Nor Cal 2-Silver

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2 15 15
2 San Francisco University High School San Francisco University High School Red Devils 16 16
3 The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1 21 21
4 St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco Varsity 2 28 28
5 St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco Varsity 1 29 29
6 Head Royce Head Royce Head Royce 32 32
7 Design Tech High School Design Tech High School d.tech 71 71
8 Harbor High School Harbor High School Harbor Pirates 74 74
9 Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 75 75
10 Saratoga High School Saratoga High School Falcons 76 76
11 Branson School Branson School Bulls 80 80
12 Athenian Athenian Varsity 81 81
13 Amador Valley Amador Valley Dons 88 88
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2 9 2 1 1 1 1 15 Alexander Holderness '17
Sarah Cuyler '19
San Francisco University High School San Francisco University High School Red Devils 5 1 2 2 3 3 16 Jeremy Gillespie '17
Brian Kirz '18
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1 4 6 3 4 2 2 21 Alex Pick '19
Aj Torres '19
St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco Varsity 2 3 5 5 5 5 5 28 Gabriella Schmidt '18
Mackenzie Berwick '18
St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco Varsity 1 1 4 6 6 6 6 29 Evelyn Plam '19 [1]
Carolyne Ikeda '19 [2-6]
Carolyne Ikeda '19 [1]
Paul Ikeda '20 [2]
Evelyn Plam '19 [3-6]
Head Royce Head Royce Head Royce 8 9 4 3 4 4 32 Madeleine Henry '18 [1-2]
Jasper Reid '20 [3-6]
Julia Katter '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Madeleine Henry '18 [3-4]
Design Tech High School Design Tech High School d.tech 11 7 7 DNS DNS DNS 71 Tim Gee '20 [1-6]
Matthew Morley '20 [1, 3]
Daniel Pang '20 [2, 4-6]
Harbor High School Harbor High School Harbor Pirates 6 8 DNS DNS DNS DNS 74 Chloe Long '19 [1-6]
Kelsey Hill '19 [1]
Trevor Hill '20 [2-6]
Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 12 3 DNS DNS DNS DNS 75 Christian Rodriguez '18
Lily Hock '19
Saratoga High School Saratoga High School Falcons 2 DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS 76 Lilah Foster '17
Andie Pilsbury '19
Branson School Branson School Bulls 10 10 DNS DNS DNS DNS 80 Olivia Rosenlund '20 [1]
Emma Kami '19 [2-6]
Elizabeth Ratliff '20 [1]
Athenian Athenian Varsity 7 DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS 81 Jackson Kaplan '17
Jackson Yeomans '18
Amador Valley Amador Valley Dons RAF RAF RAF RAF DNS DNS 88 Christopher Hopkins '21
Althea White '21
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Amador Valley Amador Valley Dons Christopher Hopkins '21 Althea White '21
Athenian Athenian Varsity Jackson Kaplan '17 Jackson Yeomans '18
Branson School Branson School Bulls Olivia Rosenlund '20 [1]
Emma Kami '19 [2-6]
Elizabeth Ratliff '20 [1]
Design Tech High School Design Tech High School d.tech Tim Gee '20 [1-6] Matthew Morley '20 [1, 3]
Daniel Pang '20 [2, 4-6]
Harbor High School Harbor High School Harbor Pirates Chloe Long '19 [1-6] Kelsey Hill '19 [1]
Trevor Hill '20 [2-6]
Head Royce Head Royce Head Royce Madeleine Henry '18 [1-2]
Jasper Reid '20 [3-6]
Julia Katter '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Madeleine Henry '18 [3-4]
San Francisco University High School San Francisco University High School Red Devils Jeremy Gillespie '17 Brian Kirz '18
Saratoga High School Saratoga High School Falcons Lilah Foster '17 Andie Pilsbury '19
St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco Varsity 1 Evelyn Plam '19 [1]
Carolyne Ikeda '19 [2-6]
Carolyne Ikeda '19 [1]
Paul Ikeda '20 [2]
Evelyn Plam '19 [3-6]
St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco Varsity 2 Gabriella Schmidt '18 Mackenzie Berwick '18
Tamalpais High School Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks Christian Rodriguez '18 Lily Hock '19
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1 Alex Pick '19 Aj Torres '19
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2 Alexander Holderness '17 Sarah Cuyler '19

Conditions — 10/02/2016 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 82%  ·  Pressure 1018.0 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 58°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.9 kn
avg  ·  max 10.9 kn
Gusts to 13.4 kn
From WSW (241°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover38% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity82% Pressure1018.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Santa Cruz Yacht Club: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.03 ± 0.36)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Santa Cruz Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Santa Cruz Yacht Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →