Norcal 2- Pumpkin Silver

HostEncinal Yacht Club
Date10/04/2015
TypeIn-League
BoatCFJ
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	Redwood High School	Giants 1	16	16
2	Marin Catholic	Wildcats	30	30
3	Soquel High School	Soquel H S Sailing	41	41
4	San Francisco University High School	Red Devils	49	49
5	St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco	Varsity	50	50
6	Monte Vista Christian School	Monte Vista Mustangs	53	53
7	Half Moon Bay High School	Cougars	55	55
8	International HS - San Francisco, CA	Varsity 2	56	56
9	Convent and Stuart Hall	Cubs	57	57
10	College Park High School	Falcons	62	62
11	Lick-Wilmerding High School	Tigers	64	64
12	Branson School	Bulls 1	65	65
13	Encinal High School	Jets	65	65
14	Lycee Francais de San Francisco	Varsity	71	71
15	Waldorf High School	Varsity	82	82
16	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	102	102
17	Aptos High School	Varsity	106	106
18	Davis High School	Blue Devils 1	106	106
19	International HS - San Francisco, CA	Varsity 1	112	112
20	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 1	113	113
21	Athenian	Varsity 1	119	119
22	Stevenson School	Varsity	123	123
23	Berkeley High School	Varsity	124	124
24	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 2	128	128
25	Athenian	Varsity 2	131	131
26	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	153	153
27	Davis High School	Blue Devils 2	169	169
28	Kehillah Jewish High School	Kehillah Jewish	173	173
29	Redwood High School	Giants 2	186	186
30	Branson School	Bulls 2	186	186

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Redwood High School	Giants 1	1	1	6	2	3	3	16	Kaelin Stock '18 [1-6] Liam Farese '18 [1, 4-5] Kali Gibbs '18 [2-3, 6]
Marin Catholic	Wildcats	11	3	1	9	4	2	30	Carter Nestell '18 Keilah Stypulkoski '19
Soquel High School	Soquel H S Sailing	5	2	13	5	2	14	41	Jackson Halderman '17 Fiona Dauphinee '16
San Francisco University High School	Red Devils	4	7	14	11	7	6	49	Jeremy Gillespie '17 Micherice Tao '19
St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco	Varsity	21	10	10	3	5	1	50	Jonar Tanguilig '16 Maeve Clayton '17
Monte Vista Christian School	Monte Vista Mustangs	6	5	11	10	11	10	53	Kate Chandler '17 Amy Ely '16
Half Moon Bay High School	Cougars	3	6	7	14	18	7	55	Kiera Cullen '17 Emma Reynolds '16
International HS - San Francisco, CA	Varsity 2	17	11	4	4	15	5	56	Keelin Davis '17 Genna Corlett '17
Convent and Stuart Hall	Cubs	14	4	16	13	6	4	57	Paige Dunlevy '16 Lulu Desai '18
College Park High School	Falcons	8	13	8	7	14	12	62	Zack Taylor '19 Matt St. Germain '18
Lick-Wilmerding High School	Tigers	2	8	24	20	1	9	64	Parker Klebahn '17 Quinn Donahue '16
Branson School	Bulls 1	10	12	3	6	9	25	65	Haydn Fischer '18 [1-6] Kamila Harting '18 [1, 5-6] Daniel Pascal '17 [2-4]
Encinal High School	Jets	15	21	12	1	8	8	65	Thomas Zenner '19 [1-6] Lily Imani '20 [1-2, 5-6] Gemma Hansen '20 [3-4]
Lycee Francais de San Francisco	Varsity	12	9	17	12	10	11	71	Nolwenn Menard '19 Lorenzo Baldo '18
Waldorf High School	Varsity	16	15	2	15	19	15	82	Phillip Platt '19 Rebecca Thompson '16
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	7	26	5	17	23	24	102	Joe Rico '18 Christian Rodriguez '18
Aptos High School	Varsity	20	22	20	8	20	16	106	Isabel Andrew '16 Madeline Miller '16
Davis High School	Blue Devils 1	22	16	9	19	21	19	106	James Locker '16 Simon Krause '17
International HS - San Francisco, CA	Varsity 1	13	24	21	24	17	13	112	Alexander Boccon- Gibod '17 Daniel Christey '17
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 1	19	18	22	21	12	21	113	Alexandre Testa '16 Cali Salinas '19
Athenian	Varsity 1	26	23	15	16	22	17	119	Jackson Kaplan '17 Jackson Yeomans '18
Stevenson School	Varsity	9	14	DNF	25	26	18	123	Vic Sahni '17 Marko Zaninovich '19
Berkeley High School	Varsity	DNF	17	18	23	13	22	124	Raffi Altman-Allen '16 Rosie Ward '19
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 2	24	19	23	26	16	20	128	Will Drury '18 Alex Pick '19
Athenian	Varsity 2	18	25	19	22	24	23	131	Jonah Kirmse '17 Sunny Yang '18
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	25	20	25	27	25	DNF	153	Joe De Hemptinne '19 Jack Curphey '19
Davis High School	Blue Devils 2	23	27	26	DNF	DNF	DNF	169	Sophia Young '20 [1-2] Peter Holderbein '18 [3-6] Kyle Powell '18 [1, 3-6] Peter Holderbein '18 [2]
Kehillah Jewish High School	Kehillah Jewish	DNF	DNF	DNF	18	DNF	DNF	173	Aviv Samet '19 Zachary Newman '19
Redwood High School	Giants 2	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	186	Kali Gibbs '18 Sylvie Cox '19
Branson School	Bulls 2	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	186	Andrew Fisher '19 Sari Wisoff '18

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.230+0.23

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Aptos High School Varsity	110	110	110	110	110	110
Berkeley High School Varsity	61	61	61	61	61	61
College Park High School Falcons	52	52	52	52	52	52
Convent and Stuart Hall Cubs	9	9	9	9	9	9
Davis High School Blue Devils 1	120	120	120	120	120	120
Davis High School Blue Devils 2	127	127	127	127	127	127
Encinal High School Jets	57	57	57	57	57	57
Half Moon Bay High School Cougars	138	138	138	138	138	138
International HS - San Francisco, CA Varsity 1	7	7	7	7	7	7
International HS - San Francisco, CA Varsity 2	6	6	6	6	6	6
Kehillah Jewish High School Kehillah Jewish	27	27	27	27	27	27
Lick-Wilmerding High School Tigers	141	141	141	141	141	141
Lycee Francais de San Francisco Varsity	71	71	71	71	71	71
Marin Catholic Wildcats	121	121	121	121	121	121
Monte Vista Christian School Monte Vista Mustangs	105	105	105	105	105	105
Redwood High School Giants 1	123	123	123	123	123	123
Redwood High School Giants 2	555	555	555	555	555	555
San Francisco University High School Red Devils	2	2	2	2	2	2
Soquel High School Soquel H S Sailing	104	104	104	104	104	104
St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco Varsity	4	4	4	4	4	4
Stevenson School Varsity	99	99	99	99	99	99
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 1	80	80	80	80	80	80
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 2	140	140	140	140	140	140
Athenian Varsity 1	43	43	43	43	43	43
Athenian Varsity 2	42	42	42	42	42	42
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1	82	82	82	82	82	82
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2	81	81	81	81	81	81
Branson School Bulls 1	124	124	124	124	124	124
Branson School Bulls 2	444	444	444	444	444	444
Waldorf High School Varsity	74	74	74	74	74	74

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
Aptos High School	Varsity	Isabel Andrew '16	Madeline Miller '16
Athenian	Varsity 1	Jackson Kaplan '17	Jackson Yeomans '18
Athenian	Varsity 2	Jonah Kirmse '17	Sunny Yang '18
Berkeley High School	Varsity	Raffi Altman-Allen '16	Rosie Ward '19
Branson School	Bulls 1	Haydn Fischer '18 [1-6]	Kamila Harting '18 [1, 5-6] Daniel Pascal '17 [2-4]
Branson School	Bulls 2	Andrew Fisher '19	Sari Wisoff '18
College Park High School	Falcons	Zack Taylor '19	Matt St. Germain '18
Convent and Stuart Hall	Cubs	Paige Dunlevy '16	Lulu Desai '18
Davis High School	Blue Devils 1	James Locker '16	Simon Krause '17
Davis High School	Blue Devils 2	Sophia Young '20 [1-2] Peter Holderbein '18 [3-6]	Kyle Powell '18 [1, 3-6] Peter Holderbein '18 [2]
Encinal High School	Jets	Thomas Zenner '19 [1-6]	Lily Imani '20 [1-2, 5-6] Gemma Hansen '20 [3-4]
Half Moon Bay High School	Cougars	Kiera Cullen '17	Emma Reynolds '16
International HS - San Francisco, CA	Varsity 1	Alexander Boccon- Gibod '17	Daniel Christey '17
International HS - San Francisco, CA	Varsity 2	Keelin Davis '17	Genna Corlett '17
Kehillah Jewish High School	Kehillah Jewish	Aviv Samet '19	Zachary Newman '19
Lick-Wilmerding High School	Tigers	Parker Klebahn '17	Quinn Donahue '16
Lycee Francais de San Francisco	Varsity	Nolwenn Menard '19	Lorenzo Baldo '18
Marin Catholic	Wildcats	Carter Nestell '18	Keilah Stypulkoski '19
Monte Vista Christian School	Monte Vista Mustangs	Kate Chandler '17	Amy Ely '16
Redwood High School	Giants 1	Kaelin Stock '18 [1-6]	Liam Farese '18 [1, 4-5] Kali Gibbs '18 [2-3, 6]
Redwood High School	Giants 2	Kali Gibbs '18	Sylvie Cox '19
San Francisco University High School	Red Devils	Jeremy Gillespie '17	Micherice Tao '19
Soquel High School	Soquel H S Sailing	Jackson Halderman '17	Fiona Dauphinee '16
St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco	Varsity	Jonar Tanguilig '16	Maeve Clayton '17
Stevenson School	Varsity	Vic Sahni '17	Marko Zaninovich '19
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	Joe Rico '18	Christian Rodriguez '18
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	Joe De Hemptinne '19	Jack Curphey '19
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 1	Alexandre Testa '16	Cali Salinas '19
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 2	Will Drury '18	Alex Pick '19
Waldorf High School	Varsity	Phillip Platt '19	Rebecca Thompson '16

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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Norcal 2- Pumpkin Silver

Division A

From the notes