PCISA 2019 Norcal 3 Silver

HostEncinal Yacht Club
Date11/02/2019
TypeIn-District
BoatCFJ
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	Stevenson School	Pirates	9	9
2	St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco	Wildcats 1	10	10
3	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 2	50	50
4	Pacific Collegiate School	Varsity	50	50
5	Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs 2	68	68
6	Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	72	72
7	Menlo-Atherton	Varsity	74	74
8	St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco	Wildcats 2	78	78
9	The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 1	79	79
10	Alameda High School	Hornets	81	81
11	Los Gatos High School	Wildcats	83	83
12	Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs 1	86	86
13	Marin Academy	Wildcats	93	93
14	International HS - SF	Jaguars	95 MRP	95 MRP
15	SOTA High School	SOTA 1	96	96
16	Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	97	97
17	Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins	97	97
18	Redwood High School	Giants	103	103
19	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	103	103
20	Lowell High School - CA	Cardinals	106	106
21	The Athenian School	Owls	108	108
22	Oakland Technical High School	Varsity	109	109
23	The Urban School	Blues	109	109
24	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	111	111
25	College Park High School	Falcons	116	116
26	Head Royce	Jayhawks	119	119
27	SOTA High School	SOTA 2	135	135
28	Sterne High School	Drew	137	137
29	Acalanes High School	Dons	140	140
30	Piedmont High School	Varsity 1	154	154
31	Piedmont High School	Varsity 2	160	160
32	Panthers Silver	Panthers Silver	185 MRP	185 MRP

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	TOT	Sailors
Stevenson School	Pirates	2	1	2	1	3	9	Carmen Berg '22 Lilah Parker '22
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco	Wildcats 1	1	2	3	2	2	10	Nick Nazzall '21 Ben O'Neil '23
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 2	DNF	3	8	5	1	50	Leo Sabhorwal '20 Cayden Bauer '22
Pacific Collegiate School	Varsity	DNF	4	1	8	4	50	Tristan Bellevin '21 Amanda Turner '23
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs 2	DNF	7	5	14	9	68	Gregory Kosmowski '22 Hayden Walheim '23
Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	4	21	21	9	17	72	Max Mcreynolds '23 [1-5] Davis (Caleb) Sparks '23 [1, 3, 5] Elias Wu '23 [2, 4]
Menlo-Atherton	Varsity	DNF	20	12	4	5	74	Dominic Lin '25 Dominic Lin '25
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco	Wildcats 2	DNF	6	19	7	13	78	Otto Dreier '23 Miles White '25
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 1	DNF	11	10	13	12	79	Jacob Kaplan '21 Thalia Altschul '22
Alameda High School	Hornets	DNF	5	4	6	DNS	81	Artemis Edison '22 [1-5] Gemma Hanson '20 [1] Camille Dawson '23 [2-5]
Los Gatos High School	Wildcats	DNF	18	14	11	7	83	Dana Yong '25 Logan Hamm '23
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs 1	DNF	14	17	16	6	86	Clementine Mohun '22 Madeline Richardson '22
Marin Academy	Wildcats	DNF	13	7	21	19	93	Chase Bent '22 [1-5] Justin Goldin '23 [1] Allegra O'Brien '22 [2-5]
International HS - SF	Jaguars	DNF	23	6	3	10	95 MRP	Alexander Kasolas '22 [1-3, 5] Brady Moore '23 [4] Brady Moore '23 [1-2, 5] Charlie Kontrabecki '23 [3-4]
SOTA High School	SOTA 1	DNF	12	15	18	18	96	Cal Smolenski '23 [1-5] Gabriel De Renty '24 [1, 4-5] Corbett Malenfant '22 [2-3]
Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	3	DNF	25	22	14	97	Ryan Ting '21 [1-5] Asher Thomas '23 [1, 3, 5] Holden Rogers '22 [2, 4]
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins	DNF	10	13	25	16	97	Anthony Newman '22 Madeline Justice '21
Redwood High School	Giants	DNF	16	DSQ	10	11	103	Reid Willens '22 [1, 3-5] Mungo Mckemey '23 [2] Mungo Mckemey '23 [1] Tara Moran '22 [2-5]
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	DNF	26	9	12	23	103	Avery Plotts '21 Malia Fredrich '22
Lowell High School - CA	Cardinals	DNF	8	20	20	25	106	Anna Novolt '22 [1-5] Natalie Novolt '22 [1, 4-5] Chloe Marinerstein '22 [2-3]
The Athenian School	Owls	DNF	25	23	19	8	108	Suzie Myles '21 [1-5] Madison Mun '23 [1-2] Ethan Arnold '22 [3-4] Clara Feng '23 [5]
Oakland Technical High School	Varsity	DNS	17	22	15	22	109	Claire Abboud '23 Leah Smith '22
The Urban School	Blues	DNF	22	16	23	15	109	Isabelle Lawson '23 Philo Judson '22
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	DNF	15	11	28	24	111	Lukas Plotts '23 Katie Blackader '20
College Park High School	Falcons	DNS	27	18	17	21	116	Annika Altman '22 Josh Botting '23
Head Royce	Jayhawks	DNF	9	24	27	26	119	Artemisia Matera '21 Josephine Kovecses '21
SOTA High School	SOTA 2	DNF	19	29	26	28	135	Milla Limkin '23 Aukje Van Eck '22
Sterne High School	Drew	DNF	DNF	27	24	20	137	Ellie Meyer '23 [1-5] Isabella Testa '23 [1-3] Silas Lambros '22 [4-5]
Acalanes High School	Dons	DNS	24	26	30	27	140	Jenna Englehart '24 Layla Kronberg '24
Piedmont High School	Varsity 1	DNS	DNF	30	29	29	154	Carson Hicks '22 Conor Kim '23
Piedmont High School	Varsity 2	DNS	DNS	28	DSQ	DNS	160	Alex Zalewski '23 [1-5] Maisy Richardson '24 [1-2] Nicholas Jerez '24 [3-5]
Panthers Silver	Panthers Silver	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	185 MRP

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.230+0.23

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A
Acalanes High School Dons	53	53	53	53	53
Alameda High School Hornets	48	48	48	48	48
College Park High School Falcons	52	52	52	52	52
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs 1	8	8	8	8	8
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs 2	9	9	9	9	9
Crystal Springs Uplands School Griffins	39	39	39	39	39
Design Tech High School d.tech 1	38	38	38	38	38
Design Tech High School d.tech 2	34	34	34	34	34
Head Royce Jayhawks	46	46	46	46	46
International HS - SF Jaguars	7	7	7	7	7
Los Gatos High School Wildcats	103	103	103	103	103
Lowell High School - CA Cardinals	72	72	72	72	72
Marin Academy Wildcats	17	17	17	17	17
Menlo-Atherton Varsity	35	35	35	35	35
Oakland Technical High School Varsity	41	41	41	41	41
Pacific Collegiate School Varsity	108	108	108	108	108
Piedmont High School Varsity 1	41	41	41	41	41
Piedmont High School Varsity 2	50	50	50	50	50
Redwood High School Giants	123	123	123	123	123
SOTA High School SOTA 1	71	71	71	71	71
SOTA High School SOTA 2	74	74	74	74	74
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco Wildcats 1	4	4	4	4	4
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco Wildcats 2	3	3	3	3	3
Sterne High School Drew	70	70	70	70	70
Stevenson School Pirates	99	99	99	99	99
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 1	80	80	80	80	80
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks 2	140	140	140	140	140
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1	82	82	82	82	82
The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2	83	83	83	83	83
The Urban School Blues	141	141	141	141	141

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
Acalanes High School	Dons	Jenna Englehart '24	Layla Kronberg '24
Alameda High School	Hornets	Artemis Edison '22 [1-5]	Gemma Hanson '20 [1] Camille Dawson '23 [2-5]
College Park High School	Falcons	Annika Altman '22	Josh Botting '23
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs 1	Clementine Mohun '22	Madeline Richardson '22
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs 2	Gregory Kosmowski '22	Hayden Walheim '23
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins	Anthony Newman '22	Madeline Justice '21
Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	Ryan Ting '21 [1-5]	Asher Thomas '23 [1, 3, 5] Holden Rogers '22 [2, 4]
Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	Max Mcreynolds '23 [1-5]	Davis (Caleb) Sparks '23 [1, 3, 5] Elias Wu '23 [2, 4]
Head Royce	Jayhawks	Artemisia Matera '21	Josephine Kovecses '21
International HS - SF	Jaguars	Alexander Kasolas '22 [1-3, 5] Brady Moore '23 [4]	Brady Moore '23 [1-2, 5] Charlie Kontrabecki '23 [3-4]
Los Gatos High School	Wildcats	Dana Yong '25	Logan Hamm '23
Lowell High School - CA	Cardinals	Anna Novolt '22 [1-5]	Natalie Novolt '22 [1, 4-5] Chloe Marinerstein '22 [2-3]
Marin Academy	Wildcats	Chase Bent '22 [1-5]	Justin Goldin '23 [1] Allegra O'Brien '22 [2-5]
Menlo-Atherton	Varsity	Dominic Lin '25	Dominic Lin '25
Oakland Technical High School	Varsity	Claire Abboud '23	Leah Smith '22
Pacific Collegiate School	Varsity	Tristan Bellevin '21	Amanda Turner '23
Piedmont High School	Varsity 1	Carson Hicks '22	Conor Kim '23
Piedmont High School	Varsity 2	Alex Zalewski '23 [1-5]	Maisy Richardson '24 [1-2] Nicholas Jerez '24 [3-5]
Redwood High School	Giants	Reid Willens '22 [1, 3-5] Mungo Mckemey '23 [2]	Mungo Mckemey '23 [1] Tara Moran '22 [2-5]
SOTA High School	SOTA 1	Cal Smolenski '23 [1-5]	Gabriel De Renty '24 [1, 4-5] Corbett Malenfant '22 [2-3]
SOTA High School	SOTA 2	Milla Limkin '23	Aukje Van Eck '22
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco	Wildcats 1	Nick Nazzall '21	Ben O'Neil '23
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco	Wildcats 2	Otto Dreier '23	Miles White '25
Sterne High School	Drew	Ellie Meyer '23 [1-5]	Isabella Testa '23 [1-3] Silas Lambros '22 [4-5]
Stevenson School	Pirates	Carmen Berg '22	Lilah Parker '22
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 1	Avery Plotts '21	Malia Fredrich '22
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks 2	Lukas Plotts '23	Katie Blackader '20
The Athenian School	Owls	Suzie Myles '21 [1-5]	Madison Mun '23 [1-2] Ethan Arnold '22 [3-4] Clara Feng '23 [5]
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 1	Jacob Kaplan '21	Thalia Altschul '22
The Bay School of San Francisco	Breakers 2	Leo Sabhorwal '20	Cayden Bauer '22
The Urban School	Blues	Isabelle Lawson '23	Philo Judson '22

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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PCISA 2019 Norcal 3 Silver

Division A

From the notes