MDISA JV @ DC Sail

HostGeorgetown Day/Walt Whitman
Date10/12/2019
TypeIn-League
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	St. Mary's High School (MD)	Saints	10	5	15
2	Key School	Zags	26	7	33
3	Patuxent	Panthers	15	21	36
4	Southern High School	Bulldogs	14	27	41
5	Georgetown Day School	Georgetown Day	23	18	41
6	Washington Latin	Lions	33	13	46
7	Annapolis High School	Panthers	23	24	47
8	Broadneck High School	Bruins	9	40	49
9	Leonardtown High School	Raiders	15	36	51
10	South River High School	Seahawks	31	27	58
11	Indian Creek School	Eagles	34	25	59
12	St. Mary's Ryken	Knights	44	19	63
13	Great Mills High School	Hornets	28	37	65
14	Walt Whitman High School	Varsity	27	40	67
15	Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS	Battlin' Baron	35	32	67
16	Severna Park	Falcons	42	37	79

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	TOT	Sailors
Broadneck High School	Bruins	6	2	1	9	Sam Tucker '22 Madeline Fisher '23
St. Mary's High School (MD)	Saints	2	1	7	10	Cole Wiegand '21 Stella Reshetiloff '21
Southern High School	Bulldogs	1	7	6	14	Sophie Griggs '24 Eric Nielsen '24
Patuxent	Panthers	4	8	3	15	Derick Fahnestock '22 Clara Wilson '25
Leonardtown High School	Raiders	8	5	2	15	Sterling Maggard '23 Jack Devito '24
Annapolis High School	Panthers	3	9	11	23	Josiah Chase '23 Connor Lawrence '22
Georgetown Day School	Georgetown Day	11	3	9	23	Zach Lighthammer '22 [1-2] Carmen Fowler '22 [3] Carmen Fowler '22 [1-2] Zach Lighthammer '22 [3]
Key School	Zags	9	13	4	26	Stella Kim '23 William Montague '24
Walt Whitman High School	Varsity	10	4	13	27	James "Jack" Johnson '22 Caitlin Costello '24
Great Mills High School	Hornets	5	11	12	28	Peter Morris '23 Sophie Dorey '21
South River High School	Seahawks	OCS	6	8	31	Jack Woods '23 Braden White '24
Washington Latin	Lions	13	10	10	33	Harrison Flakker '22 Wyatt Grimm '22
Indian Creek School	Eagles	7	12	15	34	Malcolm 'Cal' Morris-Berlin '22 Olivia Boucher '21
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS	Battlin' Baron	15	15	5	35	Alex Rudick '23 Simon Ringler '23
Severna Park	Falcons	12	16	14	42	Zach Hammel '21 Piper Shrout '22
St. Mary's Ryken	Knights	14	14	16	44	Henry Meiser '23 William Western '23

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	TOT	Sailors
St. Mary's High School (MD)	Saints	3	1	1	5	Ava Cornell '24 Kelly Koerschner '22
Key School	Zags	1	2	4	7	Marco Welch '24 Andrew Baker '24
Washington Latin	Lions	2	6	5	13	Nat Bonham '24 Miles Pulford '22
Georgetown Day School	Georgetown Day	4	4	10	18	Bryce Kojak '22 Jack Sieg '22
St. Mary's Ryken	Knights	11	5	3	19	Alexandra Mullery '22 Christian Wirth '21
Patuxent	Panthers	7	3	11	21	Grace Wilson '23 Caroline Mederos '24
Annapolis High School	Panthers	6	9	9	24	Henry Meyer '25 Asha Myers '23
Indian Creek School	Eagles	10	7	8	25	Anthony Thonnard '22 Cole Stephens '23
Southern High School	Bulldogs	5	16	6	27	Lara Nielsen '24 Cj Helenkamp '24
South River High School	Seahawks	13	12	2	27	No Show Amanda Win '23
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS	Battlin' Baron	9	8	15	32	Matthew Sward '27 Saskia Mahar-Piersma '23
Leonardtown High School	Raiders	14	15	7	36	Jonah Timmons '21 John Morrison '21
Severna Park	Falcons	8	13	16	37	Johnny Riganati '23 Lucas Alpert '23
Great Mills High School	Hornets	15	10	12	37	Julia Sullivan '22 Gracie Muir '23
Broadneck High School	Bruins	12	14	14	40	Olivia West '24 Anabel Chambers '24
Walt Whitman High School	Varsity	16	11	13	40	Victoria Schweigert-Opas '23 Indraja Kirvelaitis '21

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.100+0.10

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A
Annapolis High School Panthers	1	1	1
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron	2	2	2
Broadneck High School Bruins	3	3	3
Georgetown Day School Georgetown Day	4	4	4
Great Mills High School Hornets	5	5	5
Indian Creek School Eagles	6	6	6
Key School Zags	7	7	7
Leonardtown High School Raiders	8	8	8
Patuxent Panthers	9	9	9
Severna Park Falcons	10	10	10
South River High School Seahawks	11	11	11
Southern High School Bulldogs	12	12	12
St. Mary's Ryken Knights	14	14	14
St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints	13	13	13
Walt Whitman High School Varsity	15	15	15
Washington Latin Lions	16	16	16

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B
Annapolis High School Panthers	2	2	2
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron	3	3	3
Broadneck High School Bruins	4	4	4
Georgetown Day School Georgetown Day	5	5	5
Great Mills High School Hornets	6	6	6
Indian Creek School Eagles	7	7	7
Key School Zags	8	8	8
Leonardtown High School Raiders	9	9	9
Patuxent Panthers	10	10	10
Severna Park Falcons	11	11	11
South River High School Seahawks	12	12	12
Southern High School Bulldogs	13	13	13
St. Mary's Ryken Knights	15	15	15
St. Mary's High School (MD) Saints	14	14	14
Walt Whitman High School Varsity	16	16	16
Washington Latin Lions	1	1	1

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Annapolis High School	Josiah Chase '23	Connor Lawrence '22
Panthers	Henry Meyer '25	Asha Myers '23
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS	Alex Rudick '23	Simon Ringler '23
Battlin' Baron	Matthew Sward '27	Saskia Mahar-Piersma '23
Broadneck High School	Sam Tucker '22	Madeline Fisher '23
Bruins	Olivia West '24	Anabel Chambers '24
Georgetown Day School	Zach Lighthammer '22 [1-2] Carmen Fowler '22 [3]	Carmen Fowler '22 [1-2] Zach Lighthammer '22 [3]
Georgetown Day	Bryce Kojak '22	Jack Sieg '22
Great Mills High School	Peter Morris '23	Sophie Dorey '21
Hornets	Julia Sullivan '22	Gracie Muir '23
Indian Creek School	Malcolm 'Cal' Morris-Berlin '22	Olivia Boucher '21
Eagles	Anthony Thonnard '22	Cole Stephens '23
Key School	Stella Kim '23	William Montague '24
Zags	Marco Welch '24	Andrew Baker '24
Leonardtown High School	Sterling Maggard '23	Jack Devito '24
Raiders	Jonah Timmons '21	John Morrison '21
Patuxent	Derick Fahnestock '22	Clara Wilson '25
Panthers	Grace Wilson '23	Caroline Mederos '24
Severna Park	Zach Hammel '21	Piper Shrout '22
Falcons	Johnny Riganati '23	Lucas Alpert '23
South River High School	Jack Woods '23	Braden White '24
Seahawks	No Show	Amanda Win '23
Southern High School	Sophie Griggs '24	Eric Nielsen '24
Bulldogs	Lara Nielsen '24	Cj Helenkamp '24
St. Mary's High School (MD)	Cole Wiegand '21	Stella Reshetiloff '21
Saints	Ava Cornell '24	Kelly Koerschner '22
St. Mary's Ryken	Henry Meiser '23	William Western '23
Knights	Alexandra Mullery '22	Christian Wirth '21
Walt Whitman High School	James "Jack" Johnson '22	Caitlin Costello '24
Varsity	Victoria Schweigert-Opas '23	Indraja Kirvelaitis '21
Washington Latin	Harrison Flakker '22	Wyatt Grimm '22
Lions	Nat Bonham '24	Miles Pulford '22

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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MDISA JV @ DC Sail

Division A

Division B

From the notes