Gold NorCal #2

HostSir Francis Drake
Date10/01/2017
TypeIn-District
BoatCFJ
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 2	24	24
2	Alameda High School	Hornets 2	37	37
3	Amador Valley	Dons	42	42
4	Design Tech High School	d.tech	45	45
5	Stevenson School	Pirates	48	48
6	Aptos High School	Mariners	64	64
7	Alameda High School	Hornets 1	65	65
8	Monte Vista High School	Mustangs 2	71	71
9	Campolindo High School	Cougars	72	72
10	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 1	73	73
11	Monte Vista High School	Mustangs 1	83	83
12	Head Royce	Jayhawks	93	93
13	San Francisco University High School	Red Devils	106	106

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	TOT	Sailors
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 2	2	2	4	2	3	1	6	2	2	24	Aj Torres '19 Colette Lee '21
Alameda High School	Hornets 2	1	4	3	7	8	2	3	5	4	37	Jonathon Andrews '20 [1-9] Cooper Butler-Brown '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9] Gemma Hanson '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Amador Valley	Dons	6	1	1	8	1	3	11	6	5	42	Christopher Hopkins '21 Maks Shikhaleev '22
Design Tech High School	d.tech	9	10	2	4	10	4	1	4	1	45	Jack Lugliani '18 [1-9] Malakhi Martinez '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9] Josh Goldberg '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Stevenson School	Pirates	7	7	7	3	2	10	2	1	9	48	Kay Du '18 Henry Li '19
Aptos High School	Mariners	4	3	11	1	6	9	9	11	10	64	Sam Bach '19 Dana Foley '18
Alameda High School	Hornets 1	3	DNS	6	11	11	7	7	3	3	65	Carl Fhyr '21 [1-6] Kyle Hoffman '22 [7-9] Sean Tolen '21 [1-3, 6-9] Kyle Hoffman '22 [4-5]
Monte Vista High School	Mustangs 2	5	9	12	9	4	6	5	DNS	7	71	John Dilella '18 [1-9] Ethan Waite '18 [1-2] Liam Guild '21 [3-5] Robert Laskarzewski '21 [6-9]
Campolindo High School	Cougars	12	8	10	10	5	5	8	8	6	72	Ryter Ullrich '18 Derek Nelson '18
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 1	11	12	8	5	7	8	4	10	8	73	Alex Pick '19 Reid Wishner '19
Monte Vista High School	Mustangs 1	8	6	9	6	9	12	12	9	12	83	Thomas Laskarzewski '18 [1-9] Robert Laskarzewski '21 [1-4] Ethan Waite '18 [5-8] Liam Guild '21 [9]
Head Royce	Jayhawks	13	5	5	13	13	11	13	7	13	93	Madeleine Henry '18 Zac Singer '22
San Francisco University High School	Red Devils	10	11	13	12	12	13	10	DNS	11	106	Brian Kirz '18 Marco Jacimovic '20

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.090+0.09

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A
Alameda High School Hornets 1	58	58	58	58	58	58	58	58	58
Alameda High School Hornets 2	57	57	57	57	57	57	57	57	57
Amador Valley Dons	54	54	54	54	54	54	54	54	54
Aptos High School Mariners	101	101	101	101	101	101	101	101	101
Campolindo High School Cougars	41	41	41	41	41	41	41	41	41
Design Tech High School d.tech	40	40	40	40	40	40	40	40	40
Head Royce Jayhawks	55	55	55	55	55	55	55	55	55
Monte Vista High School Mustangs 1	50	50	50	50	50	50	50	50	50
Monte Vista High School Mustangs 2	51	51	51	51	51	51	51	51	51
San Francisco University High School Red Devils	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
Stevenson School Pirates	99	99	99	99	99	99	99	99	99
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1	83	83	83	83	83	83	83	83	83
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2	82	82	82	82	82	82	82	82	82

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
Alameda High School	Hornets 1	Carl Fhyr '21 [1-6] Kyle Hoffman '22 [7-9]	Sean Tolen '21 [1-3, 6-9] Kyle Hoffman '22 [4-5]
Alameda High School	Hornets 2	Jonathon Andrews '20 [1-9]	Cooper Butler-Brown '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9] Gemma Hanson '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Amador Valley	Dons	Christopher Hopkins '21	Maks Shikhaleev '22
Aptos High School	Mariners	Sam Bach '19	Dana Foley '18
Campolindo High School	Cougars	Ryter Ullrich '18	Derek Nelson '18
Design Tech High School	d.tech	Jack Lugliani '18 [1-9]	Malakhi Martinez '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9] Josh Goldberg '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Head Royce	Jayhawks	Madeleine Henry '18	Zac Singer '22
Monte Vista High School	Mustangs 1	Thomas Laskarzewski '18 [1-9]	Robert Laskarzewski '21 [1-4] Ethan Waite '18 [5-8] Liam Guild '21 [9]
Monte Vista High School	Mustangs 2	John Dilella '18 [1-9]	Ethan Waite '18 [1-2] Liam Guild '21 [3-5] Robert Laskarzewski '21 [6-9]
San Francisco University High School	Red Devils	Brian Kirz '18	Marco Jacimovic '20
Stevenson School	Pirates	Kay Du '18	Henry Li '19
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 1	Alex Pick '19	Reid Wishner '19
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 2	Aj Torres '19	Colette Lee '21

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

Navigate

Menu

Gold NorCal #2

Division A

From the notes