2018-19 PCISA SoCal 2 Silver

HostBahia Corinthian YC
Date11/03/2018
TypeIn-District
BoatCFJ
Scoring1 Division

#		School	Team	A	TOT
1		Point Loma High School	Pointers 2	19	19
2		Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 2	22	22
3		Point Loma High School	Pointers 1	23	23
4		Parker	Parker 1	24	24
5	$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Ryūj Dragon 2	27	27
6		Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 3	29	29
7		Bishop's School	Knights	29	29
8		Newport Harbor High School	Sailors	31	31
9		Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 1	39	39
10		Huskies	Huskies	44	44
11		Coronado Islanders	Nado 1	46	46
12		Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers 3	47	47
13		Unregistered-PCISA	UNREGISTERED 1	50	50
14		Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers 1	54	54
15		Mater Dei High School	Monarchs	55	55
16		Parker	Parker 2	55	55
17		JSerra Catholic High School	Lions	58	58
18		Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers 2	66	66
19		South Torrance High School	Spartans	74	74
20		Santa Fe Christian	Eagle One	82	82
21		Coronado Islanders	Nado 2	87	87
22		Dana Hills High School	Dolphins 2	89	89
23		Unregistered-PCISA	UNREGISTERED 2	89	89
24		Dana Hills High School	Dolphins 1	92	92
25	$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Ryūj Dragon 1	92	92
26		Redondo Union High School	Sea Hawks	95	95
27		Los Alamitos High School	Griffins	98	98
28		Port of Los Angeles High School	Polar Bears	108	108

	School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	TOT	Sailors
	Point Loma High School	Pointers 2	9	8	1	1	19
	Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 2	3	5	7	7	22	Pierce Hemphill '22 Tara Afshar '22
	Point Loma High School	Pointers 1	12	2	6	3	23	Dylan Gardner '22 Neal "Alec" Johnson '19
	Parker	Parker 1	13	4	2	5	24	No Show Jack Dorsey '21
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Ryūj Dragon 2	2	10	5	10	27	Nikhil Stewart '21 Elissa Martinez '19
	Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 3	5	6	3	15	29	Brooke Bertrand '21 Leehealey Kennedy '22
	Bishop's School	Knights	7	7	11	4	29	Ethan Chuang '22 No Show
	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors	1	12	16	2	31	No Show No Show
	Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 1	14	9	4	12	39	Jillian Marquez '21 Peter Barilo '22
	Huskies	Huskies	6	15	12	11	44
	Coronado Islanders	Nado 1	11	14	15	6	46	Mercy Tangredi '21 Katelyn Roberts '20
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers 3	15	3	13	16	47	Matthew Sun '20 Timothy Chan '21
	Unregistered-PCISA	UNREGISTERED 1	10	16	10	14	50	No Show No Show
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers 1	8	11	18	17	54	Jackson Hoover '20 No Show
	Mater Dei High School	Monarchs	17	13	17	8	55	No Show Teresa Bui '21
	Parker	Parker 2	25	1	9	20	55	Luca Bonnano '21 Radha Carollo '20
	JSerra Catholic High School	Lions	18	23	8	9	58	Jared Schafer '21 Jack Stanley '21
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers 2	4	21	22	19	66	Kaitlin Chan '19 Justin Chrien '22
	South Torrance High School	Spartans	20	19	14	21	74	James Sawyer '21 No Show
	Santa Fe Christian	Eagle One	26	18	20	18	82	Teddy Montag '20 No Show
	Coronado Islanders	Nado 2	22	17	23	25	87	Luke Johnson '23 Gideon Goodmanson '20
	Dana Hills High School	Dolphins 2	19	22	26	22	89	Carsen Lenthall '20 No Show
	Unregistered-PCISA	UNREGISTERED 2	24	24	28	13	89	No Show No Show
	Dana Hills High School	Dolphins 1	16	25	27	24	92	Riley Lenthall '22 Jonathon Mcgraw '23
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Ryūj Dragon 1	21	20	24	27	92	Diego Lockyer '21 No Show
	Redondo Union High School	Sea Hawks	27	26	19	23	95	Scotty Hemstreet '23 Cory Cumpson '22
	Los Alamitos High School	Griffins	23	28	21	26	98	Summer Drake '22 No Show
	Port of Los Angeles High School	Polar Bears	28	27	25	28	108	No Show Jeon Jiwon '22

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.070+0.07

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

	Team	1A	2A	3A	4A
	Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 1	92	92	92	92
	Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 2	97	97	97	97
	Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 3	99	99	99	99
	Coronado Islanders Nado 1	101	101	101	101
	Coronado Islanders Nado 2	102	102	102	102
	Dana Hills High School Dolphins 1	104	104	104	104
	Dana Hills High School Dolphins 2	230	230	230	230
	Parker Parker 1	89	89	89	89
	Parker Parker 2	114	114	114	114
	JSerra Catholic High School Lions	83	83	83	83
	Los Alamitos High School Griffins	87	87	87	87
	Mater Dei High School Monarchs	81	81	81	81
	Newport Harbor High School Sailors	85	85	85	85
	Point Loma High School Pointers 1	2	2	2	2
	Point Loma High School Pointers 2	73	73	73	73
	Port of Los Angeles High School Polar Bears	86	86	86	86
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Panthers 1	95	95	95	95
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Panthers 2	96	96	96	96
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Panthers 3	94	94	94	94
	Redondo Union High School Sea Hawks	103	103	103	103
	Huskies Huskies	98	98	98	98
	Santa Fe Christian Eagle One	111	111	111	111
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Ryūj Dragon 1	91	91	91	91
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Ryūj Dragon 2	90	90	90	90
	South Torrance High School Spartans	100	100	100	100
	Bishop's School Knights	88	88	88	88
	Unregistered-PCISA UNREGISTERED 1	82	82	82	82
	Unregistered-PCISA UNREGISTERED 2	93	93	93	93

	School	Team	Skipper	Crew
	Bishop's School	Knights	Ethan Chuang '22	No Show
	Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 1	Jillian Marquez '21	Peter Barilo '22
	Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 2	Pierce Hemphill '22	Tara Afshar '22
	Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 3	Brooke Bertrand '21	Leehealey Kennedy '22
	Coronado Islanders	Nado 1	Mercy Tangredi '21	Katelyn Roberts '20
	Coronado Islanders	Nado 2	Luke Johnson '23	Gideon Goodmanson '20
	Dana Hills High School	Dolphins 1	Riley Lenthall '22	Jonathon Mcgraw '23
	Dana Hills High School	Dolphins 2	Carsen Lenthall '20	No Show
	JSerra Catholic High School	Lions	Jared Schafer '21	Jack Stanley '21
	Los Alamitos High School	Griffins	Summer Drake '22	No Show
	Mater Dei High School	Monarchs	No Show	Teresa Bui '21
	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors	No Show	No Show
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers 1	Jackson Hoover '20	No Show
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers 2	Kaitlin Chan '19	Justin Chrien '22
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers 3	Matthew Sun '20	Timothy Chan '21
	Parker	Parker 1	No Show	Jack Dorsey '21
	Parker	Parker 2	Luca Bonnano '21	Radha Carollo '20
	Point Loma High School	Pointers 1	Dylan Gardner '22	Neal "Alec" Johnson '19
	Port of Los Angeles High School	Polar Bears	No Show	Jeon Jiwon '22
	Redondo Union High School	Sea Hawks	Scotty Hemstreet '23	Cory Cumpson '22
	Santa Fe Christian	Eagle One	Teddy Montag '20	No Show
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Ryūj Dragon 1	Diego Lockyer '21	No Show
$Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Ryūj Dragon 2	Nikhil Stewart '21	Elissa Martinez '19
	South Torrance High School	Spartans	James Sawyer '21	No Show
	Unregistered-PCISA	UNREGISTERED 1	No Show	No Show
	Unregistered-PCISA	UNREGISTERED 2	No Show	No Show

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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2018-19 PCISA SoCal 2 Silver

Division A

From the notes