SAISA North Points #1 Sunbury

HostRichmond Hill
Date09/24/2016
TypeIn-District
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Beaufort High School	Varsity	24	31	55
2	Savannah Country Day School	Hornets	31	41	72
3	James Island Charter High School	Varsity	58	27	85
4	Porter-Gaud School	Varsity	50	38	88
5	Richmond Hill High School	Varsity	45	48	93
6	Lake Norman High School	Wildcats	54	61	115
7	SOA Charleston School of the Arts	SOA Varsity	53	74	127
8	Wando	Wando Warriors	72	59	131
9	Glynn Academy	Varsity	68	63	131
10	Ashley Hall	Panthers	69	68	137
11	Benedictine Military School	Varsity	80	64	144
12	John T. Hoggard High School	Hoggard Vikings	53	112	165
13	Savannah Arts Academy HS	Varsity	92	74	166
14	St. Vincent's Academy	Varsity	89	84	173
15	Academic Magnet High School	Raptors A	116	114	230

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
Beaufort High School	Varsity	2	3	1	10	2	1	3	2	24	Walter Gnann '17 Austin (A.J.) Myers '18
Savannah Country Day School	Hornets	10	4	5	1	1	4	1	5	31	Collin Porter '19 Cecilia Belzer '18
Richmond Hill High School	Varsity	9	7	6	2	8	5	2	6	45	Michael Lane '17 Elizabeth Tompkins '17
Porter-Gaud School	Varsity	4	5	3	5	3	6	10	14	50	Joey Chomyn '19 Lillian Holland '19
John T. Hoggard High School	Hoggard Vikings	1	2	8	4	11	11	9	7	53	Scott Harris '18 Cooper Whitehead '18
SOA Charleston School of the Arts	SOA Varsity	8	9	7	3	9	3	5	9	53	Sarah Deloach '17 [1-8] Frances Hart '19 [1-2] Caroline Keinath '17 [3-8]
Lake Norman High School	Wildcats	6	6	9	7	12	9	4	1	54	Matthew Chenard '17 [1-8] Jacob Thompson '18 [1-2] Evan Chenard '20 [3-8]
James Island Charter High School	Varsity	3	1	RDG	11	5	10	13	8	58	Croix Farmer '17 Lindsey Hanckel '17
Glynn Academy	Varsity	13	10	13	9	10	2	7	4	68	Griffin Stevenson '17 Olivia Pruitt '17
Ashley Hall	Panthers	7	11	4	14	7	7	8	11	69	Ann Sheridan '18 Elizabeth Ouzts '17
Wando	Wando Warriors	11	12	12	12	4	12	6	3	72	Sydney Register '18 [1-4] Ethan Johnston '18 [5-8] Grant Matthews '19 [1-4] Claire Fontanella '19 [5-8]
Benedictine Military School	Varsity	12	14	2	6	15	8	11	12	80	Will Gladden '19 [1-8] Hogan Keenan '19 [1-2, 5-6] Reid O'Brien '18 [3-4, 7-8]
St. Vincent's Academy	Varsity	14	13	10	8	6	13	15	10	89	Vivian Reisert '17 Margaret Bohnstedt '17
Savannah Arts Academy HS	Varsity	5	8	11	13	14	14	12	15	92	Magda Placzke '19 Margherita Barbuti '17
Academic Magnet High School	Raptors A	15	DNF	15	15	13	15	14	13	116	Sophia Bernstein '19 Cassie Brisbin '20

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
James Island Charter High School	Varsity	5	1	2	6	4	4	4	1	27	Jordan Newland '18 Britton Durst '19
Beaufort High School	Varsity	6	4	5	3	1	7	2	3	31	Chris Hoogenboom '18 [1-8] Sarah Suber '18 [1-2] Jacob Lawson '18 [3-4] Alex Mazzeo '18 [5-8]
Porter-Gaud School	Varsity	1	8	6	12	6	2	1	2	38	Neil Walters '20 Will Phillips '20
Savannah Country Day School	Hornets	2	3	3	5	2	RDG	5	DNF	41	Duke Cowart '19 Ben Finkel '18
Richmond Hill High School	Varsity	3	7	4	1	10	9	9	5	48	Chandler Cunningham '17 [1-6] Elizabeth Tompkins '17 [7-8] Sadie Ingram '17 [1-6]
Wando	Wando Warriors	12	12	11	2	7	1	3	11	59	Heyward Main '19 Lauren Creech '19
Lake Norman High School	Wildcats	10	10	1	8	9	3	8	12	61	Jacob Thompson '18 Declan O'Dell '18
Glynn Academy	Varsity	4	9	7	4	11	12	6	10	63	Alex Graiser '18 Riley Power '18
Benedictine Military School	Varsity	7	5	9	7	5	15	10	6	64	Newman Charlie '19 [1-8] Robert "Mac" Graham '19 [1-2, 5-6] Dodd Joseph '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Ashley Hall	Panthers	11	2	13	9	8	11	7	7	68	Julianna Skoglund '19 Mary Hope Chakeris '18
Savannah Arts Academy HS	Varsity	8	6	10	10	13	5	13	9	74	Amelia Deering '18 [1-2, 5-6] Jack Pettigrew '18 [3-4, 7-8] Jack Pettigrew '18 [1-2, 5-6] Amelia Deering '18 [3-4, 7-8]
SOA Charleston School of the Arts	SOA Varsity	9	11	8	13	12	6	11	4	74	Frances Hart '19 [1-8] Nick Roddey '20 [1-4] Mccormick Emge '18 [5-8]
St. Vincent's Academy	Varsity	15	13	12	11	3	10	12	8	84	Cate Lamas '20 Taylor Mason '20
John T. Hoggard High School	Hoggard Vikings	13	14	14	14	14	14	15	14	112	Cameron Sechrist '18 Sean Harris '20
Academic Magnet High School	Raptors A	14	15	15	15	15	13	14	13	114	Caelan Paquette '20 Chris Moss '17

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.170+0.17

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (11 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A
Academic Magnet High School Raptors A	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7
Ashley Hall Panthers	13	13	15	15	2	2	4	4
Beaufort High School Varsity	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9
Benedictine Military School Varsity	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10
SOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA Varsity	11	11	13	13	15	15	2	2
Glynn Academy Varsity	5	5	7	7	9	9	11	11
James Island Charter High School Varsity	6	6	8	8	10	10	12	12
John T. Hoggard High School Hoggard Vikings	14	14	1	1	3	3	5	5
Lake Norman High School Wildcats	8	8	10	10	12	12	14	14
Porter-Gaud School Varsity	9	9	11	11	13	13	15	15
Richmond Hill High School Varsity	10	10	12	12	14	14	1	1
Savannah Arts Academy HS Varsity	12	12	14	14	1	1	3	3
Savannah Country Day School Hornets	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13
St. Vincent's Academy Varsity	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8
Wando Wando Warriors	15	15	2	2	4	4	6	6

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B
Academic Magnet High School Raptors A	2	2	4	4	6	6	8	8
Ashley Hall Panthers	14	14	1	1	3	3	5	5
Beaufort High School Varsity	4	4	6	6	8	8	10	10
Benedictine Military School Varsity	5	5	7	7	9	9	11	11
SOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA Varsity	12	12	14	14	1	1	3	3
Glynn Academy Varsity	6	6	8	8	10	10	12	12
James Island Charter High School Varsity	7	7	9	9	11	11	13	13
John T. Hoggard High School Hoggard Vikings	15	15	2	2	4	4	6	6
Lake Norman High School Wildcats	9	9	11	11	13	13	15	15
Porter-Gaud School Varsity	10	10	12	12	14	14	1	1
Richmond Hill High School Varsity	11	11	13	13	15	15	2	2
Savannah Arts Academy HS Varsity	13	13	15	15	2	2	4	4
Savannah Country Day School Hornets	8	8	10	10	12	12	14	14
St. Vincent's Academy Varsity	3	3	5	5	7	7	9	9
Wando Wando Warriors	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Academic Magnet High School	Sophia Bernstein '19	Cassie Brisbin '20
Raptors A	Caelan Paquette '20	Chris Moss '17
Ashley Hall	Ann Sheridan '18	Elizabeth Ouzts '17
Panthers	Julianna Skoglund '19	Mary Hope Chakeris '18
Beaufort High School	Walter Gnann '17	Austin (A.J.) Myers '18
Varsity	Chris Hoogenboom '18 [1-8]	Sarah Suber '18 [1-2] Jacob Lawson '18 [3-4] Alex Mazzeo '18 [5-8]
Benedictine Military School	Will Gladden '19 [1-8]	Hogan Keenan '19 [1-2, 5-6] Reid O'Brien '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Varsity	Newman Charlie '19 [1-8]	Robert "Mac" Graham '19 [1-2, 5-6] Dodd Joseph '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Glynn Academy	Griffin Stevenson '17	Olivia Pruitt '17
Varsity	Alex Graiser '18	Riley Power '18
James Island Charter High School	Croix Farmer '17	Lindsey Hanckel '17
Varsity	Jordan Newland '18	Britton Durst '19
John T. Hoggard High School	Scott Harris '18	Cooper Whitehead '18
Hoggard Vikings	Cameron Sechrist '18	Sean Harris '20
Lake Norman High School	Matthew Chenard '17 [1-8]	Jacob Thompson '18 [1-2] Evan Chenard '20 [3-8]
Wildcats	Jacob Thompson '18	Declan O'Dell '18
Porter-Gaud School	Joey Chomyn '19	Lillian Holland '19
Varsity	Neil Walters '20	Will Phillips '20
Richmond Hill High School	Michael Lane '17	Elizabeth Tompkins '17
Varsity	Chandler Cunningham '17 [1-6] Elizabeth Tompkins '17 [7-8]	Sadie Ingram '17 [1-6]
SOA Charleston School of the Arts	Sarah Deloach '17 [1-8]	Frances Hart '19 [1-2] Caroline Keinath '17 [3-8]
SOA Varsity	Frances Hart '19 [1-8]	Nick Roddey '20 [1-4] Mccormick Emge '18 [5-8]
Savannah Arts Academy HS	Magda Placzke '19	Margherita Barbuti '17
Varsity	Amelia Deering '18 [1-2, 5-6] Jack Pettigrew '18 [3-4, 7-8]	Jack Pettigrew '18 [1-2, 5-6] Amelia Deering '18 [3-4, 7-8]
Savannah Country Day School	Collin Porter '19	Cecilia Belzer '18
Hornets	Duke Cowart '19	Ben Finkel '18
St. Vincent's Academy	Vivian Reisert '17	Margaret Bohnstedt '17
Varsity	Cate Lamas '20	Taylor Mason '20
Wando	Sydney Register '18 [1-4] Ethan Johnston '18 [5-8]	Grant Matthews '19 [1-4] Claire Fontanella '19 [5-8]
Wando Warriors	Heyward Main '19	Lauren Creech '19

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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SAISA North Points #1 Sunbury

Division A

Division B

From the notes