Great Oaks Qualifier MISSA Silver

HostPontiac Yacht Club
Date09/28/2019
TypeDistrict Champ Qualifier
BoatC420
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	Thomas Worthington High School	Cardinals	9	9
2	Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit	MUDJ	18	18
3	Holland Christian High School	Mixed	21	21
4	Loyola Academy	Ramblers	25	25
5	West Bloomfield High School	Lakers Varsity	32	32
6	Whitney Young	Dolphins	35	35
7	University of Chicago Laboratory Schools	Maroons	37	37
8	St. Paul Academy (MN)	Spartans	45 MRP	45 MRP
9	Detroit Country Day School	Varsity	46	46
10	Hopkins High School (MN)	Varsity	47 MRP	47 MRP
11	Beacon Academy	Wolves	50	50
12	Groves High School	Falcons	58	58

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	TOT	Sailors
Thomas Worthington High School	Cardinals	2	1	1	2	3	9	Grace Squires '20 [1-5] Emma Hutchings '22 [1-2, 5] Cassidy Hopcraft '22 [3-4]
Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit	MUDJ	6	BKD	3	3	2	18	Jenna Kozal '20 Alex Acosta '20
Holland Christian High School	Mixed	5	3	5	7	1	21	Greta Traver '23 Amelia Traver '24
Loyola Academy	Ramblers	3	7	4	4	7	25	Lexi Chigas '22 [1-5] Micheal Barker '20 [1-2, 5] Angelina Simon '20 [3-4]
West Bloomfield High School	Lakers Varsity	7	4	7	8	6	32	Jake Elsen '21 [1-2] Walter Paliga '22 [3-5] Walter Paliga '22 [1-2] Anthony Dziuba '21 [3-5]
Whitney Young	Dolphins	8	6	8	9	4	35	Margo Cicero '22 Phillip Nakamura '23
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools	Maroons	10	9	2	5	11	37	Philip Lengyel '21 [1-5] Elias Sveen Erling '22 [1-2] Adler Wright '22 [3-5]
St. Paul Academy (MN)	Spartans	4	5	6	1	9	45 MRP	Finn Tait '21 Tj Isberg '21
Detroit Country Day School	Varsity	9	8	9	10	10	46	Liam Hounsell '23 Dwight Ellis '20
Hopkins High School (MN)	Varsity	1	2	RAF	6	5	47 MRP	Patryk Stachowicz '24 Mark Kamenev '24
Beacon Academy	Wolves	11	10	10	11	8	50	Charlie Gelman '20 [1-2] Poppy Gelman '22 [3-4] Willem Aspinall '21 [5] Daren Nerad '20 [1-4] Poppy Gelman '22 [5]
Groves High School	Falcons	12	11	11	12	12	58	Caden Meyers '22 Jace Bishop '23

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.070+0.07

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A
Beacon Academy Wolves	1	1	2	2	3
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons	10	10	9	9	8
Detroit Country Day School Varsity	2	2	1	1	12
Groves High School Falcons	3	3	4	4	5
Holland Christian High School Mixed	4	4	3	3	2
Hopkins High School (MN) Varsity	5	5	6	6	7
Loyola Academy Ramblers	6	6	5	5	4
Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ	7	7	8	8	9
St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans	8	8	7	7	6
Thomas Worthington High School Cardinals	9	9	10	10	11
West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity	11	11	12	12	1
Whitney Young Dolphins	12	12	11	11	10

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
Beacon Academy	Wolves	Charlie Gelman '20 [1-2] Poppy Gelman '22 [3-4] Willem Aspinall '21 [5]	Daren Nerad '20 [1-4] Poppy Gelman '22 [5]
Detroit Country Day School	Varsity	Liam Hounsell '23	Dwight Ellis '20
Groves High School	Falcons	Caden Meyers '22	Jace Bishop '23
Holland Christian High School	Mixed	Greta Traver '23	Amelia Traver '24
Hopkins High School (MN)	Varsity	Patryk Stachowicz '24	Mark Kamenev '24
Loyola Academy	Ramblers	Lexi Chigas '22 [1-5]	Micheal Barker '20 [1-2, 5] Angelina Simon '20 [3-4]
Mercy University of Detroit Jesuit	MUDJ	Jenna Kozal '20	Alex Acosta '20
St. Paul Academy (MN)	Spartans	Finn Tait '21	Tj Isberg '21
Thomas Worthington High School	Cardinals	Grace Squires '20 [1-5]	Emma Hutchings '22 [1-2, 5] Cassidy Hopcraft '22 [3-4]
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools	Maroons	Philip Lengyel '21 [1-5]	Elias Sveen Erling '22 [1-2] Adler Wright '22 [3-5]
West Bloomfield High School	Lakers Varsity	Jake Elsen '21 [1-2] Walter Paliga '22 [3-5]	Walter Paliga '22 [1-2] Anthony Dziuba '21 [3-5]
Whitney Young	Dolphins	Margo Cicero '22	Phillip Nakamura '23

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

Navigate

Menu

Great Oaks Qualifier MISSA Silver

Division A

From the notes