Catholic Cup

HostSail Black Rock
Date10/26/2019
TypeTwo-District
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Barrington High School	Eagles	14	10	24
2	Fairfield Ludlowe High School	Falcons	15	23	38
3	Oak Knoll School	Royals	32	27	59
4	The Prout School	Crusaders	23	46	69
5	Fairfield Prep	Jesuits	24	52	76
6	Chatham High School	Cougars	39	53	92
7	Xavier High School	Xavier High Falcons	56	36	92
8	Unregistered-NESSA	NDA/Norwell	56 MRP	39 MRP	95 MRP
9	Unregistered-MASSA	SUNY Maritime HS	58 MRP	55 MRP	113 MRP
10	Rye High School	Garnets	73 MRP	49 MRP	122 MRP

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Barrington High School	Eagles	3	4	1	2	2	2	14	Charles Kreuzkamp '20 [1-6] Gus Macaulay '23 [1-4] Brenden Jay '23 [5-6]
Fairfield Ludlowe High School	Falcons	5	3	2	1	3	1	15	Tyler Nash '22 Caitlin May '21
The Prout School	Crusaders	4	5	3	4	1	6	23	Avery Canavan '21 Laura Borges '20
Fairfield Prep	Jesuits	2	1	6	6	6	3	24	Will Donovan '21 Sean Sullivan '22
Oak Knoll School	Royals	1	6	9	5	7	4	32	Caroline Maher '21 [1-6] Isabelle Weldon '19 [1-2, 5-6] Maddie Donohue '21 [3-4]
Chatham High School	Cougars	7	8	5	8	4	7	39	Jamie Lynch '23 Allison Baun '22
Unregistered-NESSA	NDA/Norwell	8	7	4	3	5	9	56 MRP	No Show No Show
Xavier High School	Xavier High Falcons	9	10	10	10	9	8	56	Christopher Dowie '22 [1-2, 5-6] Brendan Peary '22 [3-4] Terrence O'Brien '20 [1-2] Zack Bulkovitch '22 [3-4] Alex Sauer '22 [5-6]
Unregistered-MASSA	SUNY Maritime HS	6	2	8	9	8	5	58 MRP	No Show No Show
Rye High School	Garnets	10	9	7	7	10	10	73 MRP	No Show No Show

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Barrington High School	Eagles	2	2	3	1	1	1	10	Josh Dillon '21 Nate Schneider '22
Fairfield Ludlowe High School	Falcons	1	4	1	2	5	10	23	Elizabeth Cutler '20 Alex Jaber '20
Oak Knoll School	Royals	3	3	5	3	7	6	27	Anna Schwartz '20 Celia Peri '20
Xavier High School	Xavier High Falcons	7	5	9	7	4	4	36	Damian Bianchi '22 Peter Walsh '23
Unregistered-NESSA	NDA/Norwell	5	1	4	4	2	3	39 MRP	No Show No Show
The Prout School	Crusaders	8	6	8	9	8	7	46	Bamford Emily '22 Murphy Logan '22
Rye High School	Garnets	6	8	2	5	6	2	49 MRP	No Show No Show
Fairfield Prep	Jesuits	10	9	7	8	10	8	52	Kevin Shanahan '22 [1-6] Nathan Ertl '22 [1-2, 5-6] Chase Lombra '22 [3-4]
Chatham High School	Cougars	9	10	10	6	9	9	53	Ciara Doherty '21 [1-6] Jonathan Field '22 [1-2, 5-6] Keira Press '23 [3-4]
Unregistered-MASSA	SUNY Maritime HS	4	7	6	10	3	5	55 MRP	No Show No Show

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.100+0.10

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Barrington High School Eagles	10	10	12	12	14	14
Chatham High School Cougars	11	11	19	19	17	17
Fairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons	12	12	14	14	16	16
Fairfield Prep Jesuits	13	13	11	11	19	19
Oak Knoll School Royals	14	14	16	16	18	18
Rye High School Garnets	15	15	13	13	11	11
The Prout School Crusaders	16	16	18	18	10	10
Unregistered-MASSA SUNY Maritime HS	17	17	15	15	13	13
Unregistered-NESSA NDA/Norwell	18	18	10	10	12	12
Xavier High School Xavier High Falcons	19	19	17	17	15	15

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B
Barrington High School Eagles	11	11	13	13	15	15
Chatham High School Cougars	10	10	18	18	16	16
Fairfield Ludlowe High School Falcons	13	13	15	15	17	17
Fairfield Prep Jesuits	12	12	10	10	18	18
Oak Knoll School Royals	15	15	17	17	19	19
Rye High School Garnets	14	14	12	12	10	10
The Prout School Crusaders	17	17	19	19	11	11
Unregistered-MASSA SUNY Maritime HS	16	16	14	14	12	12
Unregistered-NESSA NDA/Norwell	19	19	11	11	13	13
Xavier High School Xavier High Falcons	18	18	16	16	14	14

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Barrington High School	Charles Kreuzkamp '20 [1-6]	Gus Macaulay '23 [1-4] Brenden Jay '23 [5-6]
Eagles	Josh Dillon '21	Nate Schneider '22
Chatham High School	Jamie Lynch '23	Allison Baun '22
Cougars	Ciara Doherty '21 [1-6]	Jonathan Field '22 [1-2, 5-6] Keira Press '23 [3-4]
Fairfield Ludlowe High School	Tyler Nash '22	Caitlin May '21
Falcons	Elizabeth Cutler '20	Alex Jaber '20
Fairfield Prep	Will Donovan '21	Sean Sullivan '22
Jesuits	Kevin Shanahan '22 [1-6]	Nathan Ertl '22 [1-2, 5-6] Chase Lombra '22 [3-4]
Oak Knoll School	Caroline Maher '21 [1-6]	Isabelle Weldon '19 [1-2, 5-6] Maddie Donohue '21 [3-4]
Royals	Anna Schwartz '20	Celia Peri '20
Rye High School	No Show	No Show
Garnets	No Show	No Show
The Prout School	Avery Canavan '21	Laura Borges '20
Crusaders	Bamford Emily '22	Murphy Logan '22
Unregistered-MASSA	No Show	No Show
SUNY Maritime HS	No Show	No Show
Unregistered-NESSA	No Show	No Show
NDA/Norwell	No Show	No Show
Xavier High School	Christopher Dowie '22 [1-2, 5-6] Brendan Peary '22 [3-4]	Terrence O'Brien '20 [1-2] Zack Bulkovitch '22 [3-4] Alex Sauer '22 [5-6]
Xavier High Falcons	Damian Bianchi '22	Peter Walsh '23

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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Division A

Division B

From the notes