2016-17 PCISA SoCal 3 Silver

HostMission Bay Yacht Club
Date12/11/2016
TypeIn-District
BoatCFJ
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	Point Loma High School	Pointers 2	20	20
2	Point Loma High School	Pointers 3	42	42
3	The Bishop's School	Knights 2	58	58
4	El Segundo High School	El Segundo	61	61
5	La Jolla High School	Vikings 4	63	63
6	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers 2	63	63
7	Point Loma High School	Pointers 5	65	65
8	Point Loma High School	Pointers 4	69	69
9	Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 1	80	80
10	Parker	Parker	85	85
11	Windward School	Wildcats 1	92	92
12	Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings	93	93
13	Redondo Union High School	Sea Hawks	93	93
14	The Bishop's School	Knights 1	94	94
15	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 2	102	102
16	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers 1	120	120
17	Point Loma High School	Pointers 6	120	120
18	Point Loma High School	Pointers 1	133	133
19	Coronado	Islanders 4	141	141
20	Port of Los Angeles High School	Polar Bears	145	145
21	Olympian High School	Eagles	150	150
22	La Jolla High School	Vikings 5	151	151
23	Coronado	Islanders 1	151	151
24	Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	159	159
25	Coronado	Islanders 2	162	162
26	New West Charter	Eagles	163	163
27	La Jolla High School	Vikings 1	168	168
28	Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 5	177	177
29	Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 2	179	179
30	Windward School	Wildcats 2	190	190
31	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 1	194	194
32	La Jolla High School	Vikings 2	202	202
33	Coronado	Islanders 3	209	209
34	Cathedral Catholic High School	Dons	226	226
35	La Jolla High School	Vikings 3	226	226
36	Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 4	230	230
37	Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 3	253	253

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Point Loma High School	Pointers 2	1	5	3	7	2	1	1	20	Timmy Fraher '20 Rebecca Bowman '20
Point Loma High School	Pointers 3	5	1	17	3	10	2	4	42
The Bishop's School	Knights 2	11	2	5	9	15	4	12	58	Rocco Cappetta '20 Shaye Wattson '21
El Segundo High School	El Segundo	8	18	12	11	1	6	5	61	Margot Okuno '19 Ellie Sida '20
La Jolla High School	Vikings 4	3	10	7	17	8	8	10	63	Tyler Cockrell '19 Keegan Leonard '21
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers 2	25	8	10	1	3	9	7	63	Kenneth White '18 Jordan Greenway '17
Point Loma High School	Pointers 5	20	3	13	10	7	10	2	65	Katie Olsen '21 Max Capron '19
Point Loma High School	Pointers 4	2	4	9	2	20	18	14	69	Sara Parker '21 Kalea Woodard '20
Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 1	10	13	2	15	11	16	13	80	Neil Gompf '17 Nicole Holowka '17
Parker	Parker	7	16	20	28	5	3	6	85	Jordan Ryan '19 Ben Dorsey '18
Windward School	Wildcats 1	18	11	6	8	21	5	23	92	Elan Molko '19 Claire Kaplan '19
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings	13	12	16	6	6	32	8	93	Samantha Dunlap '18 Olivia Visser '19
Redondo Union High School	Sea Hawks	17	20	4	13	12	11	16	93	Michael Fineman '21 Louis Swafford '21
The Bishop's School	Knights 1	6	7	15	16	13	28	9	94	Lizzie Russell '17 Cal Pedroli '19
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 2	4	23	11	5	17	23	19	102	Jean Wanlass '21 Parker Pittman '20
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers 1	12	17	18	26	4	26	17	120	Cyrus Khaleeli '20 Jackson Hoover '20
Point Loma High School	Pointers 6	19	14	8	25	19	7	28	120	Skylar Olsson-Hoffman '21 Mason Campbell '20
Point Loma High School	Pointers 1	16	21	22	12	23	19	20	133	Jimmy Dealy '20 Neal (Alec) Johnson '19
Coronado	Islanders 4	24	24	23	18	9	14	29	141	Charlie Clausen '19 Garrick Sutton '18
Port of Los Angeles High School	Polar Bears	9	6	31	37	22	29	11	145	Patrick Garrett '21 James Sawyer '21
Olympian High School	Eagles	21	33	19	20	14	13	30	150	Cassandra Shand '18 Gustavo Villegas '18
La Jolla High School	Vikings 5	29	30	14	21	16	17	24	151	Loren Behumi-Davis '19 Mira Madhavapeddy '20
Coronado	Islanders 1	33	25	1	30	37	22	3	151	Trey Summers '20 Mercy Tangredi '20
Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	15	22	33	4	31	27	27	159	Catalina Murray '18 Jordan Ewald '19
Coronado	Islanders 2	22	19	29	22	29	15	26	162	Sean Crozier '18 Alex Bastuba '18
New West Charter	Eagles	14	28	30	31	24	21	15	163	Robert Suddath '21 Elle Reder '21
La Jolla High School	Vikings 1	OCS	9	26	23	35	12	25	168	Liam Brinton '18 Arthur Champion '19
Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 5	31	15	27	14	25	33	32	177	Bryson Dort '19 Maddie Biemiller '20
Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 2	26	26	32	19	28	30	18	179	Jacob Hand '17 Arda Ulug '19
Windward School	Wildcats 2	30	29	24	32	18	36	21	190	Esra Park '17 Brody Bishop '19
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 1	23	27	28	24	36	20	36	194	Andrew Ingham '21 Koby Twist '21
La Jolla High School	Vikings 2	27	35	25	29	30	34	22	202	Louis Sheid '19 Bruce Fleury '19
Coronado	Islanders 3	28	34	21	33	27	31	35	209	Jonah Haas '20 Katelyn Roberts '20
Cathedral Catholic High School	Dons	32	31	34	35	26	35	33	226	Kyle Gallagher '19 [1-7] Kate Harrington '19 [1-2, 6-7] Jenny Desantis '19 [3-5]
La Jolla High School	Vikings 3	OCS	32	37	27	34	24	34	226	Josephine Passananti '18 Joyce Passananti '18
Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 4	34	36	36	36	32	25	31	230	Jacob Raffe '17 Derek Fu '18
Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 3	DNF	DNF	35	34	33	37	DNF	253	Connor Wall '17 Rita Moturi '20

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.100+0.10

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A
Cathedral Catholic High School Dons	6	6	6	6	6	6	6
Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings	96	96	96	96	96	96	96
Coronado Islanders 1	75	75	75	75	75	75	75
Coronado Islanders 2	111	111	111	111	111	111	111
Coronado Islanders 3	82	82	82	82	82	82	82
Coronado Islanders 4	198	198	198	198	198	198	198
El Segundo High School El Segundo	73	73	73	73	73	73	73
Parker Parker	15	15	15	15	15	15	15
La Jolla High School Vikings 1	99	99	99	99	99	99	99
La Jolla High School Vikings 2	97	97	97	97	97	97	97
La Jolla High School Vikings 3	98	98	98	98	98	98	98
La Jolla High School Vikings 4	93	93	93	93	93	93	93
La Jolla High School Vikings 5	91	91	91	91	91	91	91
New West Charter Eagles	95	95	95	95	95	95	95
Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1	197	197	197	197	197	197	197
Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2	996	996	996	996	996	996	996
Olympian High School Eagles	86	86	86	86	86	86	86
Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings	92	92	92	92	92	92	92
Point Loma High School Pointers 1	17	17	17	17	17	17	17
Point Loma High School Pointers 2	18	18	18	18	18	18	18
Point Loma High School Pointers 3	94	94	94	94	94	94	94
Point Loma High School Pointers 4	13	13	13	13	13	13	13
Point Loma High School Pointers 5	16	16	16	16	16	16	16
Point Loma High School Pointers 6	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Port of Los Angeles High School Polar Bears	88	88	88	88	88	88	88
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Panthers 1	90	90	90	90	90	90	90
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Panthers 2	89	89	89	89	89	89	89
Redondo Union High School Sea Hawks	84	84	84	84	84	84	84
The Bishop's School Knights 1	72	72	72	72	72	72	72
The Bishop's School Knights 2	65	65	65	65	65	65	65
Torrey Pines High School Falcons 1	85	85	85	85	85	85	85
Torrey Pines High School Falcons 2	194	194	194	194	194	194	194
Torrey Pines High School Falcons 3	83	83	83	83	83	83	83
Torrey Pines High School Falcons 4	192	192	192	192	192	192	192
Torrey Pines High School Falcons 5	81	81	81	81	81	81	81
Windward School Wildcats 1	87	87	87	87	87	87	87
Windward School Wildcats 2	189	189	189	189	189	189	189

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
Cathedral Catholic High School	Dons	Kyle Gallagher '19 [1-7]	Kate Harrington '19 [1-2, 6-7] Jenny Desantis '19 [3-5]
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings	Samantha Dunlap '18	Olivia Visser '19
Coronado	Islanders 1	Trey Summers '20	Mercy Tangredi '20
Coronado	Islanders 2	Sean Crozier '18	Alex Bastuba '18
Coronado	Islanders 3	Jonah Haas '20	Katelyn Roberts '20
Coronado	Islanders 4	Charlie Clausen '19	Garrick Sutton '18
El Segundo High School	El Segundo	Margot Okuno '19	Ellie Sida '20
La Jolla High School	Vikings 1	Liam Brinton '18	Arthur Champion '19
La Jolla High School	Vikings 2	Louis Sheid '19	Bruce Fleury '19
La Jolla High School	Vikings 3	Josephine Passananti '18	Joyce Passananti '18
La Jolla High School	Vikings 4	Tyler Cockrell '19	Keegan Leonard '21
La Jolla High School	Vikings 5	Loren Behumi-Davis '19	Mira Madhavapeddy '20
New West Charter	Eagles	Robert Suddath '21	Elle Reder '21
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 1	Andrew Ingham '21	Koby Twist '21
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 2	Jean Wanlass '21	Parker Pittman '20
Olympian High School	Eagles	Cassandra Shand '18	Gustavo Villegas '18
Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	Catalina Murray '18	Jordan Ewald '19
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers 1	Cyrus Khaleeli '20	Jackson Hoover '20
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers 2	Kenneth White '18	Jordan Greenway '17
Parker	Parker	Jordan Ryan '19	Ben Dorsey '18
Point Loma High School	Pointers 1	Jimmy Dealy '20	Neal (Alec) Johnson '19
Point Loma High School	Pointers 2	Timmy Fraher '20	Rebecca Bowman '20
Point Loma High School	Pointers 4	Sara Parker '21	Kalea Woodard '20
Point Loma High School	Pointers 5	Katie Olsen '21	Max Capron '19
Point Loma High School	Pointers 6	Skylar Olsson-Hoffman '21	Mason Campbell '20
Port of Los Angeles High School	Polar Bears	Patrick Garrett '21	James Sawyer '21
Redondo Union High School	Sea Hawks	Michael Fineman '21	Louis Swafford '21
The Bishop's School	Knights 1	Lizzie Russell '17	Cal Pedroli '19
The Bishop's School	Knights 2	Rocco Cappetta '20	Shaye Wattson '21
Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 1	Neil Gompf '17	Nicole Holowka '17
Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 2	Jacob Hand '17	Arda Ulug '19
Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 3	Connor Wall '17	Rita Moturi '20
Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 4	Jacob Raffe '17	Derek Fu '18
Torrey Pines High School	Falcons 5	Bryson Dort '19	Maddie Biemiller '20
Windward School	Wildcats 1	Elan Molko '19	Claire Kaplan '19
Windward School	Wildcats 2	Esra Park '17	Brody Bishop '19

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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2016-17 PCISA SoCal 3 Silver

Division A

From the notes