Nor Cal Divisional #1-Silver Fleet

HostHalf Moon Bay
Date11/16/2016
TypeIn-League
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	13	17	30
2	Design Tech High School	d.tech	24	16	40
3	International HS - San Francisco, CA	Jaguars	21	23	44
4	Lick-Wilmerding High School	Tigers	19	30	49
5	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	28	29	57
6	Half Moon Bay High School	Cougars	21	37	58
7	Head Royce	Jayhawks	48	12	60
8	Benicia High School	Storm	31	32	63
9	The Urban School	Blues	46	18	64
10	Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins	7	64	71
11	St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco	Wildcats	28	57 MRP	85 MRP
12	Stevenson School	Pirates	52	39	91
13	Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets	61 MRP	54 MRP	115 MRP
14	Lowell High School	Cardinals	62 MRP	63 MRP	125 MRP
15	Envision Academy	EAST Panthers	79 MRP	84 MRP	163 MRP

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	TOT	Sailors
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins	1	1	3	2	7	Justin Lim '19 Wiley Yu '18
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	6	4	2	1	13	Ben St. John '19 [1-4] Julia Ciampa '19 [1-2] Megan Engelbrechten '19 [3-4]
Lick-Wilmerding High School	Tigers	2	2	9	6	19	Parker Klebahn '17 [1-2] Tyler Davis '18 [3-4] Bryn Anderson '18 [1-2]
International HS - San Francisco, CA	Jaguars	3	3	12	3	21	Keelin Davis '17 [1-4] Sara Tamayo-Correa '18 [1-2] Elena Adams '20 [3-4]
Half Moon Bay High School	Cougars	4	11	1	5	21	Sam Reynolds '17 Sonya Cullen '19
Design Tech High School	d.tech	5	9	6	4	24	Jack Lugliani '18 Erez Harel '20
St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco	Wildcats	10	6	4	8	28	William Bayliss '20 William Plam '20
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	11	5	5	7	28	Alex Pick '19 Reid Wishner '19
Benicia High School	Storm	8	7	7	9	31	Jamie Sarkany '16 Sophia Jacobs '16
The Urban School	Blues	9	10	15	12	46	Cayley Crist '17 Anna Krylova '20
Head Royce	Jayhawks	13	14	10	11	48	Madeleine Henry '18 Pierce Yeary '19
Stevenson School	Pirates	14	13	11	14	52	Vic Sahni '17 Marko Zaninovich '19
Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets	7	8	13	13	61 MRP	Max Rodman '18 Stuart Myers '17
Lowell High School	Cardinals	12	12	8	10	62 MRP	Abigail Falk '19 Aine Roonan '17
Envision Academy	EAST Panthers	15	15	14	15	79 MRP	Amosi Morgan '17 Christine Brown '17

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	TOT	Sailors
Head Royce	Jayhawks	1	2	1	8	12	Jasper Reid '20 Eloise Henry '20
Design Tech High School	d.tech	3	7	5	1	16	Jemma Schroder '20 Tim Gee '20
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	5	3	3	6	17	Luke Marshall '19 Lily Hock '19
The Urban School	Blues	6	5	2	5	18	Eli Gordon '20 Dillan Srivastava '20
International HS - San Francisco, CA	Jaguars	4	1	DNS	2	23	Alexander Boccon- Gibod '17 [1, 3] Jade Greer '19 [2, 4] Jade Greer '19 [1, 3] Alexander Boccon- Gibod '17 [2, 4]
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers	12	4	9	4	29	Derek Kuno-Williams '20 Charlotte Navin '20
Lick-Wilmerding High School	Tigers	13	10	4	3	30	Nameer Hirschkind '19 James Scherr '20
Benicia High School	Storm	2	6	11	13	32	Julian Sarkany '16 Natalie Leger '17
Half Moon Bay High School	Cougars	10	9	7	11	37	Kiera Cullen '17 Nina Hipkins '17
Stevenson School	Pirates	9	11	10	9	39	Kay Du '18 Susanna Yan '18
Berkeley High School	Yellowjackets	7	8	12	7	54 MRP	Lucien Canvinet '20 Rosie Ward '19
St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco	Wildcats	8	13	6	10	57 MRP	Mackenzie Berwick '18 [1, 3] Evelyn Plam '19 [2, 4] Evelyn Plam '19 [1, 3] Daria Bubnova '20 [2, 4]
Lowell High School	Cardinals	11	12	8	12	63 MRP	Emily Sobelman '19 Julia Rafferty '17
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	64	No Show No Show
Envision Academy	EAST Panthers	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	84 MRP	Elio Renderos '17 Jack Neil '17

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.070+0.07

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A
Benicia High School Storm	60	60	60	60
Berkeley High School Yellowjackets	61	61	61	61
Crystal Springs Uplands School Griffins	34	34	34	34
Design Tech High School d.tech	33	33	33	33
Envision Academy EAST Panthers	145	145	145	145
Half Moon Bay High School Cougars	138	138	138	138
Head Royce Jayhawks	55	55	55	55
International HS - San Francisco, CA Jaguars	7	7	7	7
Lick-Wilmerding High School Tigers	5	5	5	5
Lowell High School Cardinals	72	72	72	72
St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco Wildcats	4	4	4	4
Stevenson School Pirates	97	97	97	97
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks	140	140	140	140
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers	82	82	82	82
The Urban School Blues	141	141	141	141

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B
Benicia High School Storm	60	60	60	60
Berkeley High School Yellowjackets	61	61	61	61
Crystal Springs Uplands School Griffins	34	34	34	34
Design Tech High School d.tech	33	33	33	33
Envision Academy EAST Panthers	145	145	145	145
Half Moon Bay High School Cougars	138	138	138	138
Head Royce Jayhawks	55	55	55	55
International HS - San Francisco, CA Jaguars	7	7	7	7
Lick-Wilmerding High School Tigers	5	5	5	5
Lowell High School Cardinals	72	72	72	72
St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco Wildcats	4	4	4	4
Stevenson School Pirates	97	97	97	97
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks	140	140	140	140
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers	82	82	82	82
The Urban School Blues	141	141	141	141

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Benicia High School	Jamie Sarkany '16	Sophia Jacobs '16
Storm	Julian Sarkany '16	Natalie Leger '17
Berkeley High School	Max Rodman '18	Stuart Myers '17
Yellowjackets	Lucien Canvinet '20	Rosie Ward '19
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Justin Lim '19	Wiley Yu '18
Griffins	No Show	No Show
Design Tech High School	Jack Lugliani '18	Erez Harel '20
d.tech	Jemma Schroder '20	Tim Gee '20
Envision Academy	Amosi Morgan '17	Christine Brown '17
EAST Panthers	Elio Renderos '17	Jack Neil '17
Half Moon Bay High School	Sam Reynolds '17	Sonya Cullen '19
Cougars	Kiera Cullen '17	Nina Hipkins '17
Head Royce	Madeleine Henry '18	Pierce Yeary '19
Jayhawks	Jasper Reid '20	Eloise Henry '20
International HS - San Francisco, CA	Keelin Davis '17 [1-4]	Sara Tamayo-Correa '18 [1-2] Elena Adams '20 [3-4]
Jaguars	Alexander Boccon- Gibod '17 [1, 3] Jade Greer '19 [2, 4]	Jade Greer '19 [1, 3] Alexander Boccon- Gibod '17 [2, 4]
Lick-Wilmerding High School	Parker Klebahn '17 [1-2] Tyler Davis '18 [3-4]	Bryn Anderson '18 [1-2]
Tigers	Nameer Hirschkind '19	James Scherr '20
Lowell High School	Abigail Falk '19	Aine Roonan '17
Cardinals	Emily Sobelman '19	Julia Rafferty '17
St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco	William Bayliss '20	William Plam '20
Wildcats	Mackenzie Berwick '18 [1, 3] Evelyn Plam '19 [2, 4]	Evelyn Plam '19 [1, 3] Daria Bubnova '20 [2, 4]
Stevenson School	Vic Sahni '17	Marko Zaninovich '19
Pirates	Kay Du '18	Susanna Yan '18
Tamalpais High School	Ben St. John '19 [1-4]	Julia Ciampa '19 [1-2] Megan Engelbrechten '19 [3-4]
Red Tailed Hawks	Luke Marshall '19	Lily Hock '19
The Bay School of San Francisco	Alex Pick '19	Reid Wishner '19
Breakers	Derek Kuno-Williams '20	Charlotte Navin '20
The Urban School	Cayley Crist '17	Anna Krylova '20
Blues	Eli Gordon '20	Dillan Srivastava '20

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

Navigate

Menu

Nor Cal Divisional #1-Silver Fleet

Division A

Division B

From the notes