2021 Norcal #4 Silver Sunday

HostEncinal Yacht Club
Date11/07/2021
TypeIn-District
BoatCFJ
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	Design Tech High School	d.tech 3	14	14
2	Stevenson School	Pirates 2	19	19
3	San Domenico High School	Panthers 2	22	22
4	College Park High School	Falcons	33	33
5	Stevenson School	Pirates 1	40	40
6	Willow Glen High School	Willow Glen	43	43
7	International HS - SF	Jaguars	43	43
8	St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco	Wildcats	44	44
9	Carlmont	The Scots	56	56
10	Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs	57	57
11	Stevenson School	Pirates 3	59	59
12	Khan Lab School	Khan Lab	61	61
13	SOTA High School	SOTA 2	68	68
14	San Domenico High School	Panthers 1	69	69
15	Menlo-Atherton	Varsity	70	70
16	Cardinals	Cardinals	71	71
17	Irish	Irish	74	74
18	The Urban School	Blues	86	86
19	Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	86	86
20	Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	88	88
21	Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	92	92
22	Miramonte High School	Matadors	98	98
23	Henry M. Gunn High School	Titans	99	99
24	Campolindo High School	Cougars	118	118
25	SOTA High School	SOTA 1	124	124
26	Wildcats 1	Wildcats 1	140	140
27	Wildcats 2	Wildcats 2	140	140

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	TOT	Sailors
Design Tech High School	d.tech 3	6	1	1	4	2	14	Melanie Magnani '23 [1-5] Simone Karlon '23 [1, 3, 5] Addison Andara '25 [2, 4]
Stevenson School	Pirates 2	1	4	3	7	4	19	Max Mccormick '24 Quinn Karm '23
San Domenico High School	Panthers 2	4	8	4	1	5	22	Anton Gavrilov '22 Filipe Engelhardt '22
College Park High School	Falcons	8	2	2	6	15	33	Jack Holden '22 Annika Altman '22
Stevenson School	Pirates 1	12	6	11	8	3	40	Alden Sherrill '24 [1-5] Stevie Thomsen '23 [1-2] Eland Macleod '25 [3-5]
Willow Glen High School	Willow Glen	3	3	RAF	2	7	43	Yasmine Crum '25 Amanda Turner '23
International HS - SF	Jaguars	9	11	6	16	1	43	Rikhard Vatuen '24 [1-5] Tristan De Halleux '25 [1-2, 5] Brady Moore '23 [3-4]
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco	Wildcats	2	10	7	11	14	44	Audrey Whitney '22 Sam Wu '22
Carlmont	The Scots	14	9	21	3	9	56	Anna Stolyarova '25 Ward Brouwer '24
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs	7	16	9	13	12	57	Clementine Mohun '22 Madeline Richardson '22
Stevenson School	Pirates 3	5	12	5	18	19	59	Luc Dupreez '23 Sadie Marinerstein '24
Khan Lab School	Khan Lab	13	7	8	17	16	61	Ameera Hoodbhoy '23 Sharanya Nemane '24
SOTA High School	SOTA 2	16	21	14	9	8	68	Oscar Perry '24 Vittoria Adams '22
San Domenico High School	Panthers 1	11	14	19	12	13	69	Owen Chan '22 [1-5] Dylan Song '22 [1-3] Jean-Cristophe Larouche '24 [4-5]
Menlo-Atherton	Varsity	18	13	12	5	22	70	Jayen Agrawal '25 Alex Wullschleger '26
Cardinals	Cardinals	10	5	22	24	10	71
Irish	Irish	15	15	18	20	6	74
The Urban School	Blues	19	18	16	15	18	86	Oliver Yeaman '24 Kai Classen '24
Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	21	25	15	14	11	86	Aleksandar Abrams '23 Linnea Furlan '23
Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	23	24	10	10	21	88	Benjamin Herman '24 [1-5] John Nix '25 [1, 3, 5] Will Kizer '25 [2, 4]
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	17	17	20	21	17	92	Julias Glasgow '24 Marcos Spallas '23
Miramonte High School	Matadors	20	19	17	19	23	98	Devin Stuffmann '26 Marco Parramon '26
Henry M. Gunn High School	Titans	22	22	13	22	20	99	Naomi Lowenthal '24 Jaiden Jacobs '24
Campolindo High School	Cougars	24	23	24	23	24	118	Liam Hearn '24 Luke Probst '26
SOTA High School	SOTA 1	25	20	23	DNF	DNF	124	Audrey Corson '24 Kali Kini-Davis '24
Wildcats 1	Wildcats 1	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	140
Wildcats 2	Wildcats 2	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	DNS	140

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.200+0.20

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A
Campolindo High School Cougars	42	42	42	42	42
Carlmont The Scots	20	20	20	20	20
College Park High School Falcons	50	50	50	50	50
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs	8	8	8	8	8
Design Tech High School d.tech 1	38	38	38	38	38
Design Tech High School d.tech 2	22	22	22	22	22
Design Tech High School d.tech 3	40	40	40	40	40
Henry M. Gunn High School Titans	21	21	21	21	21
International HS - SF Jaguars	7	7	7	7	7
Khan Lab School Khan Lab	23	23	23	23	23
Cardinals Cardinals	71	71	71	71	71
Wildcats 1 Wildcats 1	333	333	333	333	333
Wildcats 2 Wildcats 2	222	222	222	222	222
Menlo-Atherton Varsity	25	25	25	25	25
Miramonte High School Matadors	44	44	44	44	44
Irish Irish	72	72	72	72	72
San Domenico High School Panthers 1	18	18	18	18	18
San Domenico High School Panthers 2	17	17	17	17	17
SOTA High School SOTA 1	73	73	73	73	73
SOTA High School SOTA 2	70	70	70	70	70
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco Wildcats	4	4	4	4	4
Stevenson School Pirates 1	99	99	99	99	99
Stevenson School Pirates 2	98	98	98	98	98
Stevenson School Pirates 3	97	97	97	97	97
Tamalpais High School Red Tailed Hawks	80	80	80	80	80
The Urban School Blues	6	6	6	6	6
Willow Glen High School Willow Glen	108	108	108	108	108

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
Campolindo High School	Cougars	Liam Hearn '24	Luke Probst '26
Carlmont	The Scots	Anna Stolyarova '25	Ward Brouwer '24
College Park High School	Falcons	Jack Holden '22	Annika Altman '22
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Cubs	Clementine Mohun '22	Madeline Richardson '22
Design Tech High School	d.tech 1	Aleksandar Abrams '23	Linnea Furlan '23
Design Tech High School	d.tech 2	Benjamin Herman '24 [1-5]	John Nix '25 [1, 3, 5] Will Kizer '25 [2, 4]
Design Tech High School	d.tech 3	Melanie Magnani '23 [1-5]	Simone Karlon '23 [1, 3, 5] Addison Andara '25 [2, 4]
Henry M. Gunn High School	Titans	Naomi Lowenthal '24	Jaiden Jacobs '24
International HS - SF	Jaguars	Rikhard Vatuen '24 [1-5]	Tristan De Halleux '25 [1-2, 5] Brady Moore '23 [3-4]
Khan Lab School	Khan Lab	Ameera Hoodbhoy '23	Sharanya Nemane '24
Menlo-Atherton	Varsity	Jayen Agrawal '25	Alex Wullschleger '26
Miramonte High School	Matadors	Devin Stuffmann '26	Marco Parramon '26
SOTA High School	SOTA 1	Audrey Corson '24	Kali Kini-Davis '24
SOTA High School	SOTA 2	Oscar Perry '24	Vittoria Adams '22
San Domenico High School	Panthers 1	Owen Chan '22 [1-5]	Dylan Song '22 [1-3] Jean-Cristophe Larouche '24 [4-5]
San Domenico High School	Panthers 2	Anton Gavrilov '22	Filipe Engelhardt '22
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco	Wildcats	Audrey Whitney '22	Sam Wu '22
Stevenson School	Pirates 1	Alden Sherrill '24 [1-5]	Stevie Thomsen '23 [1-2] Eland Macleod '25 [3-5]
Stevenson School	Pirates 2	Max Mccormick '24	Quinn Karm '23
Stevenson School	Pirates 3	Luc Dupreez '23	Sadie Marinerstein '24
Tamalpais High School	Red Tailed Hawks	Julias Glasgow '24	Marcos Spallas '23
The Urban School	Blues	Oliver Yeaman '24	Kai Classen '24
Willow Glen High School	Willow Glen	Yasmine Crum '25	Amanda Turner '23

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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2021 Norcal #4 Silver Sunday

Division A

From the notes