2017-18 PCISA SoCal 2 Gold

HostBahia Corinthian Yacht Club
Date11/04/2017
TypeIn-District
BoatCFJ
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	Point Loma High School	Pointers 5	29	29
2	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 3	45	45
3	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 8	47	47
4	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers 1	54	54
5	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 7	66	66
6	Point Loma High School	Pointers 6	69	69
7	Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 5	69	69
8	Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 6	70	70
9	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 5	79	79
10	Redondo Union High School	Sea Hawks	80	80
11	Point Loma High School	Pointers 2	84	84
12	Point Loma High School	Pointers 4	91	91
13	Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 3	91	91
14	Point Loma High School	Pointers 1	93	93
15	Point Loma High School	Pointers 3	96	96
16	Mater Dei High School	Monarchs 4	115	115
17	Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings 2	121	121
18	Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 1	128	128
19	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 2	130	130
20	Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings 3	137	137
21	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 1	141	141
22	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers 2	154	154
23	Parker	Parker	160	160
24	Long Beach Wilson High School	Bruins	164	164
25	Mater Dei High School	Monarchs 1	165	165
26	Sage Hill School	Lightning	166	166
27	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 6	166	166
28	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 4	166	166
29	Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 2	177	177
30	Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 4	180	180
31	Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings 1	195	195
32	Mater Dei High School	Monarchs 2	195	195
33	Mater Dei High School	Monarchs 3	207	207

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Point Loma High School	Pointers 5	2	5	3	2	3	3	11	29	Taisei Hatter '19 Katie Olsen '21
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 3	5	13	2	10	5	6	4	45	Ian Wells '20 Lauren Simpson '21
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 8	9	9	9	5	1	4	10	47	Harrington Bubb '19 Ryan Potter '20
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers 1	1	16	13	3	19	1	1	54	Daren Sathasivam '21 Justin Chrien '22
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 7	4	10	10	4	18	17	3	66	Alex Bonsager '20 Madison Bashaw '20
Point Loma High School	Pointers 6	14	15	14	7	4	13	2	69	Megan Cates '18 Trevor Jones '19
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 5	20	7	12	9	8	5	8	69	Marbella Marlo '20 Hailey Horton '20
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 6	25	1	7	11	2	2	22	70	Christopher Sandoval '18 Jillian Marquez '21
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 5	11	4	8	13	10	15	18	79	Cole Pomeroy '19 Brook Wood '21
Redondo Union High School	Sea Hawks	13	2	19	1	22	16	7	80	Micky Munns '19 Alex Shapiro '19
Point Loma High School	Pointers 2	3	12	15	6	20	22	6	84	Sean Caulfield '19 Jay Reedy '21
Point Loma High School	Pointers 4	16	27	1	18	7	10	12	91	Kyle Farmer '19 Max Magnus '19
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 3	24	3	6	12	12	8	26	91	Juarin Colburn '20 Emily O'Connell '21
Point Loma High School	Pointers 1	7	6	5	DSQ	15	21	5	93	Timmy Fraher '20 Ximena Escobar '21
Point Loma High School	Pointers 3	18	17	4	8	13	27	9	96	Sara Parker '21 Beck Boyea '20
Mater Dei High School	Monarchs 4	17	11	23	14	11	20	19	115	Anthony Zorayan '18 Theresa Dang '20
Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings 2	10	8	28	31	6	24	14	121	Lukas Kraak '19 Sophia Lopez '19
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 1	19	18	29	23	14	9	16	128	Nathan Sih '21 Riley Foster '20
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 2	27	14	21	15	16	7	30	130	Michael Gaffney '21 David Garcia '21
Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings 3	12	29	22	20	9	30	15	137	Justin Zimna '20 Emily Collins '19
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 1	28	23	11	24	23	19	13	141	Eric Jones '20 Nolan Schupak '21
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers 2	15	26	16	22	24	26	25	154	Cyrus Khaleeli '20 Matthew Sun '20
Parker	Parker	29	28	30	21	21	11	20	160	Caylin Schnoor '21 Tully Cook '21
Long Beach Wilson High School	Bruins	21	20	27	19	17	29	31	164	Charley Snyder '21 [1-7] Sam Thompson '21 [1, 3-7] Hayden Ehrenfeld '21 [2]
Mater Dei High School	Monarchs 1	8	30	20	29	DNF	12	32	165	Samuel Bigelow '19 Sully Manning '19
Sage Hill School	Lightning	6	21	24	30	31	31	23	166	Ezugo Ononge '20 Isabelle Meegan '19
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 6	23	25	18	27	27	18	28	166	Vivian Bonsager '21 Jack Blackman '20
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 4	32	24	25	25	25	14	21	166	Jean Wanlass '21 Morgan Burton '19
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 2	30	22	31	16	26	23	29	177	Asher Green '20 Lucas Wood '20
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 4	26	33	26	17	29	25	24	180	Landon Martin '18 Olivia Visser '19
Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings 1	22	31	33	26	32	RAF	17	195
Mater Dei High School	Monarchs 2	33	19	32	28	28	28	27	195	Gretchen Hohenstein '20 Sophia Burton '20
Mater Dei High School	Monarchs 3	31	32	17	32	30	32	33	207	Dutch Dietrick '20 Annika Stiffl '20

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.100+0.10

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A
Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 1	24	24	24	24	24	24	24
Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 2	30	30	30	30	30	30	30
Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 3	26	26	26	26	26	26	26
Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 4	25	25	25	25	25	25	25
Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 5	29	29	29	29	29	29	29
Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 6	23	23	23	23	23	23	23
Parker Parker	7	7	7	7	7	7	7
Long Beach Wilson High School Bruins	21	21	21	21	21	21	21
Mater Dei High School Monarchs 1	19	19	19	19	19	19	19
Mater Dei High School Monarchs 2	16	16	16	16	16	16	16
Mater Dei High School Monarchs 3	14	14	14	14	14	14	14
Mater Dei High School Monarchs 4	15	15	15	15	15	15	15
Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1	34	34	34	34	34	34	34
Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2	28	28	28	28	28	28	28
Newport Harbor High School Sailors 3	33	33	33	33	33	33	33
Newport Harbor High School Sailors 4	27	27	27	27	27	27	27
Newport Harbor High School Sailors 5	35	35	35	35	35	35	35
Newport Harbor High School Sailors 6	31	31	31	31	31	31	31
Newport Harbor High School Sailors 7	32	32	32	32	32	32	32
Newport Harbor High School Sailors 8	40	40	40	40	40	40	40
Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings 1	12	12	12	12	12	12	12
Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings 2	17	17	17	17	17	17	17
Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings 3	18	18	18	18	18	18	18
Point Loma High School Pointers 1	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
Point Loma High School Pointers 2	6	6	6	6	6	6	6
Point Loma High School Pointers 3	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
Point Loma High School Pointers 4	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Point Loma High School Pointers 5	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
Point Loma High School Pointers 6	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Panthers 1	13	13	13	13	13	13	13
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Panthers 2	22	22	22	22	22	22	22
Redondo Union High School Sea Hawks	20	20	20	20	20	20	20
Sage Hill School Lightning	36	36	36	36	36	36	36

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 1	Nathan Sih '21	Riley Foster '20
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 2	Asher Green '20	Lucas Wood '20
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 3	Juarin Colburn '20	Emily O'Connell '21
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 4	Landon Martin '18	Olivia Visser '19
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 5	Marbella Marlo '20	Hailey Horton '20
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 6	Christopher Sandoval '18	Jillian Marquez '21
Long Beach Wilson High School	Bruins	Charley Snyder '21 [1-7]	Sam Thompson '21 [1, 3-7] Hayden Ehrenfeld '21 [2]
Mater Dei High School	Monarchs 1	Samuel Bigelow '19	Sully Manning '19
Mater Dei High School	Monarchs 2	Gretchen Hohenstein '20	Sophia Burton '20
Mater Dei High School	Monarchs 3	Dutch Dietrick '20	Annika Stiffl '20
Mater Dei High School	Monarchs 4	Anthony Zorayan '18	Theresa Dang '20
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 1	Eric Jones '20	Nolan Schupak '21
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 2	Michael Gaffney '21	David Garcia '21
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 3	Ian Wells '20	Lauren Simpson '21
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 4	Jean Wanlass '21	Morgan Burton '19
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 5	Cole Pomeroy '19	Brook Wood '21
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 6	Vivian Bonsager '21	Jack Blackman '20
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 7	Alex Bonsager '20	Madison Bashaw '20
Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 8	Harrington Bubb '19	Ryan Potter '20
Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings 2	Lukas Kraak '19	Sophia Lopez '19
Palos Verdes High School	Sea Kings 3	Justin Zimna '20	Emily Collins '19
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers 1	Daren Sathasivam '21	Justin Chrien '22
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers 2	Cyrus Khaleeli '20	Matthew Sun '20
Parker	Parker	Caylin Schnoor '21	Tully Cook '21
Point Loma High School	Pointers 1	Timmy Fraher '20	Ximena Escobar '21
Point Loma High School	Pointers 2	Sean Caulfield '19	Jay Reedy '21
Point Loma High School	Pointers 3	Sara Parker '21	Beck Boyea '20
Point Loma High School	Pointers 4	Kyle Farmer '19	Max Magnus '19
Point Loma High School	Pointers 5	Taisei Hatter '19	Katie Olsen '21
Point Loma High School	Pointers 6	Megan Cates '18	Trevor Jones '19
Redondo Union High School	Sea Hawks	Micky Munns '19	Alex Shapiro '19
Sage Hill School	Lightning	Ezugo Ononge '20	Isabelle Meegan '19

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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2017-18 PCISA SoCal 2 Gold

Division A

From the notes