PCISA 2015 SoCal #2 SILVER

HostBahia Corinthian Yacht Club
Date11/07/2015
TypeIn-District
BoatCFJ
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	Sage Hill School	Lightning 1	48	48
2	Point Loma High School	Pointers 2	63	63
3	Francis Parker School - San Diego, CA	Lancers 2	64	64
4	Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings Varsity	65	65
5	Point Loma High School	Pointers 1	67	67
6	Point Loma High School	Pointers 3	68	68
7	Port of Los Angeles High School	Varsity 2	99	99
8	Sage Hill School	Lightning 2	107	107
9	Mater Dei High School	Monarchs 2	109	109
10	Francis Parker School - San Diego, CA	Lancers 1	138	138
11	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Varsity 1	152	152
12	Port of Los Angeles High School	Varsity 1	153	153
13	Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools	Huskies	153	153
14	Coronado High School	Islanders 3	167	167
15	Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	175	175
16	Long Beach Polytechnic HS	Jackrabbits 1	182	182
17	JSerra Catholic High School	Lions 3	184	184
18	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Varsity 2	189	189
19	Cathedral Catholic High School	Dons	194	194
20	Redondo Union High School	Varsity 1	208	208
21	Long Beach Wilson High School	Bruins	212	212
22	JSerra Catholic High School	Lions 2	224	224
23	Coronado High School	Islanders 2	235	235
24	Coronado High School	Islanders 1	240	240
25	JSerra Catholic High School	Lions 1	244	244
26	Mater Dei High School	Monarchs 1	245	245
27	Long Beach Polytechnic HS	Jackrabbits 2	257	257
28	Redondo Union High School	Varsity 2	263	263

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	R11	TOT	Sailors
Sage Hill School	Lightning 1	1	4	7	3	10	4	1	2	1	9	6	48	Jonathan Chance '19 Joshua Cheadle '19
Point Loma High School	Pointers 2	5	3	1	7	2	5	4	14	12	5	5	63	Timmy Fraher '20 [1-11] Daniel De La Vega '20 [1-2, 4-6, 8-10] Max Capron '19 [3, 7, 11]
Francis Parker School - San Diego, CA	Lancers 2	7	5	9	6	7	8	5	6	2	1	8	64	Kevin Eve '13 [1-11] Allison Silverstein '18 [1-6] Julia Schneider '18 [7-11]
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings Varsity	8	13	6	8	1	10	3	4	6	2	4	65	Landon Martin '18 Olivia Visser '19
Point Loma High School	Pointers 1	4	10	5	5	19	1	2	8	5	7	1	67	Kyle Farmer '19 [1-11] Neal Johnson '19 [1, 3-5, 7-9, 11] Max Capron '19 [2, 6, 10]
Point Loma High School	Pointers 3	2	2	2	2	8	11	13	12	11	3	2	68	Sean Caulfield '19 [1-11] Andrew Larson '17 [1-3, 5-7, 9-11] Max Capron '19 [4, 8]
Port of Los Angeles High School	Varsity 2	9	16	13	19	5	12	10	1	7	4	3	99	Aaron Ferralles '18 Katherine Kronheim '16
Sage Hill School	Lightning 2	10	7	10	9	6	15	16	10	3	11	10	107	Isabelle Meegan '19 [1-11] Ryan Simpson '19 [1-4] Dylan Strode '18 [5-6] Austin Alexander '19 [7-8] Daniel Gamini '19 [9-11]
Mater Dei High School	Monarchs 2	6	18	15	12	13	6	8	3	9	6	13	109	Jake Langdon-Weyrich '16 Mark Shishja '19
Francis Parker School - San Diego, CA	Lancers 1	13	8	22	13	21	13	14	13	4	10	7	138	Jordan Ryan '19 [1-6] Madeleine Mcgrath '18 [7-11] Kiran Rhodes '18 [1-6] Isabel Sanchez '18 [7-11]
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Varsity 1	17	12	8	20	20	17	9	7	10	14	18	152	Iisac Cervantes '19 Audrey Mahowald '19
Port of Los Angeles High School	Varsity 1	14	21	12	16	9	14	18	16	8	13	12	153	Josh Maldonado '17 Elizabeth Hermenegildo '19
Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools	Huskies	16	9	3	1	15	3	7	24	21	25	DNF	153	Cade Morris '18 Jacob Schnel '19
Coronado High School	Islanders 3	3	1	4	4	3	7	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	167	Max Stangl '17 Sean Crozier '18
Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	11	20	25	11	4	23	20	17	20	15	9	175	Josh Miller '19 Alex Gou '19
Long Beach Polytechnic HS	Jackrabbits 1	21	11	11	23	25	19	15	5	18	12	22	182	Mason Kaplan '20 Caleb Chojnacki '20
JSerra Catholic High School	Lions 3	15	17	21	26	11	21	6	18	14	20	15	184	Connor Presley '19 Ian Sysyn '17
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Varsity 2	23	22	17	10	27	2	22	19	17	19	11	189	Zach Chrien '16 Deeksha Chaturvedi '16
Cathedral Catholic High School	Dons	24	14	18	18	12	16	17	23	19	17	16	194	Ryan Mcconnville '18 Boggs Braden '19
Redondo Union High School	Varsity 1	22	24	16	17	16	20	11	9	23	21	DSQ	208	Micky Munns '19 Alex Shapiro '19
Long Beach Wilson High School	Bruins	20	23	24	25	18	22	19	21	13	8	19	212	Keltin Hill '17 Taylor Milefchek '18
JSerra Catholic High School	Lions 2	12	26	20	21	22	24	12	20	25	22	20	224	Ashtyn Winchell '17 Chris Steinker '17
Coronado High School	Islanders 2	19	15	19	14	14	9	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	235	Charlie Clausen '19 David (Dj) Austin '18
Coronado High School	Islanders 1	18	6	14	15	24	18	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	240	Tanner Jacobs-Bonnett '18 Joslin Humphrey-Dyer '18
JSerra Catholic High School	Lions 1	25	25	26	27	17	25	23	25	16	18	17	244	Luis Tellez '17 Ashley Facey '19
Mater Dei High School	Monarchs 1	28	28	28	28	28	28	21	11	15	16	14	245	Jacob Nquyen '17 Alex Gonzalez '18
Long Beach Polytechnic HS	Jackrabbits 2	26	27	23	22	26	27	25	15	22	23	21	257	Tom Morel '19 Kate Zieba '20
Redondo Union High School	Varsity 2	27	19	27	24	23	26	24	22	24	24	23	263	Ryan Johnson '18 Greg Fujita '19

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.130+0.13

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A	10A	11A
Cathedral Catholic High School Dons	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6
Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity	99	99	99	99	99	99	99	99	99	99	99
Coronado High School Islanders 1	98	98	98	98	98	98	98	98	98	98	98
Coronado High School Islanders 2	93	93	93	93	93	93	93	93	93	93	93
Coronado High School Islanders 3	97	97	97	97	97	97	97	97	97	97	97
Francis Parker School - San Diego, CA Lancers 1	117	117	117	117	117	117	117	117	117	117	117
Francis Parker School - San Diego, CA Lancers 2	116	116	116	116	116	116	116	116	116	116	116
JSerra Catholic High School Lions 1	96	96	96	96	96	96	96	96	96	96	96
JSerra Catholic High School Lions 2	95	95	95	95	95	95	95	95	95	95	95
JSerra Catholic High School Lions 3	94	94	94	94	94	94	94	94	94	94	94
Long Beach Polytechnic HS Jackrabbits 1	79	79	79	79	79	79	79	79	79	79	79
Long Beach Polytechnic HS Jackrabbits 2	77	77	77	77	77	77	77	77	77	77	77
Long Beach Wilson High School Bruins	78	78	78	78	78	78	78	78	78	78	78
Mater Dei High School Monarchs 1	86	86	86	86	86	86	86	86	86	86	86
Mater Dei High School Monarchs 2	90	90	90	90	90	90	90	90	90	90	90
Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings	80	80	80	80	80	80	80	80	80	80	80
Point Loma High School Pointers 1	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
Point Loma High School Pointers 2	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8	8
Point Loma High School Pointers 3	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12	12
Port of Los Angeles High School Varsity 1	81	81	81	81	81	81	81	81	81	81	81
Port of Los Angeles High School Varsity 2	82	82	82	82	82	82	82	82	82	82	82
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Varsity 1	83	83	83	83	83	83	83	83	83	83	83
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Varsity 2	84	84	84	84	84	84	84	84	84	84	84
Redondo Union High School Varsity 1	87	87	87	87	87	87	87	87	87	87	87
Redondo Union High School Varsity 2	88	88	88	88	88	88	88	88	88	88	88
Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools Huskies	89	89	89	89	89	89	89	89	89	89	89
Sage Hill School Lightning 1	92	92	92	92	92	92	92	92	92	92	92
Sage Hill School Lightning 2	91	91	91	91	91	91	91	91	91	91	91

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
Cathedral Catholic High School	Dons	Ryan Mcconnville '18	Boggs Braden '19
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings Varsity	Landon Martin '18	Olivia Visser '19
Coronado High School	Islanders 1	Tanner Jacobs-Bonnett '18	Joslin Humphrey-Dyer '18
Coronado High School	Islanders 2	Charlie Clausen '19	David (Dj) Austin '18
Coronado High School	Islanders 3	Max Stangl '17	Sean Crozier '18
Francis Parker School - San Diego, CA	Lancers 1	Jordan Ryan '19 [1-6] Madeleine Mcgrath '18 [7-11]	Kiran Rhodes '18 [1-6] Isabel Sanchez '18 [7-11]
Francis Parker School - San Diego, CA	Lancers 2	Kevin Eve '13 [1-11]	Allison Silverstein '18 [1-6] Julia Schneider '18 [7-11]
JSerra Catholic High School	Lions 1	Luis Tellez '17	Ashley Facey '19
JSerra Catholic High School	Lions 2	Ashtyn Winchell '17	Chris Steinker '17
JSerra Catholic High School	Lions 3	Connor Presley '19	Ian Sysyn '17
Long Beach Polytechnic HS	Jackrabbits 1	Mason Kaplan '20	Caleb Chojnacki '20
Long Beach Polytechnic HS	Jackrabbits 2	Tom Morel '19	Kate Zieba '20
Long Beach Wilson High School	Bruins	Keltin Hill '17	Taylor Milefchek '18
Mater Dei High School	Monarchs 1	Jacob Nquyen '17	Alex Gonzalez '18
Mater Dei High School	Monarchs 2	Jake Langdon-Weyrich '16	Mark Shishja '19
Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	Josh Miller '19	Alex Gou '19
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Varsity 1	Iisac Cervantes '19	Audrey Mahowald '19
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Varsity 2	Zach Chrien '16	Deeksha Chaturvedi '16
Point Loma High School	Pointers 1	Kyle Farmer '19 [1-11]	Neal Johnson '19 [1, 3-5, 7-9, 11] Max Capron '19 [2, 6, 10]
Point Loma High School	Pointers 2	Timmy Fraher '20 [1-11]	Daniel De La Vega '20 [1-2, 4-6, 8-10] Max Capron '19 [3, 7, 11]
Point Loma High School	Pointers 3	Sean Caulfield '19 [1-11]	Andrew Larson '17 [1-3, 5-7, 9-11] Max Capron '19 [4, 8]
Port of Los Angeles High School	Varsity 1	Josh Maldonado '17	Elizabeth Hermenegildo '19
Port of Los Angeles High School	Varsity 2	Aaron Ferralles '18	Katherine Kronheim '16
Redondo Union High School	Varsity 1	Micky Munns '19	Alex Shapiro '19
Redondo Union High School	Varsity 2	Ryan Johnson '18	Greg Fujita '19
Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools	Huskies	Cade Morris '18	Jacob Schnel '19
Sage Hill School	Lightning 1	Jonathan Chance '19	Joshua Cheadle '19
Sage Hill School	Lightning 2	Isabelle Meegan '19 [1-11]	Ryan Simpson '19 [1-4] Dylan Strode '18 [5-6] Austin Alexander '19 [7-8] Daniel Gamini '19 [9-11]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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PCISA 2015 SoCal #2 SILVER

Division A

From the notes