NorCal #5 Silver Sunday

HostPYSF
Date11/16/2014
TypeIn-League
BoatCFJ
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	1	1
2	Summit High School - Redwood, CA	Varsity 3	2	2
3	Woodside High School	Wildcat 1	3	3
4	Woodside High School	Wildcat 2	4	4
5	Athenian	Varsity	5	5
6	Monte Vista High School	Mustangs 1	6	6
7	Campolindo High School	Cougars	7	7
8	San Francisco University High School	Red Devils	8	8
9	International HS - San Francisco, CA	Varsity	9	9
10	Kirby School	Kirby Varsity	10	10
11	Los Gatos High School	Varsity	11	11
12	Miramonte High School	Matadors	12	12
13	Monte Vista Christian School	Monte Vista Mustangs	13	13
14	Aptos High School	Varsity	14	14
15	St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco	Varsity 2	15	15
16	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	16	16
17	Summit High School - Redwood, CA	Varsity 1	17	17
18	Monte Vista High School	Mustangs 2	18	18
19	Crystal Springs Uplands School	Varsity	19	19
20	St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco	Varsity 1	20	20
21	Menlo-Atherton	Varsity	25	25
22	Rio Americano	Varsity	25	25
23	Sir Francis Drake	Varsity	25	25
24	Summit High School - Redwood, CA	Varsity 2	25	25

School	Team	R1	TOT	Sailors
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	1	1	Ryan Treais '17 John Deruff '17
Summit High School - Redwood, CA	Varsity 3	2	2	Peter Werner '17 Kat Hipkins '17
Woodside High School	Wildcat 1	3	3	Joseph Politi '18 Tyler Davis '18
Woodside High School	Wildcat 2	4	4	Judith Politi '21 Marianna Lubarsky '19
Athenian	Varsity	5	5	Gabrielle (Gabby) Rigby '15 Jonah Kirmse '17
Monte Vista High School	Mustangs 1	6	6	Michael Lively '18 Thomas Laskarzewski '18
Campolindo High School	Cougars	7	7	Santiago Calderon '15 Kristen Zarembinski '19
San Francisco University High School	Red Devils	8	8	Annie Duncan '15 Brian Kirz '18
International HS - San Francisco, CA	Varsity	9	9	Sebastian Sponholtz '16 Jade Greer '19
Kirby School	Kirby Varsity	10	10	Olivia Beers '17 Josselyn Verutti '17
Los Gatos High School	Varsity	11	11	Max Testa '15 Lelani Bellamy '15
Miramonte High School	Matadors	12	12	Thomas Erisman '19 Daniel Erisman '19
Monte Vista Christian School	Monte Vista Mustangs	13	13	Kate Chandler '17 Amy Ely '16
Aptos High School	Varsity	14	14	Sam Bach '19 Dana Foley '18
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco	Varsity 2	15	15	Nicholas Dorn '18 Jonar Tanguilig '16
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	16	16	Thomas Fredericks '17 Christian Rodriguez '18
Summit High School - Redwood, CA	Varsity 1	17	17	Grant Hallee '15 Jasper Trouerbach '16
Monte Vista High School	Mustangs 2	18	18	John Dilella '18 Zack Taylor '19
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Varsity	19	19	Wiley Yu '18 Ian Rist '19
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco	Varsity 1	20	20	Isabel De La Torre '16 Mackenzie Berwick '18
Menlo-Atherton	Varsity	DNS	25	Grace Tully '17 Dorothy Aldridge '17
Rio Americano	Varsity	DNS	25	Austin Eilering '15 Natalie Cloney '16
Sir Francis Drake	Varsity	DNS	25	Antonio Mejia '16 Sophia Spindell '21
Summit High School - Redwood, CA	Varsity 2	DNS	25	Derek Makovich '16 Nathan Nakahara '16

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.100+0.10

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

	Team	1A
	Aptos High School Varsity	108
	Campolindo High School Cougars	48
	Crystal Springs Uplands School Varsity	23
	International HS - San Francisco, CA Varsity	6
	Kirby School Kirby Varsity	102
	Los Gatos High School Varsity	107
	Menlo-Atherton Varsity	30
	Miramonte High School Matadors	47
	Monte Vista High School Mustangs 1	49
	Monte Vista High School Mustangs 2	44
	Monte Vista Christian School Monte Vista Mustangs	105
	Rio Americano Varsity	126
	San Francisco University High School Red Devils	2
	Sir Francis Drake Varsity	67
	St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco Varsity 1	3
	St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco Varsity 2	8
	Summit High School - Redwood, CA Varsity 1	28
	Summit High School - Redwood, CA Varsity 2	27
	Summit High School - Redwood, CA Varsity 3	24
	Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks	134
	Athenian Varsity	50
	The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers	81
	Woodside High School Wildcat 1	29
	Woodside High School Wildcat 2	26

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
Aptos High School	Varsity	Sam Bach '19	Dana Foley '18
Athenian	Varsity	Gabrielle (Gabby) Rigby '15	Jonah Kirmse '17
Campolindo High School	Cougars	Santiago Calderon '15	Kristen Zarembinski '19
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Varsity	Wiley Yu '18	Ian Rist '19
International HS - San Francisco, CA	Varsity	Sebastian Sponholtz '16	Jade Greer '19
Kirby School	Kirby Varsity	Olivia Beers '17	Josselyn Verutti '17
Los Gatos High School	Varsity	Max Testa '15	Lelani Bellamy '15
Menlo-Atherton	Varsity	Grace Tully '17	Dorothy Aldridge '17
Miramonte High School	Matadors	Thomas Erisman '19	Daniel Erisman '19
Monte Vista Christian School	Monte Vista Mustangs	Kate Chandler '17	Amy Ely '16
Monte Vista High School	Mustangs 1	Michael Lively '18	Thomas Laskarzewski '18
Monte Vista High School	Mustangs 2	John Dilella '18	Zack Taylor '19
Rio Americano	Varsity	Austin Eilering '15	Natalie Cloney '16
San Francisco University High School	Red Devils	Annie Duncan '15	Brian Kirz '18
Sir Francis Drake	Varsity	Antonio Mejia '16	Sophia Spindell '21
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco	Varsity 1	Isabel De La Torre '16	Mackenzie Berwick '18
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco	Varsity 2	Nicholas Dorn '18	Jonar Tanguilig '16
Summit High School - Redwood, CA	Varsity 1	Grant Hallee '15	Jasper Trouerbach '16
Summit High School - Redwood, CA	Varsity 2	Derek Makovich '16	Nathan Nakahara '16
Summit High School - Redwood, CA	Varsity 3	Peter Werner '17	Kat Hipkins '17
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	Thomas Fredericks '17	Christian Rodriguez '18
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	Ryan Treais '17	John Deruff '17
Woodside High School	Wildcat 1	Joseph Politi '18	Tyler Davis '18
Woodside High School	Wildcat 2	Judith Politi '21	Marianna Lubarsky '19

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

Navigate

Menu

NorCal #5 Silver Sunday

Division A

From the notes