Red Hat Regatta

HostMercy - MI/West Bloomfield
Date09/26/2020
TypePromotional
BoatC420
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI	BRMS Blue	16	16
2	West Bloomfield High School	MIXED Green	26	26
3	West Bloomfield High School	WB Green	38	38
4	Troy High School	Troy Mixed	40	40
5	Walled Lake Central HS	Vikings	44	44
6	Groves High School	Mixed 1	46	46
7	Birmingham Public Schools	Varsity	50	50
8	West Bloomfield High School	MIXED White	61	61
9	West Bloomfield High School	WB White	64	64
10	Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit	MUDJ	68	68
11	Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit	Detroit MIXED	75	75
12	Birmingham Public Schools	Mixed	76	76
13	Detroit Country Day School	MIXED Red	77	77
14	Groves High School	Mixed 2	92	92
15	Detroit Country Day School	MIXED Blue	101	101
16	Everest Collegiate High School & Academy	Varsity	107	107
17	Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit	MIXED Maroon	108	108
18	Detroit Country Day School	MIXED Gold	112	112

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI	BRMS Blue	8	1	1	1	1	2	2	16	Owen Bannasch '22 John Riordan '22
West Bloomfield High School	MIXED Green	2	2	4	3	4	10	1	26	Walter Paliga '22 Karen Callahan '23
West Bloomfield High School	WB Green	4	5	5	8	3	3	10	38	Jake Elsen '21 Liam Gilin '25
Troy High School	Troy Mixed	10	4	7	6	6	4	3	40	Joe Mowrey '21 Cameron Briggs '24
Walled Lake Central HS	Vikings	7	8	10	2	2	9	6	44	Abby Allen '21 Anthony Dziuba '21
Groves High School	Mixed 1	6	3	8	7	5	8	9	46	Vinny Paliga '24 Madeline Martin '24
Birmingham Public Schools	Varsity	1	7	6	10	15	7	4	50	Luke Strickland '22 Nassar Awada '23
West Bloomfield High School	MIXED White	9	6	2	15	7	11	11	61	Ethan Gulati '22 Jace Bishop '23
West Bloomfield High School	WB White	5	10	3	14	13	12	7	64	Brent Armstrong '25 Jack Armstrong '25
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit	MUDJ	12	DNF	RDG	4	9	6	8	68	Nick Myneni '22 Alaina Hatcher '23
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit	Detroit MIXED	3	9	13	9	14	14	13	75	Rodrigo Flores '24 Will Hilborn '22
Birmingham Public Schools	Mixed	DSQ	DSQ	DSQ	5	8	1	5	76	Liam Hounsell '23 Gavin Swallow '22
Detroit Country Day School	MIXED Red	17	11	9	13	10	5	12	77	Miles Laker '23 Ashan Villavarayan '25
Groves High School	Mixed 2	11	15	11	12	11	13	DNF	92	Caden Meyers '22 Aliya Awada '24
Detroit Country Day School	MIXED Blue	15	12	12	16	16	15	15	101	Aarush Kapur '25 Denstin Groves '22
Everest Collegiate High School & Academy	Varsity	14	14	14	17	18	16	14	107	Diego Kittinger '24 Drew Noser '23
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit	MIXED Maroon	13	13	16	18	12	17	DNF	108	Nathan Bacheller '24 Liam Dowling '24
Detroit Country Day School	MIXED Gold	16	16	15	11	17	18	DNF	112	Josie Pachla '23 Isabella Rozentuler '23

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.080+0.08

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2020 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A
Birmingham Public Schools Mixed	8	8	8	8	8	8	8
Birmingham Public Schools Varsity	17	17	17	17	17	17	17
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI BRMS Blue	15	15	15	15	15	15	15
Detroit Country Day School MIXED Blue	10	10	10	10	10	10	10
Detroit Country Day School MIXED Gold	18	18	18	18	18	18	18
Detroit Country Day School MIXED Red	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
Everest Collegiate High School & Academy Varsity	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
Groves High School Mixed 1	9	9	9	9	9	9	9
Groves High School Mixed 2	13	13	13	13	13	13	13
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit Detroit MIXED	11	11	11	11	11	11	11
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MIXED Maroon	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit MUDJ	16	16	16	16	16	16	16
Troy High School Troy Mixed	12	12	12	12	12	12	12
Walled Lake Central HS Vikings	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
West Bloomfield High School MIXED Green	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
West Bloomfield High School MIXED White	14	14	14	14	14	14	14
West Bloomfield High School WB Green	6	6	6	6	6	6	6
West Bloomfield High School WB White	7	7	7	7	7	7	7

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
Birmingham Public Schools	Mixed	Liam Hounsell '23	Gavin Swallow '22
Birmingham Public Schools	Varsity	Luke Strickland '22	Nassar Awada '23
Brother Rice/Marian High School - MI	BRMS Blue	Owen Bannasch '22	John Riordan '22
Detroit Country Day School	MIXED Blue	Aarush Kapur '25	Denstin Groves '22
Detroit Country Day School	MIXED Gold	Josie Pachla '23	Isabella Rozentuler '23
Detroit Country Day School	MIXED Red	Miles Laker '23	Ashan Villavarayan '25
Everest Collegiate High School & Academy	Varsity	Diego Kittinger '24	Drew Noser '23
Groves High School	Mixed 1	Vinny Paliga '24	Madeline Martin '24
Groves High School	Mixed 2	Caden Meyers '22	Aliya Awada '24
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit	Detroit MIXED	Rodrigo Flores '24	Will Hilborn '22
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit	MIXED Maroon	Nathan Bacheller '24	Liam Dowling '24
Mercy/University of Detroit Jesuit	MUDJ	Nick Myneni '22	Alaina Hatcher '23
Troy High School	Troy Mixed	Joe Mowrey '21	Cameron Briggs '24
Walled Lake Central HS	Vikings	Abby Allen '21	Anthony Dziuba '21
West Bloomfield High School	MIXED Green	Walter Paliga '22	Karen Callahan '23
West Bloomfield High School	MIXED White	Ethan Gulati '22	Jace Bishop '23
West Bloomfield High School	WB Green	Jake Elsen '21	Liam Gilin '25
West Bloomfield High School	WB White	Brent Armstrong '25	Jack Armstrong '25

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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From the notes