Cunningham '17	Rachel Sherr '16
Sequoia High School	Cherokees	Christian Brown '18	Nina Heller '19
Sir Francis Drake	Varsity	George Kripac '17 [1-6]	Noelle Scheer '18 [1-3] Stella Greenwood '18 [4-6]
St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco	Varsity	Isabel De La Torre '16 [1-6]	Allision Bailey '16 [1, 3, 5] Emma Mcbride '15 [2, 4, 6]
Summit High School - Redwood, CA	Varsity	Grant Hallee '15	Jonathan Fisher '17
Woodside High School	Wildcat	Joseph Politi '18	Matthew Wright '18

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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NorCal #4 SILVER Saturday

Division A

From the notes