2016-17 PCISA SoCal 3 Gold

HostMission Bay Yacht Club
Date12/11/2016
TypeIn-District
BoatCFJ
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	Mater Dei High School	Monarchs	34	34
2	Point Loma High School	Pointers 4	37	37
3	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 5	38	38
4	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 6	48	48
5	Point Loma High School	Pointers 5	49	49
6	Point Loma High School	Pointers 3	51	51
7	Point Loma High School	Pointers 6	51	51
8	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 7	54	54
9	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 2	54	54
10	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 4	93	93
11	Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 3	94	94
12	Point Loma High School	Pointers 2	96	96
13	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 8	98	98
14	Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	106	106
15	Parker	Parker	109	109
16	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers	112	112
17	Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 4	112	112
18	Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 1	118	118
19	The Bishop's School	Knights 2	126	126
20	The Bishop's School	Knights 1	128	128
21	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 3	134	134
22	Point Loma High School	Pointers 1	137	137
23	Cathedral Catholic High School	Dons	139	139
24	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 1	145	145
25	Olympian High School	Eagles	147	147
26	Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 2	153	153

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Mater Dei High School	Monarchs	2	3	3	6	10	3	7	34	Jeffrey Petersen '20 Dutch Dietrick '20
Point Loma High School	Pointers 4	7	2	7	2	4	14	1	37	Diego Escobar '20 Andrew Larson '17
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 5	15	8	2	1	2	1	9	38	Max Brennan '19 Jack Blackman '20
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 6	6	5	8	11	8	6	4	48	Alex Bonsager '20 Madison Bashaw '20
Point Loma High School	Pointers 5	3	16	1	4	3	12	10	49	Taisei Hatter '19 Jonah Hatt '19
Point Loma High School	Pointers 3	4	6	10	12	15	2	2	51	Aidan Hoogland '20 Max Magnus '19
Point Loma High School	Pointers 6	8	12	6	10	5	7	3	51	Marcus Huttunen '20 James (Jd) Schrady '18
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 7	1	9	11	3	7	18	5	54	Cole Pomeroy '19 Daniel Lockhart '18
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 2	14	1	4	5	20	4	6	54	Ryan Potter '20 Tyler Jones '19
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 4	12	10	13	14	14	17	13	93	Ian Wells '20 Morgan Burton '19
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 3	5	11	21	19	6	16	16	94	Christopher Sandoval '18
Point Loma High School	Pointers 2	9	21	12	21	11	8	14	96	Kyle Farmer '19 Ryan Hogue '20
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 8	10	7	16	18	9	19	19	98	Skyler Jacobsen '19 Will Vandervort '19
Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	13	24	14	16	17	5	17	106	Lukas Kraak '19 Justin Zimna '20
Parker	Parker	OCS	4	17	25	19	9	8	109	Cameron Cage '20 Katherine Crosby '20
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers	19	25	15	7	16	10	20	112	Benjamin Louttit '18 Audrey Mahowald '19
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 4	DNF	13	20	13	13	15	11	112	Ryan Tolsma '18 Christian Tabor '18
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 1	22	14	9	15	26	11	21	118
The Bishop's School	Knights 2	11	17	5	24	23	22	24	126	John Majernik '20 George Scheibler '20
The Bishop's School	Knights 1	21	23	18	17	21	13	15	128	Piper Holthus '21 Burke Kanemasu '21
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 3	16	20	23	20	22	21	12	134	Eric Jones '20 Zoe Johansson '20
Point Loma High School	Pointers 1	OCS	22	25	9	12	20	22	137	Sean Caulfield '19 Eric Schuster '20
Cathedral Catholic High School	Dons	20	19	24	8	25	25	18	139	Ryan Mcconnville '18 [1-7] Boggs Braden '19 [1-5] Jenny Desantis '19 [6-7]
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 1	17	15	26	22	18	24	23	145	Michael Gaffney '21 Alex Wainwright '21
Olympian High School	Eagles	23	26	19	26	1	26	26	147	Marianna Shand '20 Jenna Flowers '20
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 2	18	18	22	23	24	23	25	153	Landon Martin '18 Rob Caustin '19

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.120+0.12

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A
Cathedral Catholic High School Dons	8	8	8	8	8	8	8
Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 1	29	29	29	29	29	29	29
Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 2	19	19	19	19	19	19	19
Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 3	14	14	14	14	14	14	14
Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 4	30	30	30	30	30	30	30
Parker Parker	20	20	20	20	20	20	20
Mater Dei High School Monarchs	33	33	33	33	33	33	33
Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1	133	133	133	133	133	133	133
Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2	32	32	32	32	32	32	32
Newport Harbor High School Sailors 3	37	37	37	37	37	37	37
Newport Harbor High School Sailors 4	34	34	34	34	34	34	34
Newport Harbor High School Sailors 5	36	36	36	36	36	36	36
Newport Harbor High School Sailors 6	124	124	124	124	124	124	124
Newport Harbor High School Sailors 7	35	35	35	35	35	35	35
Newport Harbor High School Sailors 8	114	114	114	114	114	114	114
Olympian High School Eagles	7	7	7	7	7	7	7
Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings	26	26	26	26	26	26	26
Point Loma High School Pointers 1	12	12	12	12	12	12	12
Point Loma High School Pointers 2	10	10	10	10	10	10	10
Point Loma High School Pointers 3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
Point Loma High School Pointers 4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
Point Loma High School Pointers 5	11	11	11	11	11	11	11
Point Loma High School Pointers 6	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Panthers	27	27	27	27	27	27	27
The Bishop's School Knights 1	23	23	23	23	23	23	23
The Bishop's School Knights 2	21	21	21	21	21	21	21

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
Cathedral Catholic High School	Dons	Ryan Mcconnville '18 [1-7]	Boggs Braden '19 [1-5] Jenny Desantis '19 [6-7]
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 2	Landon Martin '18	Rob Caustin '19
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 3	Christopher Sandoval '18
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 4	Ryan Tolsma '18	Christian Tabor '18
Mater Dei High School	Monarchs	Jeffrey Petersen '20	Dutch Dietrick '20
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 1	Michael Gaffney '21	Alex Wainwright '21
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 2	Ryan Potter '20	Tyler Jones '19
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 3	Eric Jones '20	Zoe Johansson '20
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 4	Ian Wells '20	Morgan Burton '19
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 5	Max Brennan '19	Jack Blackman '20
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 6	Alex Bonsager '20	Madison Bashaw '20
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 7	Cole Pomeroy '19	Daniel Lockhart '18
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 8	Skyler Jacobsen '19	Will Vandervort '19
Olympian High School	Eagles	Marianna Shand '20	Jenna Flowers '20
Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings	Lukas Kraak '19	Justin Zimna '20
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers	Benjamin Louttit '18	Audrey Mahowald '19
Parker	Parker	Cameron Cage '20	Katherine Crosby '20
Point Loma High School	Pointers 1	Sean Caulfield '19	Eric Schuster '20
Point Loma High School	Pointers 2	Kyle Farmer '19	Ryan Hogue '20
Point Loma High School	Pointers 3	Aidan Hoogland '20	Max Magnus '19
Point Loma High School	Pointers 4	Diego Escobar '20	Andrew Larson '17
Point Loma High School	Pointers 5	Taisei Hatter '19	Jonah Hatt '19
Point Loma High School	Pointers 6	Marcus Huttunen '20	James (Jd) Schrady '18
The Bishop's School	Knights 1	Piper Holthus '21	Burke Kanemasu '21
The Bishop's School	Knights 2	John Majernik '20	George Scheibler '20

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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2016-17 PCISA SoCal 3 Gold

Division A

From the notes