PYC last regatta

HostWest Bloomfield
Date11/07/2020
TypePromotional
BoatC420
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	Troy High School	Troy	12	12
2	Groves High School	Mixed 1	23	23
3	Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit	MUDJ	23	23
4	Birmingham Public Schools	Mixed	33	33
5	West Bloomfield High School	Lakers Varsity	34	34
6	West Bloomfield High School	MIXED White	40	40
7	West Bloomfield High School	MIXED Green	47	47
8	Troy High School	MIXED Candy Corn 1	53	53
9	Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit	Marlins	69	69
10	Bloomfield Hills High School	MIXED Orange	69	69
11	Detroit Country Day School	MIXED Gold	76	76
12	Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI	BRMS Blue Mixed	84	84
13	Troy High School	MIXED Candy Corn 2	90	90
14	Groves High School	Mixed 2	91	91
15	Bloomfield Hills High School	MIXED Black	97	97

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Troy High School	Troy	1	3	3	1	1	1	2	12	Emily Pytell '21 Dane Greenwood '23
Groves High School	Mixed 1	3	1	1	4	2	6	6	23	Vinny Paliga '24 Madeline Martin '24
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit	MUDJ	4	5	2	2	5	2	3	23	Gavin Lamphier '22 Nick Myneni '22
Birmingham Public Schools	Mixed	6	4	7	6	4	5	1	33	Liam Hounsell '23 Karen Callahan '23
West Bloomfield High School	Lakers Varsity	7	6	4	3	6	3	5	34	Walter Paliga '22 Anthony Dziuba '21
West Bloomfield High School	MIXED White	8	2	10	5	3	4	8	40	Ethan Gulati '22 Edward Benedict '26
West Bloomfield High School	MIXED Green	5	8	5	7	10	8	4	47	Brent Armstrong '25 Jack Armstrong '25
Troy High School	MIXED Candy Corn 1	2	9	6	9	9	11	7	53	Rodrigo Flores '24 Monika Torkos '23
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit	Marlins	10	11	8	12	7	12	9	69	Liam Dowling '24 Gabe Morreale '23
Bloomfield Hills High School	MIXED Orange	14	7	9	11	11	7	10	69	Ashan Villavarayan '25 Ritvik Sampath '25
Detroit Country Day School	MIXED Gold	9	13	13	13	8	9	11	76	Aarush Kapur '25 Groves Destin '22
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI	BRMS Blue Mixed	12	10	11	14	12	13	12	84	Zachary Ring '24 Sage Waelchli '22
Troy High School	MIXED Candy Corn 2	13	14	15	8	13	14	13	90	Joe Mowrey '21 Nicole Torkos '25
Groves High School	Mixed 2	11	12	12	10	15	15	DNS	91	Keegan Mccormick '22 Jace Bishop '23
Bloomfield Hills High School	MIXED Black	15	15	14	15	14	10	14	97	Mayas Smith '26 Dorian Ferguson '26

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.120+0.12

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2020 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A
Birmingham Public Schools Mixed	7	7	7	7	7	7	7
Bloomfield Hills High School MIXED Black	6	6	6	6	6	6	6
Bloomfield Hills High School MIXED Orange	15	15	15	15	15	15	15
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS Blue Mixed	14	14	14	14	14	14	14
Detroit Country Day School MIXED Gold	11	11	11	11	11	11	11
Groves High School Mixed 1	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
Groves High School Mixed 2	12	12	12	12	12	12	12
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Marlins	13	13	13	13	13	13	13
Troy High School MIXED Candy Corn 1	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
Troy High School MIXED Candy Corn 2	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
Troy High School Troy	9	9	9	9	9	9	9
West Bloomfield High School Lakers Varsity	10	10	10	10	10	10	10
West Bloomfield High School MIXED Green	8	8	8	8	8	8	8
West Bloomfield High School MIXED White	16	16	16	16	16	16	16

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
Birmingham Public Schools	Mixed	Liam Hounsell '23	Karen Callahan '23
Bloomfield Hills High School	MIXED Black	Mayas Smith '26	Dorian Ferguson '26
Bloomfield Hills High School	MIXED Orange	Ashan Villavarayan '25	Ritvik Sampath '25
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI	BRMS Blue Mixed	Zachary Ring '24	Sage Waelchli '22
Detroit Country Day School	MIXED Gold	Aarush Kapur '25	Groves Destin '22
Groves High School	Mixed 1	Vinny Paliga '24	Madeline Martin '24
Groves High School	Mixed 2	Keegan Mccormick '22	Jace Bishop '23
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit	MUDJ	Gavin Lamphier '22	Nick Myneni '22
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit	Marlins	Liam Dowling '24	Gabe Morreale '23
Troy High School	MIXED Candy Corn 1	Rodrigo Flores '24	Monika Torkos '23
Troy High School	MIXED Candy Corn 2	Joe Mowrey '21	Nicole Torkos '25
Troy High School	Troy	Emily Pytell '21	Dane Greenwood '23
West Bloomfield High School	Lakers Varsity	Walter Paliga '22	Anthony Dziuba '21
West Bloomfield High School	MIXED Green	Brent Armstrong '25	Jack Armstrong '25
West Bloomfield High School	MIXED White	Ethan Gulati '22	Edward Benedict '26

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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PYC last regatta

Division A

From the notes