Red Hat Crew Regatta

HostMercy - MI/West Bloomfield
Date09/26/2020
TypePromotional
BoatC420
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	Detroit Country Day School	MIXED Gold	11	11
2	West Bloomfield High School	WB Green	14	14
3	West Bloomfield High School	MIXED Green	19	19
4	Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit	MIXED Maroon	25	25
5	Birmingham Public Schools	Mixed 1	25	25
6	Detroit Country Day School	MIXED Blue	32	32
7	Troy High School	Troy Mixed 1	39	39
8	West Bloomfield High School	MIXED White	45	45
9	Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI	BRMS Blue	45	45
10	Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit	Detroit MIXED	45	45
11	Troy High School	Troy Mixed 2	52	52
12	West Bloomfield High School	WB White	57	57
13	Birmingham Public Schools	Mixed 2	64	64

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	TOT	Sailors
Detroit Country Day School	MIXED Gold	6	1	1	2	1	11	Liam Hounsell '23 Om Jaipati '24
West Bloomfield High School	WB Green	2	2	2	1	7	14	Jake Elsen '21 Ritvik Sampath '25
West Bloomfield High School	MIXED Green	3	4	4	4	4	19	Joe Mowrey '21 Cameron Briggs '24
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit	MIXED Maroon	4	10	3	3	5	25	Nick Myneni '22 Zachary Ring '24
Birmingham Public Schools	Mixed 1	10	3	5	5	2	25	Gavin Swallow '22 Mariam Kouza '22
Detroit Country Day School	MIXED Blue	5	7	8	6	6	32	Aarush Kapur '25 Denstin Groves '22
Troy High School	Troy Mixed 1	9	5	6	11	8	39	Liam Dowling '24 Nicole Torkos '25
West Bloomfield High School	MIXED White	11	6	9	10	9	45	Diego Kittinger '24 Brianna Briggs '25
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI	BRMS Blue	12	11	10	9	3	45	John Riordan '22 Sage Waelchli '22
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit	Detroit MIXED	13	8	7	7	10	45	Will Hilborn '22 Edward Benedict '26
Troy High School	Troy Mixed 2	1	9	DNS	RAF	RAF	52	Emily Pytell '21 Monika Torkos '23
West Bloomfield High School	WB White	7	DNF	DNS	8	RAF	57	Brent Armstrong '25 Jack Armstrong '25
Birmingham Public Schools	Mixed 2	8	DNS	DNS	RAF	RAF	64	Karen Callahan '23 Mayas Smith '25

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.080+0.08

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2020 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A
Birmingham Public Schools Mixed 1	1	1	1	1	1
Birmingham Public Schools Mixed 2	7	7	7	7	7
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS Blue	3	3	3	3	3
Detroit Country Day School MIXED Blue	9	9	9	9	9
Detroit Country Day School MIXED Gold	16	16	16	16	16
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Detroit MIXED	10	10	10	10	10
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MIXED Maroon	2	2	2	2	2
Troy High School Troy Mixed 1	6	6	6	6	6
Troy High School Troy Mixed 2	4	4	4	4	4
West Bloomfield High School MIXED Green	8	8	8	8	8
West Bloomfield High School MIXED White	12	12	12	12	12
West Bloomfield High School WB Green	14	14	14	14	14
West Bloomfield High School WB White	15	15	15	15	15

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
Birmingham Public Schools	Mixed 1	Gavin Swallow '22	Mariam Kouza '22
Birmingham Public Schools	Mixed 2	Karen Callahan '23	Mayas Smith '25
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI	BRMS Blue	John Riordan '22	Sage Waelchli '22
Detroit Country Day School	MIXED Blue	Aarush Kapur '25	Denstin Groves '22
Detroit Country Day School	MIXED Gold	Liam Hounsell '23	Om Jaipati '24
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit	Detroit MIXED	Will Hilborn '22	Edward Benedict '26
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit	MIXED Maroon	Nick Myneni '22	Zachary Ring '24
Troy High School	Troy Mixed 1	Liam Dowling '24	Nicole Torkos '25
Troy High School	Troy Mixed 2	Emily Pytell '21	Monika Torkos '23
West Bloomfield High School	MIXED Green	Joe Mowrey '21	Cameron Briggs '24
West Bloomfield High School	MIXED White	Diego Kittinger '24	Brianna Briggs '25
West Bloomfield High School	WB Green	Jake Elsen '21	Ritvik Sampath '25
West Bloomfield High School	WB White	Brent Armstrong '25	Jack Armstrong '25

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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Division A

From the notes