Little Daddy NorCal #1 Gold

HostRichmond Yacht Club
Date09/29/2018
TypeIn-District
BoatCFJ
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	Alameda High School	Hornets 2	16	16
2	Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins 1	21	21
3	Redwood High School	Giants 1	31	31
4	Aptos High School	Mariners	46	46
5	Soquel High School	Knights	47	47
6	Amador Valley	Dons	47	47
7	Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins 2	49	49
8	Acalanes High School	Dons	56	56
9	Stevenson School	Pirates	61	61
10	Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	69	69
11	Henry M. Gunn High School	Titans	75	75
12	Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	82	82
13	College Park High School	Falcons	84	84
14	San Francisco University High School	San Francisco	101	101
15	Design Tech High School	d.tech 3	112	112
16	Harbor High School	Pirates	113	113
17	Campolindo High School	Cougars	117	117
18	Design Tech High School	d.tech 4	120	120
19	Redwood High School	Giants 2	125	125
20	Alameda High School	Hornets 1	129	129
21	Athenian	Owls	133	133
22	San Domenico High School	Panthers	133	133
23	Bishop O'Dowd High School	Varsity	138	138

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Alameda High School	Hornets 2	5	3	3	1	2	2	16	Dylan Wondolleck '23 Scarlett Dawson '22
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins 1	1	1	5	5	3	6	21	Justin Lim '19 [1-6] Arianna Smith '21 [1-2, 5-6] Jack Murawczyk '23 [3-4]
Redwood High School	Giants 1	3	9	1	7	8	3	31	Connor Bennett '22 Taylor Elliott '22
Aptos High School	Mariners	4	5	17	8	5	7	46
Soquel High School	Knights	2	8	7	9	10	11	47	Kyra Phelan '22 Bella Donahue '22
Amador Valley	Dons	14	4	2	2	1	DNF	47	Christopher Hopkins '21 Alec Smith '23
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins 2	8	2	10	DNF	4	1	49	Mason Stang '21 [1-6] Anthony Newman '21 [1-2, 5-6] Sophia Vinson '23 [3-4]
Acalanes High School	Dons	12	13	6	4	12	9	56	Sophia Browne '20 [1-6] Lola Rao '20 [1-2, 5-6] Lia Reilly '21 [3-4]
Stevenson School	Pirates	10	18	11	3	7	12	61	Adam Lee '20 Ryan Marquess '22
Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	9	6	13	DNF	9	8	69	Timmy Gee '20 Matthew Morley '20
Henry M. Gunn High School	Titans	DNF	12	4	DNF	6	5	75	Ethan Lowenthal '20 [1-6] Vicente Santos '23 [1-2, 5-6] Julian Santos '23 [3-4]
Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	7	11	12	DNF	DNF	4	82	Jemma Schroder '20 Zoe Flemate '21
College Park High School	Falcons	15	20	9	6	DNF	10	84	Zack Taylor '19 Chase Latson '19
San Francisco University High School	San Francisco	11	10	8	DNF	DNF	DNF	101	Micherice Tao '19 Charlie Sears '22
Design Tech High School	d.tech 3	DNF	16	DNF	DNF	11	13	112	Michael Mcculloch '21 Charlie Gates '22
Harbor High School	Pirates	13	14	14	DNF	DNF	DNF	113	Chloe Long '19 Geza Bateman '21
Campolindo High School	Cougars	6	15	DNF	DNF	DNF	DNF	117	Brendan Connelly '23 Haley Rasilla '22
Design Tech High School	d.tech 4	17	7	DNF	DNF	DNF	DNF	120	Josh Goldberg '21 Zach Morley '21
Redwood High School	Giants 2	DNF	19	DNF	10	DNF	DNF	125	Bodhi "Bo" Tippo '21 Ava Shulman '20
Alameda High School	Hornets 1	16	17	DNF	DNF	DNF	DNF	129	Liam Orozco '19 Gemma Hanson '20
Athenian	Owls	DNF	22	15	DNF	DNF	DNF	133	Ezra Newman '21 [1-6] Leo Marek '22 [1-2, 5-6] Suzie Myles '21 [3-4]
San Domenico High School	Panthers	DNF	21	16	DNF	DNF	DNF	133	Hiroki Coyle '21 Julia Vierra '22
Bishop O'Dowd High School	Varsity	18	DNF	DNF	DNF	DNF	DNF	138	Max-Emilien Kluiwstra-Descalle '21 Harry Hollins '23

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.130+0.13

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Acalanes High School Dons	41	41	41	41	41	41
Alameda High School Hornets 1	51	51	51	51	51	51
Alameda High School Hornets 2	42	42	42	42	42	42
Amador Valley Dons	48	48	48	48	48	48
Aptos High School Mariners	101	101	101	101	101	101
Bishop O'Dowd High School Varsity	45	45	45	45	45	45
Campolindo High School Cougars	46	46	46	46	46	46
College Park High School Falcons	47	47	47	47	47	47
Crystal Springs Uplands School Griffins 1	40	40	40	40	40	40
Crystal Springs Uplands School Griffins 2	39	39	39	39	39	39
Design Tech High School d.tech 1	38	38	38	38	38	38
Design Tech High School d.tech 2	37	37	37	37	37	37
Design Tech High School d.tech 3	36	36	36	36	36	36
Design Tech High School d.tech 4	35	35	35	35	35	35
Henry M. Gunn High School Titans	34	34	34	34	34	34
Harbor High School Pirates	109	109	109	109	109	109
Redwood High School Giants 1	12	12	12	12	12	12
Redwood High School Giants 2	4	4	4	4	4	4
San Domenico High School Panthers	135	135	135	135	135	135
San Francisco University High School San Francisco	2	2	2	2	2	2
Soquel High School Knights	108	108	108	108	108	108
Stevenson School Pirates	99	99	99	99	99	99
Athenian Owls	44	44	44	44	44	44

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
Acalanes High School	Dons	Sophia Browne '20 [1-6]	Lola Rao '20 [1-2, 5-6] Lia Reilly '21 [3-4]
Alameda High School	Hornets 1	Liam Orozco '19	Gemma Hanson '20
Alameda High School	Hornets 2	Dylan Wondolleck '23	Scarlett Dawson '22
Amador Valley	Dons	Christopher Hopkins '21	Alec Smith '23
Athenian	Owls	Ezra Newman '21 [1-6]	Leo Marek '22 [1-2, 5-6] Suzie Myles '21 [3-4]
Bishop O'Dowd High School	Varsity	Max-Emilien Kluiwstra-Descalle '21	Harry Hollins '23
Campolindo High School	Cougars	Brendan Connelly '23	Haley Rasilla '22
College Park High School	Falcons	Zack Taylor '19	Chase Latson '19
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins 1	Justin Lim '19 [1-6]	Arianna Smith '21 [1-2, 5-6] Jack Murawczyk '23 [3-4]
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins 2	Mason Stang '21 [1-6]	Anthony Newman '21 [1-2, 5-6] Sophia Vinson '23 [3-4]
Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	Jemma Schroder '20	Zoe Flemate '21
Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	Timmy Gee '20	Matthew Morley '20
Design Tech High School	d.tech 3	Michael Mcculloch '21	Charlie Gates '22
Design Tech High School	d.tech 4	Josh Goldberg '21	Zach Morley '21
Harbor High School	Pirates	Chloe Long '19	Geza Bateman '21
Henry M. Gunn High School	Titans	Ethan Lowenthal '20 [1-6]	Vicente Santos '23 [1-2, 5-6] Julian Santos '23 [3-4]
Redwood High School	Giants 1	Connor Bennett '22	Taylor Elliott '22
Redwood High School	Giants 2	Bodhi "Bo" Tippo '21	Ava Shulman '20
San Domenico High School	Panthers	Hiroki Coyle '21	Julia Vierra '22
San Francisco University High School	San Francisco	Micherice Tao '19	Charlie Sears '22
Soquel High School	Knights	Kyra Phelan '22	Bella Donahue '22
Stevenson School	Pirates	Adam Lee '20	Ryan Marquess '22

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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Little Daddy NorCal #1 Gold

Division A

From the notes