North BHS Open

HostBeaufort
Date10/05/2019
TypePromotional
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Beaufort High School	Varsity	12	15	27
2	Academic Magnet High School	Raptors A	29	38	67
3	James Island Charter High School	Varsity	41	39	80
4	Bishop Kenny High School - FL	Bishop Kenny	42	38	80
5	Beaufort High School	JV	19	64	83
6	St. Vincent's Academy	Saints Varsity	64	25	89
7	Glynn Academy	Varsity	43	53	96
8	Episcopal School of Jacksonville	ESJ	51	48	99
9	Wando High School	Wando Warriors	64	47	111

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
Beaufort High School	Varsity	1	3	2	1	1	1	2	1	12	Clay Myers '21 [1-8] Abbie Pollitzer '21 [1-2, 5-6] Stephen Cruikshank '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Beaufort High School	JV	2	1	1	5	4	2	1	3	19	Ian Hoogenboom '20 [1-8] Brock Blonski '22 [1-2, 5-8] Alexander Tielens '24 [3-4]
Academic Magnet High School	Raptors A	3	5	4	6	2	3	4	2	29	Davis Leath '20 Cassie Brisbin '20
James Island Charter High School	Varsity	4	4	5	2	8	6	5	7	41	Mcgill Woodward '21 Jane Herbert '24
Bishop Kenny High School - FL	Bishop Kenny	7	9	3	4	3	4	3	9	42	Charlie Lawrence '22 Jonah Brewer '21
Glynn Academy	Varsity	8	2	6	3	6	7	7	4	43	Liam Kolkmeyer '23 [1, 3-4, 6, 8] Sebastian Helgesen '23 [2, 5, 7] Sebastian Helgesen '23 [1, 6, 8] Liam Kolkmeyer '23 [2, 5, 7] Collin Register '23 [3-4]
Episcopal School of Jacksonville	ESJ	5	6	9	8	5	5	8	5	51	Scott Busey '23 No Show
St. Vincent's Academy	Saints Varsity	6	7	7	DNF	DNF	DNF	6	8	64	Lillian Hightower '20 Taylor Mason '20
Wando High School	Wando Warriors	9	8	8	7	7	RAF	9	6	64	Luca Vrinceanu '23 [1-8] Toby Payzant '23 [1-2] Michael Douglas '21 [3-4] Conner Bosse '23 [5-8]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	TOT	Sailors
Beaufort High School	Varsity	2	1	1	3	1	3	1	3	15	Edmund Mccalister '20 [1-8] Robert Mccalister '23 [1-2, 5-6] Tyler Mcguire '23 [3-4, 7-8]
St. Vincent's Academy	Saints Varsity	1	5	5	2	2	4	2	4	25	Cate Lamas '20 Megan Gladden '23
Academic Magnet High School	Raptors A	3	2	6	5	4	8	5	5	38	Mason Leath '20 [1-2, 5-8] Clay Hershey '22 [3-4] Kristen Cooper '21 [1-2, 5-8]
Bishop Kenny High School - FL	Bishop Kenny	4	4	2	DNF	3	2	7	6	38	Alex Patangan '23 [1-8] William Silvistri '22 [1-2, 5-6] William Thomsen '22 [3-4, 7-8]
James Island Charter High School	Varsity	8	3	3	1	6	5	4	9	39	William Rawlings '22 [1-2, 5-6] Owen Mckenzie '23 [3-4, 7-8] Owen Mckenzie '23 [1-2] Ridgely Brewer '23 [3-8]
Wando High School	Wando Warriors	9	DNS	7	6	9	1	3	2	47	Luanne Murphy '21 [1-2] Toby Payzant '23 [3-8] Conner Bosse '23 [1-2] Michael Douglas '21 [3-8]
Episcopal School of Jacksonville	ESJ	5	7	4	4	8	7	6	7	48	Cross Thomas '23 Phillip Fortson '23
Glynn Academy	Varsity	6	8	DNF	7	7	6	8	1	53	Ethan Waters '22 Josh Spencer '23
Beaufort High School	JV	7	6	DNF	DNF	5	9	9	8	64	James Fabian '23 [1-4] Alexander Tielens '24 [5-8] Court Martin '21 [1-4]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.060+0.06

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A
Academic Magnet High School Raptors A	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7
Beaufort High School JV	3	3	5	5	7	7	13	13
Beaufort High School Varsity	2	2	4	4	6	6	10	10
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny	4	4	6	6	10	10	1	1
Episcopal School of Jacksonville ESJ	5	5	7	7	13	13	2	2
Glynn Academy Varsity	6	6	10	10	1	1	3	3
James Island Charter High School Varsity	7	7	13	13	2	2	4	4
St. Vincent's Academy Saints Varsity	10	10	1	1	3	3	5	5
Wando High School Wando Warriors	13	13	2	2	4	4	6	6

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B
Academic Magnet High School Raptors A	2	2	4	4	6	6	10	10
Beaufort High School JV	4	4	6	6	10	10	1	1
Beaufort High School Varsity	3	3	5	5	7	7	13	13
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny	5	5	7	7	13	13	2	2
Episcopal School of Jacksonville ESJ	6	6	10	10	1	1	3	3
Glynn Academy Varsity	7	7	13	13	2	2	4	4
James Island Charter High School Varsity	10	10	1	1	3	3	5	5
St. Vincent's Academy Saints Varsity	13	13	2	2	4	4	6	6
Wando High School Wando Warriors	1	1	3	3	5	5	7	7

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Academic Magnet High School	Davis Leath '20	Cassie Brisbin '20
Raptors A	Mason Leath '20 [1-2, 5-8] Clay Hershey '22 [3-4]	Kristen Cooper '21 [1-2, 5-8]
Beaufort High School	Ian Hoogenboom '20 [1-8]	Brock Blonski '22 [1-2, 5-8] Alexander Tielens '24 [3-4]
JV	James Fabian '23 [1-4] Alexander Tielens '24 [5-8]	Court Martin '21 [1-4]
Beaufort High School	Clay Myers '21 [1-8]	Abbie Pollitzer '21 [1-2, 5-6] Stephen Cruikshank '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Varsity	Edmund Mccalister '20 [1-8]	Robert Mccalister '23 [1-2, 5-6] Tyler Mcguire '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Bishop Kenny High School - FL	Charlie Lawrence '22	Jonah Brewer '21
Bishop Kenny	Alex Patangan '23 [1-8]	William Silvistri '22 [1-2, 5-6] William Thomsen '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Episcopal School of Jacksonville	Scott Busey '23	No Show
ESJ	Cross Thomas '23	Phillip Fortson '23
Glynn Academy	Liam Kolkmeyer '23 [1, 3-4, 6, 8] Sebastian Helgesen '23 [2, 5, 7]	Sebastian Helgesen '23 [1, 6, 8] Liam Kolkmeyer '23 [2, 5, 7] Collin Register '23 [3-4]
Varsity	Ethan Waters '22	Josh Spencer '23
James Island Charter High School	Mcgill Woodward '21	Jane Herbert '24
Varsity	William Rawlings '22 [1-2, 5-6] Owen Mckenzie '23 [3-4, 7-8]	Owen Mckenzie '23 [1-2] Ridgely Brewer '23 [3-8]
St. Vincent's Academy	Lillian Hightower '20	Taylor Mason '20
Saints Varsity	Cate Lamas '20	Megan Gladden '23
Wando High School	Luca Vrinceanu '23 [1-8]	Toby Payzant '23 [1-2] Michael Douglas '21 [3-4] Conner Bosse '23 [5-8]
Wando Warriors	Luanne Murphy '21 [1-2] Toby Payzant '23 [3-8]	Conner Bosse '23 [1-2] Michael Douglas '21 [3-8]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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North BHS Open

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Division B

From the notes